The MLB best home run bets have run well lately. Unfortunately, Jo Adell and the Dodgers’ Max Muncy didn’t hit home runs on Friday, dropping the season’s record for home run props to 13-44, with three no-bets.

Every article won’t provide winning home run bets. They’re rightfully priced at long odds because they’re long-shot wagers, and the two incorrect picks on Friday could be the start of a cold streak, as those are always just around the corner in this particular betting market.

Still, it’s been a profitable season for MLB best home run bets to date. Anyone who’s bet $100 on each of the suggested home run props at the listed odds has profited $1,127. Players with +329 and +425 odds to hit a home run offer an excellent opportunity to add to the season’s profits tonight.

MLB Best Home Run Bets

Jackson Chourio (Milwaukee Brewers - OF)

Over 0.5 Home Runs (+329) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Brady Singer is a punching bag for hitters this year. Among tonight’s probable starters, Singer has the third-highest home runs allowed per nine innings (2.32 HR/9) in 2026.

The 29-year-old righty has allowed 17 home runs in 14 starts in 2026, coughing up at least one in 10 of those starts, and permitting multiple homers in five turns. Singer has allowed nine homers in six starts at home, avoiding a home run in only one of those starts, and allowing multiple homers in three of them.

The Brewers should take him deep at least once, but multiple players could launch home runs against him tonight. Picking one hitter from the Brewers was challenging, but Jackson Chourio was the top pick.

The 22-year-old right-handed-hitting outfielder has hit 10 home runs in 41 games and 192 plate appearances this season. Chourio has hit seven of his 10 homers in 136 plate appearances against right-handed pitching this year.

The toolsy outfielder also has fantastic batted-ball data. Among 259 qualified hitters in 2026, Chourio is tied for 20th in barrels per plate appearance rate (9.6%), 29th in barrels per batted-ball event rate (14.1%), tied for 34th in hard-hit rate (48.8%), tied for 21st in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (96.8 mph) and tied for 135th in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (33.6%).

Chourio’s likelihood of hitting a home run tonight is also enhanced by where he’s playing. Great American Ball Park’s 118 park factor for homers since 2025 is tied for the third-highest mark since 2025. Chourio should take advantage of his plus matchup and park factors tonight and hit a home run.

Alec Burleson (St. Louis Cardinals - 1B)

Over 0.5 Home Runs (+425) at theScore Bet

Alec Burleson hit a career-high 21 home runs in 152 games and 595 plate appearances in 2024 before dipping to 18 home runs in 139 games and 546 plate appearances in 2025. Burleson has bounced back with 13 homers in 74 games and 326 plate appearances this year, putting him on pace for a new career high.

The left-handed-hitting first baseman has a career-high 49.6% pull rate and a career-high 14.1% home runs per fly-ball rate (HR/FB) this year. His 91.6 mph average exit velocity in 2026 is only 0.1 mph behind his career high 91.7 mph on only 39 batted balls in his MLB debut in 2022.

Burleson’s batted-ball data is mostly good this year. Among 259 qualified hitters this year, Burleson is 40th in barrels per plate appearance rate (8.4%), tied for 74th in barrels per batted-ball event rate (11.2%), 40th in hard-hit rate (48.3%), 39th in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (95.7 mph) and tied for 125th in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (33.9%).

Burleson has drilled 12 of his 13 home runs this year in 225 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, and he’s hit five in 113 plate appearances against righties at home.

He has a desirable matchup to hit a home run tonight. Merrill Kelly has allowed 15 home runs in 12 starts this year, coughing up at least one in nine starts. He has allowed multiple homers in four starts, including in three of his last four starts. Burleson should connect for a home run tonight.

This article was originally published on Forbes.com

To get a picture of what it takes to win at Ascot, and especially in any of what the British call “Group 1” (in American racing parlance, Grade 1) contests, we need only look at Orthodox’s fine musculature in the sumptuous Alan Crowhurst shot of his victorious finish in Day 5’s Norfolk Stakes, above. Rossa Ryan is in the irons guiding Orthodox to the win; but focus for a moment on the equine athlete’s airborne moment sailing down in the perigee of his last stride. Just because he’s finishing a stride in the Crowhurst shot doesn’t mean his work is done; on the contrary, he’s bunching up to prepare for another launch.

He’s brought his hind legs resolutely forward to land, and his power source, that mightily-muscled rump, is poised to fire him forward the second his rear hooves touch the ground. That explosion will raise his chest at the same time that his forelegs will claw up into the air again to gain another apogee in the next stride’s arc. This run, and this shot of it, are things of beauty, and they go to the heart of why the British Royal family have sponsored Royal Ascot for the last three hundred years. Pictured below, the beautifully worn boots of an unnamed rider from a royal stable and his runner’s finely nourished musculature on Day 5.

