Ethereum’s bullish momentum has intensified throughout the weekend, with the price climbing above $4,100. This steady recovery follows a strong rebound from the $3,500 region after a crash earlier in the month. 

Investor sentiment, as shown by trading volume and flows on exchanges, has turned optimistic amidst the recovery. Now that Ethereum’s price action is starting to turn bullish again, a new technical analysis shared by crypto analyst Freedomby40 on the social media platform X suggests that the current rally could be far from over, projecting a possible long-term climb to $16,000.

Wave Count Structure Points To A Continuation Phase

Freedomby40’s analysis, which is based on the Elliott Wave structure, presents Ethereum as currently positioned in an extended bullish sequence that began forming in late 2022. Posting the technical analysis on X, the analyst noted that Ethereum’s price action looks great for a continuation. 

His chart shows that the asset has just completed a corrective phase and is entering a renewed impulse wave, with support established between $3,225 and $3,563 at the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zones, respectively. The analyst labels this zone as the ideal accumulation area for the next leg up, consistent with previous cycle structures seen in 2017 and 2021.

The Elliott Wave projection in his analysis presents a multi-layered confluence of impulse waves extending to the third degree. It illustrates that Ethereum is currently unfolding its fifth major impulse wave in a structure that traces back to mid-2022. 

The internal structure of this wave sequence also reveals a C wave in motion, which itself contains smaller sub-impulse waves. Within that C wave, Ethereum appears to be entering its own fifth sub-wave, which is known to be a decisively bullish wave.

Based on this setup, the analyst outlined two potential target zones on the chart: a green box representing the realistic price range for this wave cycle and a red box depicting the higher, more extended scenario that could push Ethereum’s market cap into the trillion-dollar level.

Fibonacci Extensions Predict Targets Of $9,000, $11,000, And $16,000

Freedomby40’s analysis identifies multiple price levels based on Fibonacci extensions from the current price action. The first price target is at $6,303, which is based on the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. This initial price target will see the Ethereum price break above its current all-time high, but this is the first of many.

The next target, the 1.236 extension, is positioned around $9,013. These two price targets ($6,303 and $9,013) were described by the analyst as very realistic. Possible extensions are at the 1.382 and 1.618 Fibonacci extension levels, corresponding to $11,210 and $16,077, respectively.

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $4,160, up by 5.2% in the past 24 hours. Freedomby40’s outlook joins a growing list of ultra-bullish Ethereum price forecasts from institutional research desks and top analysts. Standard Chartered Bank recently raised its 2025 price target for Ethereum to $7,500, while projecting a potential long-term path to $25,000 by 2028.

Ethereum is showing renewed strength after rebounding from its Bull Market Support Band, a key zone that has historically served as a launchpad for major uptrends. The bounce signals a possible shift in momentum, but the real test now lies ahead. With the price approaching the crucial golden pocket resistance, a breakthrough is likely to confirm a sustained bullish phase.

ETH Bounces Back From Weekly Bull Market Support Band

In his recent update on ETH, Luca, a crypto analyst on X, noted that the asset has once again found solid footing at a familiar support area. According to Luca, the price has successfully bounced off the Weekly Bull Market Support Band. This rebound also aligns perfectly with the high-timeframe support range highlighted in his previous PAT updates, reaffirming the technical strength of this level.

He emphasized that this move was largely anticipated, as the support zone has repeatedly proven to be a reliable area for bullish reactions whenever ETH enters a corrective phase. The recent bounce signals that buyers are still active and willing to defend key levels, which could set the stage for renewed momentum if sustained.

However, Luca urged caution in the short term, pointing out that ETH is now approaching a major resistance zone. This zone corresponds with the golden pocket area between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, where Ethereum previously encountered selling pressure. A failure to break above this region could result in sideways movement or a minor pullback before any decisive trend shift occurs.

ETH Eyes High-Timeframe Resistance Range For Next Leg Up

The analyst further explained that if Ethereum manages to break above the current resistance range, it would signal a decisive shift in market structure. Such a move would confirm renewed bullish momentum, paving the way for a mid-term uptrend toward the high-timeframe resistance zone marked in red. 

He added that as long as ETH holds above the “golden pocket” zone after a breakout, the most likely outcome remains further upward. Sustaining momentum above this key area would reinforce the bullish narrative, suggesting that Ethereum could continue climbing toward higher resistance levels without facing major corrections.

However, until that breakout occurs, the analyst expects a period of consolidation around the current support band. According to the analyst, this phase would likely serve as a base for a more durable upside reversal in the future. At this time, patience remains essential, as the ongoing structure hints that Ethereum is preparing for a stronger, more sustained rally once the market confirms direction.

The cryptocurrency market has not had its typical “Uptober” performance so far this month, with most large-cap assets falling to new local lows in the past few months. The Ethereum price, which was on the verge of hitting $5,000 a few weeks ago, is now languishing below the $4,000 mark.

While the “king of altcoins” had a stop-start performance over the past week, its price seems to be in a better place than it was seven days ago. However, an interesting outlook has emerged for the Ethereum price, with the altcoin believed to have already reached its peak in this cycle.

How Feasible Is A Double Top For ETH Price?

Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently took to the social media platform X to share insights into the current setup of the Ethereum price. According to the market pundit, the second-largest cryptocurrency could be in for an extended bearish period over the next few weeks.

This evaluation revolves around the potential formation of the “double top” pattern on the 3-day timeframe of the Ethereum chart. For context, the double top formation is a technical analysis pattern suggesting a possible bearish trend reversal after an asset’s price touches a resistance level without breaking through.

