Crypto analyst CasiTrades has predicted that the XRP price could still crash to $1.4 in the final wave of this downtrend. This comes despite bullish catalysts such as the Fed rate cut, which could lift the altcoin to new highs. 

Analyst Predicts XRP Price Crash To $1.4

In an X post, CasiTrades stated that exchanges are aligning toward their .618 retracements, with Binance showing a crash to between $1.35 and $1.46 for the XRP price. She noted that this next wave down would complete the macro Wave 2 correction, setting the stage for the next Wave 3 impulse that could send XRP toward $6.50 or $10.

This came as the analyst remarked that the XRP price was at a major decision point, with the price continuing to test the Wave 4 highs. She noted that this resistance is making another wave down a possibility. To invalidate the move down, CasiTrades stated that XRP needs to break and hold above $2.82 on Binance. 

However, so far, the XRP price hasn’t done so, with CasiTrades noting that the price is still ranging between support and resistance. She explained that this leans toward this being a Wave 4, with the altcoin one final move lower before the next macro impulse. The analyst ruled out a V-shaped recovery, noting that price typically breaks through resistance immediately and decisively, which is not happening with the current price action. 

She further remarked that the hesitation suggests that selling pressure isn’t fully exhausted for the XRP price. However, CasiTrades assured that the deeper support levels aren’t a reason to panic, as they are high conviction accumulation zones. Meanwhile, the analyst highlighted a discrepancy in the price action on different exchanges. 

She noted that the XRP price on Binance wicked to $0.77 during the $19 billion liquidation event, while on Coinbase, XRP never reached its .618 retracement level. CasiTrades then reiterated that until $2.82 breaks, the price action favors one final wave down before the next major move up.

XRP’s Bull Run Isn’t Over

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has assured that the bull run isn’t over for the XRP price, despite predictions that the top may be in. He stated that as long as XRP holds above $2.20 and $1.97 as monthly closes, then there is no structural break. He also believes that the altcoin and other risk assets are about to “roar.”

Egrag Crypto noted that quantitative tightening is still active and that Fed rate cuts are just beginning. In line with this, he declared that the last leg up is still waiting to play out. He claimed that cycles don’t end when 50% of traders are cautious, but do when everyone is “drunk on euphoria.”

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.6, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is fast approaching, and the bets are already pouring in as to what it would mean for the Bitcoin and crypto industry. The last FOMC meeting took place in September, when the Federal Reserve ended up cutting rates down to 4-4.25% after months of no rate cuts. With this setting the tone, the expectations that another rate cut could be on the way are getting louder, with the FedWatch Tool showing a high percentage.

Market Expects Another Rate Cut To 3.75-4%

The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for Wednesday, October 29, 2025, and there is already a major clamor around what the Fed is planning on doing. The current market headwinds point to a favorable outcome for risk assets such as Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, with expected rate cuts.

Currently, the CME FedWatch Tool is showing that the probability of a rate cut has risen to 98.3% as of the time of this writing. This leaves only a 1.7% chance that the Federal Reserve will actually leave rates at their current levels, and there is zero chance that there will be a rate hike.

A reduction in the rate cuts is good for businesses all around, as lower interest rates mean better loan terms and increased spending and borrowing. Thus, it will increase the participation in the markets, from consumer goods to the stock market, and then make its way into newer markets such as Bitcoin and crypto.

Expectations For Bitcoin And Crypto Are Getting Higher

A rate cut by the Federal Reserve aligns with the more pro-crypto stance that the United States has been moving in since President Donald Trump was elected. Last week, the president pardoned the Founder and former CEO of the Binance crypto exchange, Changpeng Zhao, after he previously pled guilty to money laundering violations back in 2024. Zhao has since served a 4-month stint before the pardon from Trump came.

With the US embracing Bitcoin and crypto again, a rate cut will only further the ascent, allowing more investors to get into the market as liquidity frees up. The initial announcement has been known to trigger a rapid increase in the market. But as the news settles, the crypto market is expected to continue to rise in response.

However, nothing is certain until the FOMC meeting is complete and the announcement is made. For the Bitcoin and crypto market to remain bullish, inflation will also have to be reduced, as an increase could trigger more conservative stances from investors.

