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Virtual Assets Act 2026: Pakistan Formalizes Its $300Bn Crypto Market

Pakistan crypto adoption 2025

The post Virtual Assets Act 2026: Pakistan Formalizes Its $300Bn Crypto Market appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Pakistan’s parliament has officially passed the Virtual Assets Act 2026, establishing a permanent legal framework for cryptocurrency in the country. President Asif Ali Zardari signed the bill into law after it cleared the Senate on February 27 and the National Assembly on March 3.

The law formally establishes the Pakistan Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (PVARA), giving it full authority to license, regulate, and supervise all virtual asset service providers operating in the country, including exchanges, custodians, and token issuers.

What Changes for Crypto Users in Pakistan

Pakistan ranks among the top three globally in cryptocurrency adoption, with an estimated 30-40 million users. Until now, all of that activity operated without a legal framework, against a backdrop of restrictions that date back to a 2018 State Bank of Pakistan directive prohibiting financial institutions from dealing with cryptocurrencies.

Under the new law, unlicensed trading carries penalties of up to five years in prison or a Rs. 50 million fine. The legislation also addresses market manipulation and insider trading, aligning Pakistan with international FATF standards.

Bilal bin Saqib, Chairman of PVARA, said the law was built for “the 100 million young Pakistanis who deserve a financial system that works for them.”

Binance and HTX Are Already In Line

PVARA has already issued No Objection Certificates to Binance and HTX, allowing both exchanges to begin AML registration and incorporate local subsidiaries as they work toward full licensing.

The Bigger Picture

The Act is part of a broader national strategy. Pakistan has announced plans for a strategic Bitcoin reserve, allocated 2,000 megawatts of surplus electricity for Bitcoin mining and AI data centers, and signed an MoU with an affiliate of Trump-linked World Liberty Financial to explore stablecoin infrastructure for cross-border payments.

The framework also includes a Shariah Advisory Committee, making Pakistan one of the first countries to formally integrate Islamic finance principles into crypto regulation.

Jane Street Bitcoin Manipulation Fears Are Back as $19M in BTC Hits Exchanges

Crypto Market Today Bitcoin and Ethereum Pump After Jane Street Lawsuit

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Wallets linked to Jane Street have deposited $19 million in Bitcoin to institutional-grade exchanges, and the crypto community is watching closely.

On-chain analyst Lookonchain flagged the move, confirming that in the past two hours, wallets associated with Jane Street deposited 270 BTC, worth approximately $19 million, to Bullish.com and LMAX Digital. The transfer hit around 10 a.m. UTC, exactly when U.S. markets opened.

Trader Ted (@TedPillows) corroborated the figures, noting the deposits totaled just under $19 million and that Jane Street is the same firm previously accused of manipulating Bitcoin’s price around the U.S. market open.

Ash Crypto was more direct on X: “IS JANE STREET PLANNING TO MANIPULATE BITCOIN AGAIN?

IS JANE STREET PLANNING TO MANIPULATE BITCOIN AGAIN?

Just now, wallets linked to Jane Street have deposited $19,000,000 in $BTC to institutional-focused exchanges.

These are the platforms used for high-frequency trading, which has been responsible for the 10am slam in the past. pic.twitter.com/yUGJbkQSKM

— Ash Crypto (@AshCrypto) March 6, 2026

Arkham on-chain data shows the transfers – 275 BTC to one address, 94.76 BTC to LMAX Digital, all within hours of each other.

What Is the Jane Street Bitcoin Manipulation Theory?

For months through late 2025 and into 2026, Bitcoin reliably sold off every morning at the U.S. market open. Traders watching the pattern gave it a name: the “10 a.m. slam.”

The theory alleged that Jane Street, acting as an authorized participant in BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, was algorithmically selling BTC at open, a pattern some blamed for driving Bitcoin down from $125,000 to as low as $62,000.

Then on February 23, Terraform Labs’ bankruptcy administrator filed a lawsuit accusing Jane Street of insider trading tied to the 2022 LUNA/Terra collapse. Within 48 hours, the 10 a.m. selling stopped and Bitcoin surged 6% toward $70,000.

Glassnode co-founders Jan Happel and Yann Allemann noted: “Jane Street Lawsuit gets made public, and miraculously the 10am $btc slam disappears.”