What would Day 5 be without the King and Queen closing things out? Yes, there was the Royal Procession. Pictured below, Charles III deep in conference with Sir Francis Brooke, the Chair of Ascot Authority Holdings, Ltd. and the man who, among many other delicate tasks, oversees the operations and not least, the guest list, of the Royal Enclosure.

A social and sartorial note: This superb and highly specific candid by the AFP’s Henry Nicholls tells us much because the photographer caught the king’s determined, serious mien. Whatever else he may be, Charles III is a good listener and has the force of his considerable wit about him, and here, in the very teeth of Royal Ascot’s social whirl – which is, in fact, a massive philanthropic enterprise in that virtually the entire profit of the week goes to charity – Charles is especially serious with his chief lieutenant, Sir Francis. That is some business that the gentlemen are discussing.

If we add to that the details of the king’s formal day kit that this portrait affords us – from the summery light-grey suitings to the tight parabola of the rolled brim on the topper and the breathtakingly precise double-dimple in the tie, which clears the neckband of the blaze-white collar to frame and lift the face – we can fairly observe that this no-nonsense, refreshingly outspoken British king looks ready for business. Of any sort or description.

No moss, but long tons of embroidered floral motif in silver and blaze gold have gathered on Flora Macdonald Johnston, via her superbly cut suit, pictured above on Day 5. The former Financial Times and Vogue writer and editor – currently the fashion director at Koibird, a retailer in Central London’s Marylebone – clearly has an eye for detail: Those bright little applique blooms asymmetrically studding the skirt and lining the pocket flaps of the jacket outshine even the lush peonies in the background. Unknown is whether they are daisies, or more historically political Jacobean white roses.

Because: This Flora Macdonald Johnston is eminently Scots, her family house is in Aberdeenshire, the eastern jut of Scotland into the North Sea just below the Firth of Forth, or as she once put it in an interview, “at the ass end of nowhere.” That beloved family place is just a stone’s throw across the northern reaches of Scotland from the Hebrides, where Flora Macdonald Johnston’s famous 18th-century namesake, Flora MacDonald, is buried on the isle of Skye. The 18th century heroine was was a central actor in helping to save Bonnie Prince Charlie (the Jacobean prince Charles Stuart) from the British forces after his, Charles’ loss to the British at the Battle of Culloden. MacDonald booked the boat and sailed with the prince and a small entourage to Skye on June 28, 1746 – considered a great coup to this day, despite it landing MacDonald in the Tower of London after her own arrest. No, she was not beheaded.

Unknown is whether the current Flora Macdonald Johnston is descended from her ferociously patriotic namesake – pictured above is the 1749 Allan Ramsay portrait of the noble Scotswoman that hangs in Oxford’s Ashmolean Museum. However the MacDonald/Macdonald DNA has worked its way down in Scotland over the last three centuries, it’s safe to say that Flora Macdonald Johnston seems to have been aptly named – she shares an indomitable serenity-in-ferocity with the Scotswoman lovingly rendered by Ramsay above.

Sometimes, it’s just plain bracing to see that the old, bad habits of legendary drinker-and-smoker Winston Churchill are being lovingly cared for in today’s increasingly sleek and all-correct Britain, especially at contemplative moments of recreation, as the more serious British racegoers view a day at Royal Ascot. Pictured above, the hardworking AFP shooter Henry Nicholls produces yet another fine portrait in his shot of a young handicapper luxuriating in the Zenlike smoke-wreathed focus required to select just the perfect and perfectly-priced mounts to back in the next race. Because: Those British bookmakers. You cannot go unarmed among them without, like a sheep, being roundly fleeced.

The highly agile Alan Crowhurst has done us a great favor by bringing concrete cloakroom evidence of the many social and administrative challenges that the (famous) Royal Ascot costume edicts require in order to be properly met. For instance: the twinned projects of drinking, while keeping track of your beaverskin. Both are obligatory, simultaneous modes of behavior at Royal Ascot, especially so in the various “enclosures,” at the very pinnacle of which is the Royal Enclosure.

You’ll notice that, while actually “racing,” the king offlays his iconic beaverskin in the Royal Box. The ladies in attendance, very much including the Queen of course, do not. What to do? Well, the gentlemen need a place to park the lids because, the social froth in the Royal Box or in any other Royal Ascot enclosure can get quite demanding, and there are many, many black or grey toppers in attendance. One seven-and-a-half topper in black looks quite like another.

Did we mention that the “Ascot” top hat, bespoke in dove grey, retails for USD $833.93 currently at Lock & Co., in St. James’s? Those lids don’t grow on trees. It’s not kind of accessory you’d really like to lose tossing it aside as required in an Ascot box.

This article was originally published on Forbes.com