The Bitcoin price is positioning for a potentially explosive move that could take it well beyond its previous all-time highs. Analysts are closely watching a critical resistance level near $116,000, which may serve as the final hurdle before BTC catapults into uncharted territory above $126,000. 

Analyst Predicts New Bitcoin Price All-Time High

Crypto analyst Donny Dicey revealed in an X social media post this week that the $116,000 price level is the decisive zone Bitcoin must breach to confirm a breakout toward a new all-time high. His technical analysis suggests that once BTC achieves a clean break above this resistance area, momentum could swiftly carry it above $126,000. 

Notably, Bitcoin set a new ATH on October 6, 2025, after breaking through its previous record above $124,000 and climbing past $126,000. Since achieving this level, the price of BTC has fallen dramatically to $115,000. Dicey’s accompanying chart shows the market steadily recovering after testing support near $108,000, marked as a “market structure break” region, with bullish price action consolidating above $109,000. 

The analyst has emphasized that each day Bitcoin maintains a close above $109,000 strengthens the probability of a strong upward swing as the market heads into November. This period coincides with the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) next meeting, where investors are anticipating dovish signals such as rate cuts or the formal end of Quantitative Tightening (QT).

Dicey also notes that bullish S&P 500 earnings, easing global trade tensions from a potential agreement between US President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping, and improving ISM manufacturing data point to a macro environment supportive of risk assets. A community member commented that whales may have underestimated how much BTC’s demand tends to persist during these conditions. Dicey responded that the same whales might become “exit liquidity” as Bitcoin accelerates higher, possibly missing out on the strongest phase of this cycle. 

Consolidation Above January Highs Signal Unbreakable Strength

In a follow-up analysis, Dicey highlighted Bitcoin’s remarkable stability above its January highs, describing its price structure as “unbreakable” amid global macroeconomic uncertainty. He pointed to several converging factors that reinforce BTC’s resilience, including ongoing fiscal and monetary expansion, a weakening US dollar, and renewed confidence in the global business cycle. 

The analyst also emphasized that geopolitical tensions tied to US-China relations appear to be subsiding. At the same time, ETF inflows and exponential growth in the Artificial Intelligence (AI) sector contribute to acting as tailwinds for digital assets. He disclosed that despite strong underlying fundamentals, skepticism remains widespread in the market.

According to him, many still believe in the traditional four-year cycle narrative, while retail enthusiasm has not fully returned. Furthermore, the Russell 2000 index has yet to breakout, and rotation from traditional assets, such as the S&P 500 and gold, into Bitcoin remains limited. With these developments subduing broader market participation, Dicey suggests it creates the perfect setup for a powerful rally in BTC once sentiment shifts decisively.

Ethereum’s bullish momentum has intensified throughout the weekend, with the price climbing above $4,100. This steady recovery follows a strong rebound from the $3,500 region after a crash earlier in the month. 

Investor sentiment, as shown by trading volume and flows on exchanges, has turned optimistic amidst the recovery. Now that Ethereum’s price action is starting to turn bullish again, a new technical analysis shared by crypto analyst Freedomby40 on the social media platform X suggests that the current rally could be far from over, projecting a possible long-term climb to $16,000.

Wave Count Structure Points To A Continuation Phase

Freedomby40’s analysis, which is based on the Elliott Wave structure, presents Ethereum as currently positioned in an extended bullish sequence that began forming in late 2022. Posting the technical analysis on X, the analyst noted that Ethereum’s price action looks great for a continuation. 

His chart shows that the asset has just completed a corrective phase and is entering a renewed impulse wave, with support established between $3,225 and $3,563 at the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zones, respectively. The analyst labels this zone as the ideal accumulation area for the next leg up, consistent with previous cycle structures seen in 2017 and 2021.

The Elliott Wave projection in his analysis presents a multi-layered confluence of impulse waves extending to the third degree. It illustrates that Ethereum is currently unfolding its fifth major impulse wave in a structure that traces back to mid-2022. 

The internal structure of this wave sequence also reveals a C wave in motion, which itself contains smaller sub-impulse waves. Within that C wave, Ethereum appears to be entering its own fifth sub-wave, which is known to be a decisively bullish wave.