Jane street Lawsuit gets made public, and miraculously the 10am $btc slam disappears.

— 𝗡𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰 (@Negentropic_) February 25, 2026

Allegations Against Jane Street

The Terraform case is not Jane Street’s only legal battle. In July 2025, India’s market regulator SEBI banned the firm from local markets and froze gains, citing a “morning pump, afternoon dump” scheme across 18 derivatives expiry days.

Not everyone in crypto agrees manipulation was ever happening.

Jane Street has denied all allegations, calling the Terraform suit “baseless, opportunistic claims.”

Economist Alex Kruger found that IBIT’s 10 a.m. returns closely mirrored Nasdaq performance rather than isolated Bitcoin selling.

CryptoQuant’s head of research Julio Moreno argued that Jane Street’s authorized participant activity is standard delta-neutral practice, fully within legal bounds.

How Low Will Bitcoin Fall?

Bitcoin has slipped below the $70,000 mark, currently trading at $69,998, down 3.15% over the last 24 hours. Whether today’s $19 million deposit from Jane Street wallets is connected to that move remains unconfirmed.

Also Read: Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Hold $70K as Iran-Israel Tensions Rise?

Analyst Warns Clarity Act 2026 Could Be Crypto’s Next “Sell the News” Trap

US Senate Draft Bill Could Finally Bring Clarity to the Crypto Market

The post Analyst Warns Clarity Act 2026 Could Be Crypto’s Next “Sell the News” Trap appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

The crypto community has a new catalyst, and the excitement is building fast.

With the Clarity Act 2026 stalled in the Senate but widely expected to pass, investors are already pricing in a major rally. JPMorgan called it a “positive catalyst.” Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse put the odds at 90% by end of April.

Across X, the narrative is that when regulatory clarity arrives, institutions flood in, prices explode.

But crypto trader Aaron, known as MooninPapa and a market participant since 2017, isn’t buying it.

“You’ve Seen This Movie Before”

Aaron’s argument isn’t that the Clarity Act doesn’t matter. It’s that by the time it passes, the market will have already moved.

“Buy the rumors, sell the news. Just because it’s crypto, it doesn’t mean that we shouldn’t be taking this into account,” he said.

His evidence is hard to ignore.

Bitcoin ETF rumors drove BTC from roughly $28,000 to $74,000, which is a 164% run. After the ETF actually launched, it was flat. Ethereum’s spot ETF announcement pumped ETH 20% in a single day. Over the following year, ETH lost 64%.

The same pattern has played out across forks, major partnerships, and protocol upgrades. And yet, every cycle, the crowd forgets.

Who’s Actually Winning Here?

Aaron also raises a harder question about who institutional adoption actually benefits.

“I’m rooting for BlackRock, a mega corporation that owns way too much Bitcoin, to have more influence over the price of Bitcoin in the future. Really.”

His broader near-term view is bearish. He believes Bitcoin topped in October 2025 and expects a bear market lasting roughly 12 months, with a price target around $35,000 by October 2026.

What It Means for Bitcoin and XRP

The Clarity Act may still pass. It may even spark a short-term move.

But if history is the guide, the traders who win won’t be the ones buying when the vote is confirmed. They’ll be the ones who bought while everyone was still asking when.

Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!

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FAQs

Will the Clarity Act 2026 cause a Bitcoin price explosion?

It could trigger short-term pumps as institutions enter, but history shows “buy the rumor, sell the news”—BTC surged 164% on ETF hype then flattened. Don’t chase the vote; position early.

Does institutional adoption from Clarity Act benefit everyday crypto traders?

It favors giants like BlackRock with massive BTC holdings, giving them price influence. Retail wins by trading rumors ahead, not holding through the “sell the news” dip.

Should I buy Bitcoin or XRP now ahead of Clarity Act 2026 passage?

Yes, if history repeats—rumors drove huge gains before ETF launches. But expect post-passage pullbacks; target entries during uncertainty, not confirmation, for max upside.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Hold $70K as Iran-Israel Tensions Rise?

Bitcoin Price Prediction Will BTC Hold $70K as Iran-Israel Tensions Rise

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Hold $70K as Iran-Israel Tensions Rise? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bitcoin nearly touched $74,000 on Thursday. Today, it is down 3.29% and trading around $70,355 at the time of writing.

