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Are the Thunder Still in Position as NBA Finals Favorites?

May 30, 2026; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) controls the ball against San Antonio Spurs forward Julian Champagnie (30) in the fourth quarter during game seven of the western conference finals for the 2026 NBA playoffs at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images

The NBA offseason has been wild, to say the least.

Blockbuster trades featuring names such as Kawhi Leonard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jaylen Brown, Paul George and LaMelo Ball have completely rewritten the identity of several franchises. And the biggest free agent, LeBron James, is out of Los Angeles and will have a new team fairly soon.

This may go down as the craziest 10 days in NBA history pic.twitter.com/GYCLZCoLkZ

— The Lead (@TheLeadSM) July 1, 2026

Amidst all the chaos surrounding them, the Oklahoma City Thunder have remained noticeably quiet in comparison. With the new CBA, it’s all about avoiding the second apron and losing future draft capital. In order to mitigate these issues, the Thunder traded key role players Isaiah Joe and Aaron Wiggins to the Detroit Pistons and Atlanta Hawks, respectively, netting second-round draft picks in return. 

Their other big move was re-signing Isaiah Hartenstein to a new contract through 2028-29, adding to what he already had in effect. He will receive an additional $47 million, totaling $134 million for his five years with the franchise, fully guaranteed.

The Thunder Battled a Post-Championship Hangover All Season

Following their spectacular championship run in 2024-25, the Thunder entered the 2025-26 campaign as the undisputed “top dog.” They played like it too, tearing through the regular season to rack up an impressive 64 wins. Winning at that clip is brutal in the modern NBA, but doing it on the heels of a grueling seven-game title run while navigating a relentless wave of injuries is nothing short of heroic.

At one point or another, 10 different rotation players missed at least 10 games. Yet, OKC kept rolling. But the wear and tear finally caught up to them in the Western Conference Finals.

2025-26 Oklahoma City Thunder Most Frequently Played Lineups… pic.twitter.com/eHsyZG43hf

— Basketball University (@UofBasketball) July 6, 2026

Facing Victor Wembanyama and the ascending San Antonio Spurs, a severely banged-up Thunder squad saw its season end in a heartbreaking seven-game series. The re-injuries to Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell during that series ultimately hobbled the offense.

The fact that a short-handed Thunder team still pushed a rising juggernaut to seven games — and could have realistically won had they secured a few crucial defensive rebounds in the second half — speaks volumes about this team’s collective talent, depth, and sheer will.

Presti is betting heavily on internal growth, draft injection, and better health. The front office added elite young depth by selecting Aday Mara (12th overall) and Bennett Stirtz (16th overall) in the draft, with both rookies expected to contribute immediately.

If JDub and Mitchell can stay healthy next May, and if the rookies flash their expected upside, Oklahoma City’s depth remains unmatched. But to truly reclaim the throne next June, the focus shifts squarely to the development of their top stars.

Gilgeous-Alexander and JDub Need to Evolve Offensively

As phenomenal as Gilgeous-Alexander was en route to his back-to-back MVP awards, the Spurs managed to bother him for prolonged stretches in the Conference Finals. Wembanyama is a singular, rim-deterring force, but the relentless perimeter ball pressure from Stephon Castle and Carter Bryant, combined with San Antonio’s shape-shifting help defense, frequently disrupted Shai’s usual rhythm.

At his best, SGA punished aggressive help looks with elite playmaking, logging a career-series-high 8.9 assists per game in the Spurs series. The Thunder found creative ways to get him downhill, utilizing screens and seals from Isaiah Hartenstein, wing-clearing cuts, and off-ball screens to space the floor. This resulted in masterclasses in Game 2 (30 points, 9 assists) and Game 7 (35 points, 9 assists).

SGA HITS AGAIN. HE'S GOT 33.

6-POINT GAME WITH UNDER 7 TO GO IN GAME 7. pic.twitter.com/ABvDVqUuBQ

— NBA (@NBA) May 31, 2026

When forced out of his comfort zone, however, things got rough. The off-the-dribble three-point proficiency SGA displayed during the regular season (39.1% on 3.4 attempts) evaporated against San Antonio’s length, plummeting to just 5-of-22 (22.7%) in the series. With Wembanyama walling off the paint and perimeter defenders aggressively loading the gaps, the midrange evaporated, leaving SGA isolated.