Based on this setup, the analyst outlined two potential target zones on the chart: a green box representing the realistic price range for this wave cycle and a red box depicting the higher, more extended scenario that could push Ethereum’s market cap into the trillion-dollar level.

Fibonacci Extensions Predict Targets Of $9,000, $11,000, And $16,000

Freedomby40’s analysis identifies multiple price levels based on Fibonacci extensions from the current price action. The first price target is at $6,303, which is based on the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. This initial price target will see the Ethereum price break above its current all-time high, but this is the first of many.

The next target, the 1.236 extension, is positioned around $9,013. These two price targets ($6,303 and $9,013) were described by the analyst as very realistic. Possible extensions are at the 1.382 and 1.618 Fibonacci extension levels, corresponding to $11,210 and $16,077, respectively.

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $4,160, up by 5.2% in the past 24 hours. Freedomby40’s outlook joins a growing list of ultra-bullish Ethereum price forecasts from institutional research desks and top analysts. Standard Chartered Bank recently raised its 2025 price target for Ethereum to $7,500, while projecting a potential long-term path to $25,000 by 2028.

Crypto analyst CryptosRus has drawn attention to the open interest reset for XRP. The analyst also explained why this development could spark a major price surge for the altcoin. 

XRP’s Open Interest Drops To New Lows

In an X post, CryptosRus revealed that XRP’s open interest on Binance has dropped back to the same lows that were seen in May 2025. The analyst noted that back then, the liquidation flush sparked a massive rally for the altcoin, which pushed it to $3.50. He added that this time around, the open interest is at the floor again, but the price is holding around $2.6. 

CryptosRus stated that this means that leverage is gone while the strong hands are still holding XRP. The analyst predicted that if new liquidity enters, this setup could signal the next leg up for the altcoin. He added that rallies usually start when leverage is low, spot demand is strong, and shorts are trapped. 

Notably, XRP has witnessed new demand with the launch of the largest XRP treasury company, Evernorth. The company has already accumulated up to $1 billion in XRP with Ripple’s backing and has revealed plans to continue accumulating more, using gains from its DeFi activities. Notably, the company stated that it will purchase XRP on the open market, which is expected to impact the altcoin’s price. 

Meanwhile, the SEC is expected to approve the spot XRP ETFs once the U.S. government shutdown ends. This could drive new liquidity into the altcoin, boosting its price. Moreover, experts such as Canary Capital’s CEO Steven McClurg have predicted that the XRP ETFs could see more inflows in their first month than the Ethereum ETFs did. 

XRP Is Gearing Up For A ‘Face Melting’ Rally

Crypto analyst Ether stated that XRP is quietly gearing up to melt faces and that most aren’t even aware or ready for what is coming. This came as the analyst alluded to an earlier analysis, in which he revealed that a similar scenario from a previous cycle was playing out for the altcoin. 

Ethere stated that XRP’s cyclical structure is showing a striking similarity again. After the altcoin’s rally in 2017, its price was rejected from the 2013 all-time high (ATH) level and then retested the 2014 ATH level, which had previously acted as resistance. XRP then began its parabolic run after it accumulated strength in that range. 

Now, this same XRP price action is playing out again, according to Ether. He noted that after the strong surge in 2024, the altcoin’s price was rejected at the 2017 ATH level and retested the 2021 ATH level, which had previously acted as resistance. The analyst added that the power accumulation phase is now underway in this region and that once it is complete, the next parabolic run will be inevitable. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.63, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Over the years, a number of indicators have emerged that have often helped to pinpoint the Bitcoin bull market peak. These indicators have been triggered in previous cycles, and their triggers have often been a signal that it was time to get out of the market, as a new bear market is underway. However, this time around, even with the Bitcoin price hitting multiple new all-time highs, none of these cycle peak indicators have been triggered, suggesting that the market top has yet to be reached.

0 Out Of 30 Bull Market Peak Indicators Triggered

The Bull Market Peak Indicator tracker on the Coinglass website follows a total of 30 indicators that follow 30 indicators that show the progress of the Bitcoin bull market toward reaching a top. Some major ones include the Bitcoin Bubble Index, the Puell Multiple, the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, and the Altcoin Season Index, among others.