The run to $74,000 wiped out $471 million in crypto derivatives in under 24 hours, $348 million of it from short positions caught badly offside. It was the largest daily short liquidation since late February, resetting a significant chunk of leveraged positioning across the market.

The rally, however, didn’t hold.

What’s Weighing on Bitcoin Today

US-Israel-Iran tensions escalated sharply on March 6, sending shockwaves through global markets. The Dow is down over 780 points at 47,954. WTI crude is trading at $83.30. Gold is holding near $5,100

Bitcoin is now moving with a 0.86 correlation to gold, and $74,000 proved too strong a resistance to clear. It now sits directly on a whale bid zone that traders are watching closely.

The Level That Decides What Comes Next

Blockchain advisor and investor Anndy Lian pointed to the $70,000-$71,000 zone as the line to watch.

“If BTC holds the $70,000 to $71,000 whale bid zone, it could retest $74,000,” Lian noted. “A break below risks a move toward $67,500.”

He added that geopolitical risk and rising oil prices remain the primary macro drivers, with derivatives positioning adding crypto-native volatility on top.

One Analyst Still Sees $80K in March

Not everyone is reading this as a warning sign.

Crypto analyst Michael Van de Poppe posted on X: “Very healthy price action on Bitcoin and I think we’ll start to see that breakout next week and see $80K as a test in March.”

There we go,

Consolidation before continuation.

Very healthy price action on #Bitcoin and I think we'll start to see that breakout next week and see $80K as a test in March. pic.twitter.com/vqVZaWZa0C

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) March 6, 2026

Van de Poppe’s view is that the current pullback is consolidation, not deterioration and that the squeeze earlier this week was part of healthy price action resetting the market for a move higher.

The Market Is Split

The market is sitting with two competing views. Technically, the structure could still support a push higher. On the macro side, oil above $80 and a strengthening dollar complicate that path considerably.

With funding rates normalized and open interest slightly lower, what happens next depends on whether geopolitical pressure keeps draining risk appetite or the positioning reset sets up the next leg up.

The $70,000 level will likely tell the story.

Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!

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FAQs

How might geopolitical tension impact Bitcoin’s near-term prediction?

Escalating conflicts reduce risk appetite, boost safe havens like gold and oil, and can pressure BTC lower in the near term.

How will derivatives and liquidations shape short-term Bitcoin moves?

Derivatives resets and liquidations can amplify moves: leverage unwinds may trigger sharp squeezes that speed rallies or drops.

If bullish momentum returns, what longer targets should traders watch?

If momentum and macro conditions align, BTC could test $80k–$90k, but expect high volatility and risk from macro data.

OKX ICE Deal: NYSE Parent Backs Crypto Exchange at $25B as OKB Jumps 35%

OKX Partners With Standard Chartered to Bring Bank-Grade Crypto Custody to Europe

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According to Fortune, Intercontinental Exchange, the publicly traded parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, has invested in crypto exchange OKX at a $25 billion valuation and taken a seat on its board, the two companies confirmed Thursday.

The investment amount and deal terms were not disclosed.

OKB price, OKX’s native exchange token, has jumped over 35% in the last 24 hours, trading at $104.53 at the time of writing.

What the Partnership Involves

Under the agreement, OKX will provide ICE with real-time price data for cryptocurrencies traded on its platform. OKX users will also gain access to tokenized stocks and derivatives listed on the NYSE, with that feature expected to launch in the second half of 2026.

Haider Rafique, OKX’s global managing partner of corporate affairs, said the relationship grew out of a four-hour meeting with NYSE Chairman Jeffrey Sprecher in Atlanta last summer.

“There was great chemistry in how we looked at the world and the future of tokenized securities, how derivatives should make it to the global stage, how TradFi and digital assets should merge together,” Rafique said.

The deal extends ICE’s existing push into blockchain infrastructure. In January, the NYSE announced a 24/7 tokenized securities trading platform, currently pending SEC approval, with BNY and Citi supporting tokenized deposits across ICE’s clearinghouses.

How It Fits the Broader TradFi Shift

ICE’s move follows a pattern of traditional finance firms taking direct stakes in crypto exchanges. In November, Citadel Securities invested $200 million into Kraken at a $20 billion valuation. ICE also invested $2 billion into prediction market Polymarket around the same time.