As observed in the chart above, the initial top came around late 2021 during the altcoin season when the price of ETH rose to the then-all-time high of above $4,800. This price peak was followed by a market crash, which saw the value of Ethereum drop to around the $1,000 mark by mid-2026. 

Meanwhile, the purported second top of this Ethereum price setup is the current all-time high of $4,946, reached earlier in August 2025. According to data from CoinGecko, the altcoin’s value is currently more than 20% adrift from this record high.

While the two tops (nearly four years) look somewhat identical, the price action between them makes it tricky to definitively call them a “double top” pattern. Moreover, the double top can only be confirmed when the price drops below the support level, which typically is the lowest point between the two peaks. This support level would then be at around $1,000, which is a significant distance from the current price point.

Nevertheless, it is important to pay attention to the price movement of ETH over the next few weeks, as it could provide insight into the coin’s future relative to this setup.

Ethereum Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of ETH stands at around $3,983, reflecting an almost 3% jump in the past 24 hours.

Unlike Bitcoin, the Ethereum price has struggled to hold up, and even after the crypto market recovery, the price remains below $4,000, which is a major psychological level. Given this, it seems that the cryptocurrency is set to close the month of October in the red, losing almost 5% of its value already this month. However, with the month of November quickly rolling by, the Ethereum price might be in for a bounce, as November has historically been green for the market.

November Could Hold The Key For Ethereum Price

Looking at the historical price data for Ethereum on the CryptoRank website, there seems to be a balance between years when the month was red and years when it was green. In a decade, there have been five years where the Ethereum price has seen gains in November and five years where there have been losses.

However, there seems to be a rather bullish pattern: the years when the month was green saw double-digit gains, eventually resulting in higher gains than losses. As a result, the average return for the month is 6.93%, and the median return, while low, also remains positive at 1.42%.

Given the fact that there is no clear trend to pinpoint where the price is headed, the bears and the bulls look to have equal chances. But if it does turn out to be in the green, it is likely that the Ethereum price will witness a double-digit surge. Such a move would help it clear the $4,000 resistance with momentum.

Q4 Still Has Potential

Quarterly returns for the Ethereum price have not exactly been the best in the last quarter of the year, but that has not changed the fact that the altcoin tends to perform quite well overall. There is also the trend of Q4 ending in the green if the previous Q2 and Q3 were in the green, which is the case right now.

In Q2 of 2025, the Ethereum price ended with an average positive return of 36.5% and in Q3, it followed with a 66.7% return, the highest so far. With October trending low, there is already a 4.83% decline this year, but with more than 2 months to go, there is still time for things to change.

Only one year in history has the Ethereum price closed Q4 in the red after Q2 and Q3 ended in the green, and that was nine years ago in 2016. Since then, the trend has always seen the ETH price continuing the rally. This was the case back in 2017, and then again in 2020 and 2021.

Since then, this trend has not returned, and 2025 is the first time in four years that the Ethereum price has ended both Q2 and Q3 in the green. If the historical performance holds, the Ethereum price could see an average of a 50% increase, or even double, like it did back in 2017 and 2020, before the year is over.

The financial world is witnessing an unprecedented shift, as Ethereum solidifies its position as the sole asset capable of becoming a multi-trillion-dollar institutional store of value. ETH is the only one currently demonstrating the scale, utility, and institutional acceptance to command and securely hold multi-trillion-dollar allocations, fundamentally redefining the future of global wealth preservation and growth.

Why Ethereum Is The Foundational Role For Institutional Capital

Ethereum has quietly become the final form of digital trust for institutions to store trillions of dollars. A market expert and entrepreneur, partnering with OKX and MEXC, Ted Pillows, has stated on the social media platform X that ETH decentralization is nearly impossible to replicate, a network that was largely community-funded, not VC-funded, and forged through proof-of-work (PoW).

Furthermore, the reliability of ETH has been 100% uptime over 10 years of flawless operation and 16 successful upgrades. The ETH Layer 1 and Layer 2 architectures are designed to offer regulatory safety, where institutions can deploy compliant solutions. Meanwhile, the KYC-enabled Layer 2s do not compromise on the fundamental decentralization or security of the leading ETH blockchain.

Maintaining A Buffer For Market Opportunities

While Ethereum is a safe place for institutional investors to store trillions of dollars, analyst Luca has noted that the ETH price has shown strength as it bounced off the Weekly Bull Market Support Band, which has previously acted as a strong reversal over several weeks. This level also aligns with the high-timeframe support area marked in green, the same zone that served as a major resistance throughout most of 2024.

Luca believes that due to this confluence, and as long as the price holds above this range, the broader market structure will continue to favor the upside. However, ETH still faces a critical test ahead. Until it breaks above the golden pocket between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement Point of Interest (POIs), the same zone that triggered the last rejection, the analyst highlighted that the best approach is to stay somewhat cautious. He also added that investors should be ready for further consolidation within the high-timeframe accumulation range. 

As Luca has highlighted, the priority now is risk management. Avoid unnecessary leverage, don’t overexpose on short-term setups, and maintain a diversified portfolio with moderate exposure to defensive sectors. This will help ride out the volatility as ETH moves closer to the top of the cycle. While advocating for a cash buffer, the expert noted that if ETH breaks below the Weekly Bull Market Support Band, it would signal a potential deeper downside and justify hedging part of spot holdings to mitigate short-term risk.