Usually, these indicators are tracked on a scale of 0-100%, with 0% meaning that it is far from being triggered and 100% showing that an indicator has been triggered. If only a few of these get to the 100% mark and are triggered, it usually doesn’t mean that the Bitcoin peak has been reached.

However, even now, not one of these indicators has been triggered. Most continue to remain quite low, while the likes of the Bitcoin dominance are high, but still have not been triggered. For there to be a definite progress toward the Bitcoin market peak, at least half of these would have to be triggered.

What This Means For Investors

Since none of the bull market peak indicators have been triggered, it means that the Bitcoin price might actually be far away from its all-time high. With the score still being 0 out of 30, it points to this being a time to hold, despite the declines that the market has suffered recently.

According to a previous report from Bitcoinist, this was the case a few months ago, and now two months later, the tracker remains the same. Thus, it could be that $126,000 is not the all-time high for Bitcoin, and that the market could end up getting an altcoin season after all.

In the case that more than half of the bull market peak indicators do get triggered, then it means that the top of the market is getting close. Once it gets to 30/30, then it signals the start of the next bear market, and this is when selling is at its highest in the market, leading to rapid price declines across the board.

The XRP/BTC monthly chart has finally snapped the long diagonal that’s capped XRP since 2018, and one analyst on X thinks that shift could rewrite the pecking order. Posting under the handle X Finance Bull (XFB), the analyst argued that XRP will soon start to outperform Bitcoin. 

This is because the XRP/BTC pair has not only broken out but also retested the trendline as support, and this has certified the start of a new buildup of momentum.

Retest Of A Six-Year Breakout Trendline

The mid-October flash crash that rippled through the crypto market left a visible mark on the XRP/BTC chart, creating a deep downward wick that momentarily dipped below the long-standing resistance trendline. However, as Bitcoin started to recover to above $110,000, XRP struggled to keep up and lost ground relative to Bitcoin. 

Interestingly, price action shows that this move was short-lived, and XRP has started to recover against Bitcoin in recent trading sessions. As shown on the monthly candlestick timeframe chart below, the wick fell to the exact level of the breakout retest, a point where former resistance turned into new support.

This breakout occurred in late 2024/early 2025, when XRP outperformed Bitcoin for three consecutive months. From there, the XRP/Bitcoin pair was able to break out of a downward-sloping resistance trendline of lower highs spanning over six years. 

Since then, however, 2025 has been characterized by more months of Bitcoin outperforming XRP than months of XRP outperforming Bitcoin, with October falling into the former group of months. Particularly, during the flash crash, the XRP/BTC pair plunged to around 0.000007 before rebounding almost immediately, a move that, according to XFB, represents the long-awaited retest of the broken trendline.

XRP/Bitcoin 1M chart. Source: @Xfinancebull

Since that retest, XRP has recovered impressively, with the pair maintaining a monthly close above the diagonal that once acted as a ceiling. This technical confirmation signals the completion of the breakout from the 2018 to 2024 downtrend that had defined XRP’s multi-year underperformance against Bitcoin. The monthly structure is now displaying the early signs of an upward shift, with the pair trading around 0.00002258 BTC.

XRP To Decouple And Outperform Bitcoin?

According to the analyst, XRP is about to undergo a rally that massively outperforms Bitcoin and melts the face of many Bitcoin maximalists. XFB’s chart outlines two target zones ahead for XRP: 0.00014688 BTC and 0.00023009 BTC. The first target corresponds to the consolidation area seen between 2018 and 2019, while the second represents a major resistance cluster from the earlier phase of XRP’s creation. If XRP/BTC rallies to those levels, it would amount to approximately a 6x and 10x gain relative to Bitcoin, respectively.

The analyst also connects the technical setup to Ripple’s growing institutional ecosystem. He pointed to Ripple Prime, GTreasury, Metaco, Standard Custody, and Rail as part of the infrastructure that’s setting up XRP as a bridge asset for global finance. These partnerships give XRP an edge heading into the coming months, as it moves into real institutional utility and starts outperforming Bitcoin.

If these developments continue, the incoming decoupling of the XRP/BTC pair could become one of the most significant events for XRP. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.63, up by 3.5% in the past 24 hours.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Ethereum’s largest non-exchange holders are tiptoeing back into accumulation. On-chain analytics platform Santiment reported that wallets holding between 100 and 10,000 ETH, also known as whales and sharks, have begun to rebuild positions after unloading roughly 1.36 million ETH between October 5 and 16. 