To dismantle a defense specifically engineered to stop him, SGA’s next evolutionary step lies in his perimeter volume and processing speed. Tightening up his pass placement, particularly on kick-outs to the corner, which occasionally drifted high or outside the shooter’s pocket, will be vital when playoff margins shrink to zero.

Williams, meanwhile, largely earns a pass after battling health limitations during the postseason.

Still, his half-court shot selection warrants monitoring. He leans heavily on the short midrange, and the question heading into next season is whether he’s choosing those looks or being forced into them by collapsing defenses. A fully healthy, multi-level scoring campaign from JDub remains OKC’s highest-upside variable.

Welcome back, JDUB!

He's got 10 points in 9 minutes of action for OKC pic.twitter.com/NWCUeIQvuI

— NBA (@NBA) May 19, 2026

Cason Wallace‘s Rise Could Solve the Lu Dort Dilemma

Following the slew of financial moves made by Sam Presti, guard Cason Wallace emerges as the biggest winner of all. Fresh off earning All-Defensive honors, Wallace showed stellar two-way flashes that have given OKC all the more reason to capitalize on their newly opened salary space.

In the midst of the team’s injury-riddled regular-season stretch, Wallace was handed significantly increased offensive duties. During February, when he started all 12 games, he averaged nearly 15 points and five assists. OKC went 8-4 in that stretch. When the playoffs arrived, Wallace was second on the Thunder in postseason three-pointers made, hitting them at a team-best 48.4 percent clip.

Cason Wallace led the NBA in total steals in both the regular season AND in the postseason. He is the 5th player in NBA history to accomplish that.

2026 Cason Wallace
2015 Steph Curry
2010 Rajon Rondo
2002 Jason Kidd
1975 Rick Barry pic.twitter.com/lrcDVaOSGd

— OKC Thunder Stats (@ThunderNumbers) June 20, 2026

Because of this rapid evolution, extending Wallace this offseason should not be a question. He enters the 2027 offseason as a restricted free agent, and waiting until the open market risks a costly bidding war that could cost the franchise millions.

That urgency ties directly to the Lu Dort situation. The Thunder opted into Dort’s final year under contract, but it is no guarantee he starts the season in Oklahoma City. With a massive cap crunch looming, the possibility of moving Dort continues to grow. Should that trade happen, a gap opens perfectly in the starting lineup. Wallace is tailor-made to fill it.

The Thunder Should Still Be Viewed as Championship Favorites

According to Fanduel, the Thunder and the Spurs make up the top two odds on favorites to win the title. This makes sense considering the amount of talent they have in comparison to everyone else. The Thunder were down two important ball handlers and still took San Antonio to seven games. As most bettors and fans see it, it’s currently a toss-up as to which team is better.

But if being the favorite means possessing the highest baseline, the most organic upside, and having the best player in the league, then the answer is yes, the Oklahoma City Thunder should be the favorites.

The margins for error have officially vanished. But Sam Presti has prepared for moments like these, stacking draft capital and doing whatever it takes to put his team in the best position to succeed.

The post Are the Thunder Still in Position as NBA Finals Favorites? appeared first on The Lead.

OKC Thunder Head Coach Makes Huge Jump In Basketball Career

OKC Thunder head coach Mark Daigneault reveals team mindset for the NBA playoffs.
OKC Thunder head coach Mark Daigneault reveals team mindset for the NBA playoffs. Getty
INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - JUNE 19: Head coach Mark Daigneault of the Oklahoma City Thunder arrives prior to playing the Indiana Pacers in Game Six of the 2025 NBA Finals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on June 19, 2025 in Indianapolis, Indiana. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - JUNE 19: Head coach Mark Daigneault of the Oklahoma City Thunder arrives prior to playing the Indiana Pacers in Game Six of the 2025 NBA Finals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on June 19, 2025 in Indianapolis, Indiana. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
ORLANDO, FL - MARCH 17: Head Coach Mark Daigneault of the Oklahoma City Thunder talks with the media during the pre-game presser prior to the game against the Orlando Magic at the Kia Center on March 17, 2026 in Orlando, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Don Juan Moore/Getty Images)
ORLANDO, FL - MARCH 17: Head Coach Mark Daigneault of the Oklahoma City Thunder talks with the media during the pre-game presser prior to the game against the Orlando Magic at the Kia Center on March 17, 2026 in Orlando, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Don Juan Moore/Getty Images)

