Ken Rosenthal Explains Why Red Sox 'Can Dream' Of Improbable Playoff Run

Ken Rosenthal Explains Why Red Sox 'Can Dream' Of Improbable Playoff Run originally appeared on NESN. Add NESN as a Preferred Source by clicking here.
For much of this season, the playoffs have felt like a pipe dream for the Boston Red Sox, who sank to the worst record in the American League last week.
After a five-game winning streak, however, the Red Sox are suddenly very much alive. Despite being nine games below .500, they enter play on Tuesday 4.5 games out of a wild card spot and with a roughly 20 percent chance of making the postseason, according to FanGraphs.
Given how weak the American League is this year, MLB insider Ken Rosenthal thinks Boston is still a playoff contender despite the team's rough first half.
The Red Sox have a long way to go, but you can't write them off in a watered-down American League. pic.twitter.com/BXWHpS65s8
— Foul Territory (@FoulTerritoryTV) June 30, 2026
"When a team like the Red Sox suddenly plays a little bit better, their roster is in a little bit better place...they're four and a half games out of the wild card in a bad league, yeah, they can dream," Rosenthal said on Tuesday's episode of "Foul Territory." "The team holding the third wild card spot in the American League right now is a .500 team... Anything is theoretically possible here."
Entering play on Tuesday, only five AL teams are above .500. Six teams are within five games of the third wild card spot, so most of the league is still in contention, including the Red Sox.
Boston has underperformed thus far relative to its talent level and expectations. Based on run differential, the Red Sox should be one game over .500 instead of nine games under.
They also have a soft schedule until the All-Star Break, which could help them stay hot and make up some ground over the next two weeks. If they do that and get some help at the trade deadline, it's not hard to envision them going on a run in the second half and potentially snagging a wild card berth.
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