Notably, the Ethereum collective holdings chart shows that nearly one-sixth of those coins have already been clawed back, as some confidence starts to return to the second-largest crypto asset.

Whales Reverse Course After Early-October Capitulation

The first half of October was highlighted by one of Ethereum’s most pronounced periods of capitulation this year. Macroeconomic fears due to US tariffs saw the Bitcoin price undergo a flash crash that dragged many altcoins to the downside. During this move, Ethereum’s price also fell very quickly, dropping from highs around $4,740 on October 7 to as low as $3,680 on October 11. 

Interestingly, on-chain data shows that the selling pressure from large holders amplified this move, as the chart from Santiment shows a steep decline in their cumulative holdings from about 24.5 million ETH to roughly 22.6 million ETH. This 1.9 million ETH drop reflected clear risk-off behavior among whales and sharks, who had been net buyers since August.

However, once selling momentum began to fade, accumulation started to return. Institutional inflows started to return into Spot Ethereum ETFs, and whale/shark trades started accumulating Ethereum. Since October 16, the same cohort that contributed to the liquidation has begun adding back to their positions. Santiment noted that these holders are finally showing some signs of confidence, demonstrating an incoming extended recovery phase following the shakeout.

218,470 ETH Added In Last 7 Days

According to Santiment’s data, the collective holdings of addresses with 100 to 10,000 ETH have rebounded to approximately 23.05 million ETH after bottoming out in mid-October. A highlighted annotation on the chart shows that 218,470 ETH were accumulated in just the past week, signaling a tangible shift in on-chain behavior. 

Ethereum collective holdings of wallets holding 100-10,000 ETH. Source: Santiment

This increase represents roughly one-sixth of the coins previously dumped, a sign that major investors are gradually re-entering the market after what appeared to be an exhaustion phase. Similar accumulation trends have often preceded a broader recovery in Ethereum’s price, especially when accompanied by stabilization in the ETH/BTC trading pair.

As it stands, the Ethereum price appears to be building a firmer base for the next phase of its recovery heading into November. When whale wallets accumulate, it reduces the circulating supply available on exchanges and reduces selling pressure.

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $3,940 and is on track to break and close above $4,000 again. Both Ethereum and Bitcoin have risen a bit in recent days after inflation report showed US inflation cooling to 3% in September, below the 3.1% forecasted by economists. 

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Dogecoin’s higher-time-frame structure is starting to look constructive again. In a technical analysis posted on X, crypto analyst EtherNasyonaL noted that Dogecoin’s market cap has completed a build, and momentum is ready, pointing to a cup-and-handle breakout retest breakout on the monthly market-cap chart.

The chart he shared shows Dogecoin’s market cap hovering just under $30 billion, riding above its 25-month moving average with a gentle series of higher lows that has been developing since the 2022 bear market base.

Cup-And-Handle Breakout With A Convincing Retest

The chart shared by EtherNasyonaL looks at a cup-and-handle structure that has been developing on Dogecoin’s market cap chart for several years. The cup portion stretches across 2022 and 2023, a long and gradual recovery phase following Dogecoin’s blow-off peak in the 2021 bull market.

The handle is a narrowing consolidation under a descending resistance trendline that capped every attempt at recovery throughout the 2022/2023 bear market. Eventually, that resistance line was broken with a clean upward move in late 2024, confirming the first official breakout from the multi-year downtrend.

However, what makes this setup interesting is the successful retest of that same resistance line, now turned into support, where price action briefly dipped before bouncing again. This retest occurred mid-October, when the Dogecoin crashed to $0.15 very briefly.

The retest confirmed the breakout’s legitimacy, showing that Dogecoin traders defended the new support zone rather than allowing another breakdown. This kind of retest is known in technical analysis to lead to large directional moves, especially on higher timeframes where fewer false signals occur. EtherNasyonaL’s chart implies that Dogecoin has completed its build phase that lays the foundation for the next upward leg in its market cap.