OKC Thunder head coach Mark Daigneault will be making a massive breakthrough in his career as he is named as one of the assistant coaches in USA Basketball, the national program of Team USA. 

Daigneault will be an assistant under Team USA head coach Erik Spoelstra, a two-time NBA champion head coach with the Miami Heat. 

Daigneault will be joined by Detroit Pistons’ JB Bickerstaff and Gonzaga’s Mark Few, according to ESPN’s Shams Charania, who broke the news on Tuesday. 

USA Basketball is expected to name Oklahoma City's Mark Daigneault, Detroit's JB Bickerstaff and Gonzaga's Mark Few as assistant coaches for national team coach Erik Spoelstra's staff, sources tell ESPN. pic.twitter.com/fLD5EQNlxe

— Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) July 14, 2026


Mark Daigneault Could Coach In The Los Angeles Olympics in 2028

GettyINDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA – JUNE 19: Head coach Mark Daigneault of the Oklahoma City Thunder arrives prior to playing the Indiana Pacers in Game Six of the 2025 NBA Finals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on June 19, 2025 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)

The staff is being assembled for upcoming Team USA commitments, including the FIBA World Cup in 2027 and the upcoming Los Angeles Olympics in 2028. 

The 41-year-old Daigneault led the Thunder to the franchise’s first-ever NBA championship in 2025. He also coached the team to three straight top seeds in the Western Conference. 

Daigneault has served as the head coach for the Oklahoma City Thunder since 2020, earning recognition as one of the top coaches in the NBA. Daigneault was named the NBA Coach of the Year for the 2023–24 season.

Daigneault has been the coach of two-time reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is playing as the team captain of Team Canada. 

Daigneault served as the head coach of the Oklahoma City Blue, the NBA G League affiliate of the Oklahoma City Thunder, for five seasons from 2014 to 2019, before being named as the Thunder head tactician in 2020, when Billy Donovan stepped down from his post. 

He coached the team from its rebuilding and developmental years to becoming one of the biggest powerhouses in the NBA. 


Mark Daigneault Gives Heartfelt Message To The OKC Thunder Organization After 2025-2026 Playoff Heartbreak

GettyORLANDO, FL – MARCH 17: Head Coach Mark Daigneault of the Oklahoma City Thunder talks with the media during the pre-game presser prior to the game against the Orlando Magic at the Kia Center on March 17, 2026 in Orlando, Florida. (Photo by Don Juan Moore/Getty Images)

The OKC Thunder lost in a heartbreaking Game 7 against the San Antonio Spurs in the Western Conference Finals in the past season.

After the tough loss, Daigneault had a heartwarming message for the team during his 2025-2026 NBA season exit interview. 

“I’d rather wake up today eliminated from the playoffs coaching this team than any other team. It’s not necessarily what we do, but it’s how we go about it. And I don’t take that for granted one day,” he said. 

“My first thing is gratitude for everybody. Gratitude for Sam (Presti), obviously. Gratitude for all the people I get to work with. The people that do the heavy lifting, who put the wind at my back and everybody’s backs with the work they do behind the scenes in the organization. Gratitude for the players and the team I’ve had the privilege of coaching. There’s no team I’d rather be coaching,” he added. 

Daigneault also spoke about disappointment and pride after such a tumultuous run this season, which involved numerous injury woes, such as those of Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell. 

“I think you can be simultaneously disappointed and also proud of the path that took us to the point where we could be disappointed. “I think here’s what happens if you get too focused on the way the season ends: You can dilute the importance of all the things that lead up to that, from the summer work to training camp to the regular season. The start of the regular season, the middle, the end and then the playoff run,” he said. 

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