Michael Blaugrund, ICE’s vice president of strategic initiatives, acknowledged the competitive pressure driving these moves.

“The competitors in the future for firms like Intercontinental Exchange won’t necessarily look like traditional institutions like CME or NASDAQ. They might look like DeFi protocols or super apps,” he said.

OKX’s Push Into the U.S. Market

For OKX, the deal accelerates its repositioning as a U.S.-compliant exchange. The platform relaunched in the States earlier this year, two months after reaching a $500 million DOJ settlement for operating an unlicensed money-transmitting business.

Rafique said the company plans to relocate up to 2,000 of its 5,000 employees to the U.S., with the tokenized stocks product a key driver of that investment.

“We are the sober ones in the industry in many ways,” he said.

Has Iran Agreed to Abandon Its Nuclear Program? Bitcoin Price Impact Explained

Has Iran Agreed to Abandon Its Nuclear Program Bitcoin Price Impact Explained

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According to widely circulating reports, Sky News Arabia has reported that Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister said the country is prepared to abandon its entire nuclear program if the United States presents a satisfactory alternative offer.

Bitcoin is trading around $72,855 at the time of writing, recovering from the lows it hit when US and Israeli forces launched strikes on February 28.

The Iran War’s Impact on Crypto

When the conflict began, Bitcoin dropped sharply, falling to around $63,000 in a matter of hours. Over $300 million in long positions were liquidated.

Oil jumped 7% as traders priced in potential disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, the chokepoint through which roughly one-fifth of the world’s daily oil supply passes. With energy prices rising, inflation concerns followed.

Former US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen captured the knock-on effect for crypto directly: “I think the recent Iran situation puts the Fed even more on hold, more reluctant to cut rates than they were before this happened.”

With the Federal Reserve’s March 18 meeting already in focus, a rate cut is now widely considered off the table. Higher rates mean tighter liquidity and tighter liquidity has historically weighed on risk assets including Bitcoin.

A ceasefire or deal would put that chain in reverse: oil falls, inflation pressure eases, and the conditions for a Fed pivot improve.

Also Read: Will Bitcoin Recover or Crash to $40K Next? Analysts Can’t Agree

What Analysts Are Saying

SungHoon Lee, who claims to be the world’s highest IQ holder with a score of 276 and an XRP ambassador, said: “BTC to $100K isn’t a question anymore. It’s a countdown,” citing the potential for mass liquidation of short positions opened during the war.

⚠ THE SINGLE BIGGEST NEWS OF 2026 JUST DROPPED.

🇮🇷 Iran says it is READY to ABANDON its ENTIRE nuclear program — if the U.S. offers a satisfactory deal.

Read that again.

ABANDON. THE. NUCLEAR. PROGRAM.

🔴 WHY THIS CHANGES ABSOLUTELY EVERYTHING:

🛑 The #1 reason for this war… pic.twitter.com/Y3IdIeXQtq

— SungHoon Lee, IQ 276 (@sungleeiq) March 5, 2026

Lee argued that five days of conflict compressed years of geopolitical tension into a single week and that Iran’s willingness to drop its nuclear program removes the single biggest fear that drove markets lower in the first place.

Meanwhile, Binance had a bullish take as well: “Gold had thousands of years. Equities had centuries. Real estate had civilization. Bitcoin has had 16 years… and it’s just getting started.”

Traders, Beware: Risks Remain

The situation is still fluid, and reports have not been officially confirmed.

US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth told Israel to “keep going until the end” in overnight talks with Defense Minister Israel Katz, signalling Washington is not yet ready to stand down.

Iran’s national security officials have also previously denied any outreach to Washington. Polymarket gives a ceasefire by March 31 just 26% odds.

Bitcoin’s first resistance sits at $74,000-$75,000. The next Federal Reserve meeting is March 17-18.

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FAQs

How has the Iran conflict affected Bitcoin prices?

Bitcoin fell from $72K to $63K amid the Iran conflict, with long positions liquidated and market uncertainty driving volatility.

Could Iran abandoning its nuclear program impact crypto markets?

Yes, a deal could ease geopolitical fears, lower oil prices, reduce inflation pressure, and create favorable conditions for Bitcoin gains.

