Recent on-chain data shows that a relevant class of Bitcoin investors known as long-term holders has continued to move out of their market positions.

LTHs Actively Switching To Distribution 

In a November 1st post on social media platform X, popular on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci shared an insight into the prevalent structural bias among Bitcoin’s long-term holders. Kesmeci’s analysis hinges on the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric, which tracks the net buying or selling behavior of Bitcoin’s long-term investors over a period of 30 days.

Related Reading: Bitcoin At A ‘Do-Or-Die’ Level As Cycle Faces First Real Test: Analyst

A positive reading is usually interpreted as a sign that the LTHs are in a net accumulation phase, as there are more market participants within this investor class buying Bitcoin than those who are selling. On the flipside, when the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric is negative, it means that the LTHs are in a distribution phase.

Kesmeci explained in his post that there has been an increasing amount of momentum towards the sell side of the metric. In the highlighted chart, around 400,000 BTC appears to have been sold off in the past 30 days. Interestingly, the LTHs don’t seem to be easing off on their sales — a behavior which stands equally as a source of concern. 

In a case where Bitcoin’s long-term investors do desist from selling their holdings, Bitcoin could put in a local price bottom, as this typically indicates renewed interest and ‘smart money’ positioning for the next cycle. However, if this distribution momentum continues to grow, the premier cryptocurrency could continue towards the downside, as its long-term holders continue to inject more bearish pressure.

LTH 2.2% Supply Drop Relatively Modest — Analyst

In another X post, crypto pundit Darkfost shed light on the implications of Bitcoin’s LTH behavior shift. According to the analyst, the 2.2% “modest reduction” of Bitcoin LTH supply in October is not much to worry about, especially when compared to the levels seen in 2024. 

As of March 2024, Bitcoin’s LTH supply dropped by approximately 5.05%. In December, there was an even higher decline of about 5.2%. Darkfost implied that the present distribution the market is seeing could therefore be a result of early profit taking, where the market could soon see a rebound of the Bitcoin price. 

Nonetheless, the long-term holder net position’s trend is one that should be monitored, as a move back towards neutral readings could signal the start of an accumulation phase and subsequent price reversal to the upside.

As of this writing, BTC is valued at approximately $110,750, with no significant movement in the past 24 hours.

The price of Bitcoin closed the historically bullish month of October on a loss for the first time in seven years. While the month started in typical fashion—on a bullish tear, the intense downturn didn’t begin until October 10, when US President Donald Trump threatened new trade tariffs on China.

Now, although the United States and China seem to have found a temporary truce, the cryptocurrency market has been unable to find similar relief. In fact, the latest on-chain data suggests that US investors are still less optimistic about the digital asset market, specifically Bitcoin.

Negative Coinbase Gap Premium Coincides With Massive ETF Outflows 

In a November 1st post on social media platform X, crypto analyst Maartunn revealed that the world’s largest cryptocurrency has seen extremely low demand in the United States in recent days. The relevant indicator here is the Coinbase Premium Gap, which has entered a deep red territory in the past few days.

This on-chain metric measures the difference between the Bitcoin price on the US-based Coinbase exchange (USD pair) and the global Binance exchange (USDT pair). A positive difference indicates that the flagship cryptocurrency has a higher value on Coinbase than on Binance.

When the Coinbase Premium Gap is positive, it implies that US-based investors are purchasing Bitcoin aggressively. On the flip side, a negative Coinbase Premium Gap typically indicates heavy selling pressure for the market leader.

According to data highlighted by Maartunn, this on-chain metric is back around -$80, reflecting significant selling pressure from the US institutional players. This reduced demand can be seen with the disappointing performance of the US-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in recent days.

Data from SoSoValue shows the Bitcoin ETFs registered a total net outflow of more than $191 million on Friday. This marked the third consecutive day of negative outflows, having seen withdrawals of nearly $500 million each on Wednesday and Thursday.

From a historical perspective, a negative Coinbase Premium Gap is often correlated with periods of sluggish or downward movement for the BTC price. Hence, with the current intense selling pressure from large US investors, it is difficult to see the premier cryptocurrency making a strong recovery in the coming days.

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just above $110,200, reflecting a measly 0.9% jump in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is down exactly 1% in the last seven days.

After the market-wide downturn on October 10, the Bitcoin price showed no definite direction for the rest of the historically bullish month. At the moment, the premier cryptocurrency is struggling to gather any significant momentum to the upside. However, recent on-chain evaluation suggests that this period of relative silence could represent a springboard for the cryptocurrency’s sustained upswing.

