5 most overrated NFL players in 2026, including Caleb Williams and Travis Kelce
Reputation is sticky in the NFL. A couple of big seasons, a fat contract, or a famous name can keep a player propped up long after the tape stops backing it up. Hype lingers. Production moves on. That gap is where the overrated label lives. The players below are not scrubs.
Most have made Pro Bowls and cashed real checks. The issue is the distance between how they get discussed and what they actually deliver heading into 2026.Β Here are five names the conversation has gotten ahead of.
MORE: Steelers former first-round pick has uncertain future
Caleb Williams, QB, Chicago Bears
The MVP buzz is arriving well ahead of the play. Williams set a franchise record with 3,942 passing yards and a 27-to-7 touchdown-to-interception ratio while leading Chicago to an NFC North title and a wild-card win.
Look closer, though. His completion rate dropped to 58.1 percent, the worst for any quarterback to reach the postseason since Andrew Luck in 2012. He also paced the NFL in passing yards and touchdowns to wide-open targets, feeding the argument that Ben Johnsonβs scheme is carrying the offense more than the quarterback is.
Johnson set a 70 percent completion goal that Williams whiffed on, then made accuracy a daily project this spring. βWe need to get the completion percentage up,β Johnson said.
Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs
Kelce is still discussed as the standard at the position. Maybe a few years ago, that was the case. The 2025 numbers place him in the middle of the pack.
He caught 76 passes for 851 yards and five touchdowns, a third straight season short of 1,000 after the run of seven in a row ended in 2022. PFF graded him 14th among tight ends as a receiver. At 36, the burst that once made him a weekly mismatch now shows up in flashes rather than every series.
Kansas City rewarded the resume anyway, re-signing him for more than $54 million over three years after he had considered retirement.
The Hall of Fame case is on lock. The week-to-week impact looks closer to a complementary piece than a centerpiece.
DK Metcalf, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers
Metcalf still gets talked about like a No. 1 receiver who bends a defense around him. The production no longer backs it up.
Pittsburgh traded draft capital for him, handed him a five-year deal worth $150 million, then shipped out George Pickens to clear his runway. The return was a career-low 850 receiving yards, a sub-60 percent catch rate, and one touchdown after Week 8. A two-game suspension late nearly cost the Steelers a playoff spot.
Some of the dip traces to a thin receiver room and a run-first plan with Aaron Rodgers throwing it. But Metcalf has fallen short of his billing for several seasons running now.
At 27, the physical gifts are still loud. The results have gone quiet.
Trey Hendrickson, EDGE, Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore made Hendrickson the prize of free agency, handing him a four-year deal worth up to $112 million. The pass-rush rΓ©sumΓ© earns the check. The rest of the profile invites questions.
He is one of the best in the NFL at a single job, with back-to-back 17.5-sack seasons in 2023 and 2024. He is also a liability against the run, grading 90th among edge defenders there last year. Former teammate Andrew Whitworth put it bluntly, saying, βYou can run the football right at him all the time, anytime you want.β
Now 31, Hendrickson is coming off a seven-game, four-sack season cut short by core muscle surgery, and Jesse Minterβs scheme rarely loads the box to cover for it.
Davante Adams, WR, Los Angeles Rams
Adams led the NFL with 14 touchdowns in 2025, which keeps him filed among the premier receivers. The rest of the line argues for caution.
He caught just 53 percent of his targets, a career low, and his 789 yards were his fewest since 2015. Much of his value rode on a 7.7 percent touchdown rate, a figure that rarely holds from one season to the next.
Now 33, Adams plays second fiddle to Puka Nacua and missed time with a lower-body injury. Los Angeles is leaning into a three-TE look that thins his snaps, and the team shopped him before deciding to keep him.
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