Are crypto traders safe from geopolitical risks in 2026?

Not entirely—traders face rapid swings from conflicts, sanctions, or oil shocks, making risk management and stop-loss strategies crucial.

Will Bitcoin Recover or Crash to $40K Next? Analysts Can’t Agree

Will Bitcoin Recover or Crash to $40K Next Analysts Can’t Agree

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Bitcoin is climbing again, up over 7% this week. Whether that means the worst is over, or whether $40K is still ahead, depends entirely on who you ask. Right now, the market is deeply divided.

The Signal Bitcoin Bulls Are Watching

Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe flagged something significant today. Bitcoin has hit a key resistance level, and while he doesn’t expect an immediate breakout, he called the short-term trend switch “the most vital trend switch we see since 10/10 has taken place.”

October 10 was the last point the market staged a meaningful directional shift, and van de Poppe sees the current setup as equally significant.

He expects consolidation before any sustained move higher, noting that things take time and a build-up is required.

Why Some Analysts Are Calling for $40K

Not everyone agrees.

Analyst @NoAlphaLimits issued a blunt warning: “$60K is NEXT. The bottom is $40-45K.”

His thesis is built on the Iran conflict’s ripple effects across global markets.

⚠⚠ BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO FREEFALL TO $40K — AND NOBODY IS PREPARED ⚠⚠

🚨 People will thank me for this warning in a few weeks. Screenshot this.

$60K is NEXT. The bottom is $40-45K. Here's why.

🔴 THE CASE FOR A CRASH TO $40K:

🛑 War with Iran is ESCALATING, not ending — Day…

— NoLimit Alpha (@NoAlphaLimits) March 5, 2026

QatarEnergy has declared force majeure, the Strait of Hormuz has become active combat territory, and oil prices are spiking as a result. Rising energy costs are pushing inflation expectations higher, leaving the Federal Reserve with little room to cut rates.

Also Read: Crypto Crash Today: Should You Buy the Bitcoin Dip as US and Israel Strike Iran?

Even traditional safe-haven assets are cracking under the pressure – silver dropped over 11% on Tuesday, with gold also sliding more than 3%, suggesting investors are fleeing risk broadly rather than rotating into alternatives.

His most striking data point: “$2.3 billion in long positions sitting between $60K-$73K” – all of it, he argues, will get wiped.

What the Macro Picture Says

Blockchain advisor Anddy Lian offered the most grounded framework. His read: Bitcoin’s 89% correlation with the S&P 500 is the real story here. This is a macro beta trade, moving in lockstep with equities and rate expectations.

The Fear and Greed Index moved from 19 to 29 in just 24 hours – a meaningful sentiment shift, but still firmly in fear territory.

His critical zone to watch: $72,000-$74,000. As of today, Bitcoin is trading directly inside that range -making the next move from here the most telling signal of the week.

Also important to note that March 6’s Non-Farm Payrolls report could reset the entire outlook overnight.

Bitcoin Crash 2026: What Happens Next?

With geopolitical uncertainty driving volatility across every asset class, Bitcoin’s next move is unlikely to be decided by technicals alone. The Strait of Hormuz, oil prices, and the Fed’s response to rising inflation are the variables that matter most right now.

The NFP print is the first hard data point that could shift the outlook in either direction.

Stay tuned to Coinpedia for all crypto market updates.

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Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

FAQs

What will Bitcoin be worth by the end of 2026?

Bitcoin’s 2026 outlook depends on macro trends. If bullish momentum continues, BTC could revisit $80K–$100K, but geopolitical risks may still cause sharp swings.

Can Bitcoin reach $100K in the next bull run?

If institutional demand grows and market liquidity improves, many analysts believe Bitcoin could eventually test the $100K level in the next major cycle.

What factors will decide Bitcoin’s next price move?

Key drivers include Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, global conflicts, oil prices, and investor sentiment across equity and crypto markets.

Will XRP Go Up? Binance Just Flashed the Same Signal That Sent XRP From $1.60 to $3.65

XRP Price Rally Ahead Key On-Chain Data and Technicals Say Yes

The post Will XRP Go Up? Binance Just Flashed the Same Signal That Sent XRP From $1.60 to $3.65 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

XRP is trading at $1.42, up 1.21% in the last 24 hours, but the more significant move may be happening in the derivatives market.