Sender/Receiver Ratio Falls To One-Year Low 

In a recent Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, pseudonymous analyst CryptoOnchain shared an interesting insight into Bitcoin’s future trajectory, leaning towards a bullish hypothesis in the report.

The relevant on-chain indicator here is the Bitcoin Sender/Receiver Address Ratio, which compares the number of active sending (selling) addresses to receiving (buying) addresses. This metric acts as a means to gauge the prevalent market sentiment within a period of time. 

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A high ratio (with a reading above 1) indicates that there are more sending addresses compared to the buying addresses. As a result, there is expectedly greater selling pressure in this market condition. On the other hand, a low ratio (a reading approaching 1 and levels below) reflects the preponderance of buying addresses. 

CryptoOnchain reported that Bitcoin’s Sender/Receiver ratio on Binance has recently fallen to 1.34 — its lowest level in the past year. As previously explained, when this ratio falls to levels such as it currently reads, it usually indicates that there are more buying addresses relative to the amount of selling addresses in the market. 

This shift in investor leanings typically signals an accumulation phase, where more investors are willing to acquire Bitcoin on exchanges. 

Interestingly, the analyst also referenced historical evidence, explaining that periods where this shift in market sentiment occurred often preceded the establishment of local price bottoms. As of late 2024, the Sender/Receiver ratio fell to levels around 1.3, with significant upward movement following suit, and a similar pattern was seen in early 2023.

According to CryptoOnchain, this current consolidation phase could signal that the market’s foundation is gaining strength. Thus, if history is anything to go by, Bitcoin’s price could see an immense upward boost in the days to come — one which could sponsor the world’s leading asset to see a fine amount of growth in the mid-term. 

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

As of this writing, Bitcoin is worth approximately $109,899, reflecting no significant movement in the past day. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency is down by nearly 2% in the past seven days.

After what started as a disappointing week, the Coinbase stock (Ticker: COIN) seems to be back on a recovery path. COIN briefly climbed above the $360 level on Friday, October 31st, rallying on the positive earnings report and new developments from this week.

According to a new report, Coinbase has also entered into late-stage talks to purchase stablecoin infrastructure BVNK in an estimated $2 billion deal. This move represents a play in a much larger stablecoin industry push by the largest US-based cryptocurrency exchange.

Exchange Closes In On $2 Billion BVNK Deal

On Friday, Bloomberg reported that Coinbase is looking to complete a $2-billion acquisition of the London-based BVNK, pending due diligence. The San Francisco-based cryptocurrency company expects to close this deal before the year’s end or early next year, according to one of the sources close to the matter.

According to the report, the company’s venture capital arm, Coinbase Ventures, is an investor in BVNK. One of the cited sources also revealed that while the deal is already in late-stage talks, terms may change, and the deal is still at risk of collapsing. 

A Coinbase spokesperson told Bloomberg in a statement:

We don’t comment on rumors or speculation. Driven by our mission to expand economic freedom globally, we actively explore various opportunities—whether through building, acquiring, partnering, or investing – to advance our mission.

This latest Bloomberg report somewhat adds credence to the Fortune report—from earlier this week—that disclosed that Coinbase holds exclusivity with BVNK for takeover talks after winning the bidding war. Mastercard was reportedly also engaged in talks with the stablecoin infrastructure before setting its sights on Zerohash, another crypto startup, for over $1.5 billion. 

Hence, this BVNK purchase by Coinbase, if completed, would represent the latest one in a growing list of stablecoin-related deals in recent months. These developments come on the back of the introduction of the first crypto regulation (the GENIUS Stablecoin Act) in the United States.

Coinbase Posts Strong Earnings In Q3 2025

While Coinbase’s Q3 earnings call trended for an unusual reason, after CEO Brian Armstrong dropped a list of crypto buzzwords relevant to the Mentions Market, the crypto company delivered strong profits in the last quarter. 

The US-based crypto company reported about $1.9 billion in revenue and a bottom line of approximately $432.6 million in 2025’s third quarter, representing a 55% year-over-year increase. Meanwhile, the firm’s Bitcoin holdings have also jumped by 2,772 BTC to 14,458.

As of this writing, the Coinbase stock (COIN) is valued at about $343.78, reflecting a 4.6% jump in the past 24 hours. While the company’s stock traded as high as $361 on Friday, it witnessed a correction before closing the day around the $340 mark.