The Dogecoin price is fighting to hold the psychological $0.20 support as large investors continue offloading holdings and leveraged traders exit the market. The Dogecoin price briefly traded above $0.21 earlier this week, but has since slipped by more than 2%, highlighting the mounting selling pressure in the market.

Related Reading: Is The Dogecoin Bull Run Over? Analyst Predicts When DOGE Rallies Again

According to on-chain data, whales have sold over 500 million DOGE tokens in the past week, fueling fears of further downside. The selloff coincides with a sharp 61% drop in futures open interest, plunging from $5.03 billion to $1.95 billion, signaling widespread position liquidations and trader fatigue.

Futures Liquidations and Weak Technicals Weigh on Momentum

Derivatives data show declining participation across major exchanges, with traders closing out long positions rather than adding new exposure. Meanwhile, Dogecoin’s 24-hour trading volume surged 17.5% to nearly $2 billion, a sign that sellers remain in control even as overall market recovery stalls.

Technical indicators paint a similarly cautious picture. On the daily chart, the Dogecoin price is forming a potential “death cross” between the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, a bearish pattern that often precedes a further drop.

If sustained selling continues, analysts warn the Dogecoin price could fall toward the $0.166 support, which aligns with the lower boundary of its long-term ascending trendline.

However, this same trendline has historically triggered strong rebounds. Previous retests have led to price recoveries of nearly 100%, leaving some traders optimistic that a similar setup could emerge if support holds firm.

Consolidation or Collapse? Key Dogecoin Price Levels to Watch

Currently, Dogecoin price hovers near $0.20 with a market cap of $30.3 billion, holding above the critical psychological zone but struggling to regain upward momentum. The immediate resistance lies between $0.204 and $0.210, while a decisive close below $0.19 could accelerate losses toward $0.18–$0.166.

For now, the balance between whale distribution and new buyer demand will determine DOGE’s next move. If fresh inflows return and futures activity stabilizes, a recovery toward $0.23–$0.25 remains possible.

Related Reading: Bitcoin And Crypto Market Set To Bounce As Rate Cut Probabilities Touch 98.3%

But without renewed conviction from large holders, the Dogecoin price risks extended consolidation, or a deeper retracement before the next bullish wave begins.

Cover image from ChatGPT, DOGEUSD chart from Tradingview

Dogecoin (DOGE) is facing a steep market cooldown after weeks of heightened trading activity in early October. Data from CoinGlass shows that both Open Interest (OI) and trading volume for DOGE futures have crashed, indicating a sharp decline in the meme coin’s momentum. The latest figures reveal a significant pullback in derivatives activity and spot market participation, suggesting that traders may be retreating from speculative positions as volatility eases. 

Dogecoin Open Interest Crashes Over 60%

Dogecoin’s Open Interest has plunged dramatically from its October highs, reflecting a rapid exodus of leveraged traders from the market. According to CoinGlass, total exchange DOGE futures Open Interest has fallen over 62% from a peak of $5.03 billion on October 7 to $1.88 billion on October 28. This represents a drop to approximately 9.41 billion DOGE, valued at $ 0.20 per token.

Despite the decline in Open Interest, Binance, BitMEX, and Bybit continue to lead as the top exchanges with the highest Dogecoin futures activity. Still, the downturn has been widespread across exchanges. Kucoin recorded the largest drop in recent hours at 3.1%, followed closely by Bitget, which saw a 2.27% decline. Over the last 24 hours, Bitunix recorded the steepest drop in Open Interest, down 15.86%, while Crypto.com saw a 7.36% reduction. 

Even Binance, which consistently leads Dogecoin futures trading, has seen a notable pullback. CoinGlass reports that the exchange’s Open Interest peaked at $964.7 million on October 7, marking a monthly high. Since then, it has fallen to $380.29 million (1.9 billion DOGE), representing a staggering 60.6% crash in just over three weeks.

Dogecoin Sees Even Worse Decline In Volume

Trading volume for Dogecoin has mirrored the collapse in Open Interest. CoinGlass data shows that Dogecoin’s futures volume heatmap across major crypto exchanges is in the red zone. Total trading volume had spiked to $20.45 billion on October 11, following the devastating crypto flash crash on October 10, but has since plummeted to $5.31 billion as of October 28. This represents a whopping 74% decline.

On individual exchanges, Binance’s DOGE trading volume dropped by 9.35% in the past 24 hours, while OKX saw a 13.69% decline. CoinEx recorded the largest volume decrease at 26.1%, followed by Gate.io at 23.94%. Popular exchanges like Bitget, Kucoin, and Bitunix also reported varying declines of 4.96%, 20.37% and 13.16%, respectively, as overall market liquidity thinned. 

However, a few exchanges bucked the downward trend, recording slight gains. dYdX saw its DOGE volume surge by 167.61%, HTX increased by 49.93%, and Hyperliquid rose by 23.88%. Bybit and MEXC also recorded modest gains of 24.98% and 1.88%, respectively. 

Alongside its decline in trading volume, CoinGlass notes that Dogecoin’s price performance has slipped. The meme coin is currently trading at $0.20, down 13.19% over the past 30 days and 2.86% in the last 24 hours.

The recent Dogecoin market action has seen its price now hovering below $0.20 after surging to $0.208 in the past 24 hours. Despite the consolidation, analysts and traders are watching the meme coin closely, believing that the next major move could redefine its long-term trajectory. 

Among those voices is crypto analyst EtherNasyonaL, who predicted that Dogecoin’s third and most powerful bullish phase is still ahead. His technical analysis on the monthly chart presents a structure that reveals the groundwork for another massive uptrend to above $0.8 is already in motion.

Dogecoin’s First Two Bull Waves Set The Stage

The monthly candlestick price chart shared by EtherNasyonaL calls attention to Dogecoin’s cyclical nature since 2014, showing two completed bull waves and a third one forming. Each of these bullish waves was formed after Dogecoin broke above and then retested the upper trendline of a descending channel of lower highs that had confined its price action in the preceding years. This retest was also highlighted by a confluence of the 25 Moving Average (MA) indicator.

The first wave, which began in 2017, caused Dogecoin’s earliest exponential rise from near-zero levels, right when the meme coin entered into popular crypto discussions. The second, and far more explosive, bull wave occurred between 2020 and 2021, when Dogecoin surged from under $0.003 to an all-time high of $0.7316, which has stood until now. 

Each bull run started once Dogecoin reclaimed its 25-month moving average as support, following extended consolidation periods that spanned multiple months. The current setup reflects the same condition, as the 25MA line has once again turned upward, and Dogecoin has successfully retested the upper trendline of its previous descending channel, as shown in the chart below.

Dogecoin 1M price chart. Source: @EtherNasyonaL on X

3rd Bull Wave Setup: Resistance Retested, Accumulation Ongoing

The analysis reveals that Dogecoin has recently broken free from a long-term downtrend that spanned between mid-2021 and early 2025. Notably, recent crypto market liquidation events in October have seen the Dogecoin price complete a successful retest of the resistance level, now turned support, around the $0.17 to $0.20 price range. 

This successful retest also coincides with a simultaneous bounce off the bottom trendline of an ascending channel. EtherNasyonaL describes the current price action as Dogecoin “accumulating strength in the lower band of a years-long ascending channel.”

The projected trajectory on the chart above shows Dogecoin following its established pattern by moving from the lower region of the ascending channel to its upper boundary. If the third bull wave plays out as the previous two did, Dogecoin’s price could challenge its $0.73 all-time high and break into new price territories.  The first price target in this case is the $0.8 mark, and then as high as $4 in the long term.