Darkfost, a CryptoQuant author and analyst, flagged a signal on X that the derivatives market may be setting up a trap for short sellers.

Green Flag: Shorts Are Piling In

XRP’s funding rates on Binance have entered what Darkfost calls “a phase of extreme negativity,” while the price ranged between $1.35 and $1.50. Despite a roughly 60% correction, the majority of traders in the derivatives market have been positioning short.

In plain terms: the bearish trade is now crowded.

Darkfost’s view is: “When market consensus becomes excessively aligned in one direction, history shows that markets tend to surprise the majority.”

The Last Time This Happened, XRP Rallied

In April 2025, XRP’s funding rate on Binance hit the same extreme negative zone. The asset was sitting around $1.60 with sentiment in the gutter. What followed was a move to $3.65 by mid-July as crowded shorts were squeezed out.

Darkfost notes that CryptoQuant’s historical data shows periods of extreme negative funding rates have “often been followed by short-term rebounds or corrective rallies in XRP.”

This Isn’t a Guaranteed Reversal

Darkfost is careful here, and so should readers be. He adds that this setup “does not guarantee a lasting trend reversal”. It is a signal worth watching, but not a complete green light.

The broader market is still fragile. Escalating tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran – including reports of coordinated strikes and drone activity – have pushed investors toward safer assets, dragging risk markets including crypto and silver lower.

While altcoins ex-Ethereum (Total 3) have added roughly $75 billion in market cap since the start of February, the environment remains uncertain.

What Would Lead to a Rally?

The CLARITY Act, which has been rising sharply in search interest this week, remains the most significant near-term catalyst. If passed, it would remove the last major regulatory barrier for institutional funds to hold XRP directly.

Also Read: Is 2026 the Year Banks Finally Adopt XRP? Clarity Act and Ripple’s Next Move

A regulatory catalyst landing on top of an oversold derivatives setup is exactly how the April 2025 rally ignited, with the SEC settling with Ripple in May 2025. The CLARITY Act could play that role this time.

Whether a catalyst arrives to trigger that setup remains the key question for XRP in March 2026.

Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!

Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.

FAQs

Why are XRP funding rates turning extremely negative on Binance?

Extremely negative funding rates show most traders are shorting XRP. When shorts become crowded, markets often move the opposite way, creating a short squeeze.

Did extreme negative funding rates trigger an XRP rally before?

Yes. In April 2025, XRP funding rates turned highly negative near $1.60. A short squeeze followed, helping the price surge to about $3.65 by July.

Can negative funding rates alone cause an XRP price reversal?

No. Negative funding rates only show trader sentiment. A real rally usually needs catalysts like strong demand, positive news, or improving market conditions.

What should traders watch next for XRP in March 2026?

Traders are watching funding rates, market sentiment, and regulatory developments like the CLARITY Act for signs that could trigger the next price move.

Bitcoin Price Hits $71K While Stocks and Silver Fall: Is the Crypto Bear Market Over?

AI Models Favor Bitcoin Over Fiat in New Study

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Stocks are falling. Silver is sliding. Oil is climbing on war fears. And Bitcoin just hit $71,490. That’s not how risk assets are supposed to behave. But here we are.

Since the US and Israel launched strikes on Iran, Bitcoin dropped near $63,000. It has since recovered close to 10%. While Asian equities sold off and oil prices pushed higher on supply route fears, Bitcoin seems to be going the other direction.

Van de Poppe Has a Theory

Analyst Michaël van de Poppe posted what might be the most-watched crypto call this week:

“Constantly higher lows are made on the markets, therefore upside on Bitcoin. The upside on commodities is done. The bear phase for Bitcoin is also done. Good times are ahead.”

That’s a big statement after five straight months of losses, which is the worst streak Bitcoin has seen since the 2018 bear market.

Why Is Bitcoin Going Up?

Market maker Enflux told CoinDesk: “The market is pricing in neither a catastrophe nor a solution. As the escalation did not immediately lead to a broader regional war, short-covering began.”

In other words, bearish traders closed their positions when the worst-case scenario didn’t materialize.

Bitcoin spot ETFs had shed $8.9 billion during the correction – the largest drawdown since their launch. In the past five trading days, $1.45 billion has come back. BlackRock’s IBIT, which led the selloff, is now leading the recovery with $882 million in weekly inflows.

Read More: Bitcoin ETF Flows Flip Green After Record $8.9B Drawdown: Why Is the Money Coming Back?

Bloomberg’s ETF analyst Eric Balchunas called it: “Breadth and depth. This after a 50% drawdown and most underwater. Even I’m impressed.”

CryptoQuant’s data adds another layer: exchange deposit volumes are low, which signals that sell-side pressure is exhausting itself.

Key Levels to Watch

Bitcoin is pushing toward the $74,373-$76,341 zone, where the EMA50 and SMA50 converge on the daily chart. This band has rejected price repeatedly since October 2025.

If it breaks above it, analysts see a path to $90,000. If it fails here, a return below $60,000 remains on the table.

The RSI has climbed to 54, just above neutral. The overall technical picture now reads Buy. But the SMA50 at $76,341 still signals Sell.

This recovery is gaining structure and hasn’t cleared the wall yet.

Altcoins Are Moving Too

Ethereum is up 6.77% on the day, Solana 7.88%, XRP 5.26%. The altcoin season index reads 32 out of 100 – deep in Bitcoin Season territory.

Polymarket gives a 74% probability that Bitcoin reaches $75,000 this month, which is the exact resistance zone the technicals are pointing to.

Whether this is the start of something or just another relief rally before pain, the next two weeks on Bitcoin’s chart will have the answer.

Bitcoin ETF Flows Flip Green After Record $8.9B Drawdown: Why Is the Money Coming Back?

Bitcoin Trades Sideways Near $68K Amid Market Uncertainty

The post Bitcoin ETF Flows Flip Green After Record $8.9B Drawdown: Why Is the Money Coming Back? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Bitcoin spot ETFs have staged their sharpest reversal since launching in January 2024. After losing $8.9 billion in the largest drawdown on record, $1.5 billion has flowed back in over the past five trading days.

CryptoQuant author Darkfost flagged the scale of the damage. The average realized price for ETF holders sits at roughly $79,000, while Bitcoin trades well below $70,000. That means the majority of institutional ETF buyers are underwater.

“More than $8.9 billion has flowed out of this market during the correction,” Darkfost noted, adding that “the trend now appears to have stabilized, with the drawdown recovering to around −$7.8B from the ATH.”

BlackRock’s IBIT: From Biggest Loser to Biggest Buyer

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) took the hardest hit during the selloff, shedding over 42,000 BTC from peak holdings of 806,000+. That alone represented massive selling pressure from the largest Bitcoin ETF on the market.

But IBIT is now leading the recovery. On March 2 alone, it pulled in $263 million. Weekly inflows across IBIT have reached $882 million, dwarfing every other fund.

And it’s not just BlackRock. Fidelity’s FBTC posted $156 million in weekly inflows. Bitwise’s BITB added $148 million. Even Grayscale’s GBTC, historically an outflow machine, recorded $102 million in weekly inflows.

Nearly all 10 original spot Bitcoin ETFs are in the green this week.

You Might Find This Interesting: Crypto Bull Run 2026: Analyst Says AI Bubble, Silent Recession, Record Fear May Trigger a Rally

Bitcoin ETF Inflows Signal a Shift in March 2026

The monthly data tells the bigger story. Outflows decelerated sharply across four consecutive months: November saw -$3.47 billion, December -$1.09 billion, January -$1.6 billion, and February just -$206 million. That’s a 94% reduction.

March 2 delivered the cleanest signal yet: $458 million in net inflows with zero outflows across all 12 listed funds.

Total net assets now stand at $88.4 billion, with cumulative historical inflows at $55.4 billion.

Read More: Who Dumped $5B in Bitcoin as Israel Strikes Iran? Binance and Wintermute Wallets Flagged Again

What Comes Next?

Bloomberg’s senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas called the recovery notable, writing that Bitcoin ETFs recorded their biggest haul in a while, with nearly all original funds seeing action.

“Breadth and depth,” he wrote. “This after a 50% drawdown and most underwater. Even I’m impressed.”

Five days of inflows don’t confirm a trend reversal.

But after four months of bleeding, institutional money returning at this pace, and this broadly, is the strongest signal Bitcoin ETF markets have produced in 2026.

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