Dogecoin Market Cap. Source: @EtherNasyonaL on X

Rising Bottoms And MA25 Support Strengthen Bullish Structure

Another important element of EtherNasyonaL’s analysis lies in the consistent pattern of higher lows visible on the chart. Dogecoin’s market cap has formed a rising base since mid-2023, where each correction has ended above the previous one. 

Equally important is the 25-month moving average (MA25) that runs beneath the candles. This indicator has acted as a dynamic support level for much of Dogecoin’s higher-time-frame structure. EtherNasyonaL noted this indicator’s role as the trend backbone by pointing out that this support has “continued to hold the price.” 

As it stands, Dogecoin is now trading well above this moving average. As long as the market cap remains above it, Dogecoin’s structure will continue to maintain its bullish integrity. Should momentum continue to build as the MACD line turns upward, as the chart suggests, the conditions could align for Dogecoin’s next expansion phase. The next expansion phase could take Dogecoin’s market cap above $100 billion, as projected in the chart above. 

At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.20, with a market cap of $29.82 billion.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

New reports reveal that United States President Donald Trump has picked pro-crypto Michael Selig as the new chair nominee for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The CFTC’s role involves overseeing the futures, options, and crypto markets, ensuring these industries operate fairly and transparently while protecting participants from fraud and manipulation. With Selig being a widely recognized crypto supporter, this move by Trump could significantly impact the regulatory landscape of digital assets. 

Trump Nominates Pro-Crypto Selig As CFTC Chair

According to a Bloomberg report on October 24, Trump selected Selig to chair the CFTC, sending his nominations to the Senate for confirmation hearings. Selig currently serves as the Chief Counsel for the Crypto Task Force and Senior Advisor to the Chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, Paul S. Atkins.

Notably, Selig had also worked as a partner specializing in crypto at the law firm Willkie Farr & Gallagher. His career has been closely aligned with the cryptocurrency industry, while harmonizing regulatory strategies for the SEC and the CFTC across both traditional and digital finance sectors. 

If his nomination is confirmed, Selig would lead the CFTC at a crucial moment, as Congress considers bills that could significantly expand the agency’s oversight and authority of the crypto and digital asset markets. Interestingly, this is not the first time Trump has nominated a candidate for the chair position of the CFTC. 

Selig’s nomination marks the second attempt to fill the role. Trump previously chose Brian Quintenz, the former commissioner of the CFTC and a previous Head of Policy at venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (a16z). However, Quintenz was withdrawn from consideration after concerns over potential conflicts of interest were raised by prominent industry figures, including Gemini founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss. 

Crypto Community Reacts To Selig’s Nomination

The crypto community has largely welcomed Selig’s nomination as the CFTC Chair, viewing it as a potential turning point for regulatory clarity in the crypto sector. Chris Dixon, a managing partner at Andreessen Horowitz, emphasized the timing of the nomination as crucial for the passage of market structure legislation, noting that Selig’s leadership could provide clear, actionable rules for developers and consumers alike. 

Kristin Smith, the President of the Solana Institute, praised Selig as an “outstanding choice” whose expertise in the cryptocurrency and regulatory sectors could strengthen coordination between the US SEC and the CFTC. Moreover, she believes that as the next chair of the CFTC, Selig could foster a pro-crypto innovation-friendly environment in the US. 

Other members of the crypto community echoed similar positive sentiments, with some expressing optimism that Selig’s leadership could be bullish for the crypto market. Many expect his tenure to coincide with a more streamlined and supportive regulatory framework, which could potentially accelerate adoption and innovation within the digital asset industry. 

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

The US stock market has just achieved a historic milestone, closing at its highest weekly levels ever recorded. The S&P 500 finished the week at 6,791.68 while the US 100 Index reached 25,358.15, both setting new all-time highs.

Easing inflation data, strong corporate earnings, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts have all combined to keep investor sentiment bullish. Amid this record-setting environment, crypto analyst Ash Crypto posted an observation on X that asks the question of how high Bitcoin would trade when it finally catches up to the US stock market.

US Stock Market’s Record-Breaking Momentum

The S&P 500’s record-breaking climb represents a continuation of the stock market’s steady ascent through the second half of the year, which has been boosted by the Fed rate cut in September, expectations of further rate cuts, and confidence in corporate performance.

 The tech-heavy US 100 Index led the charge, climbing past 25,000 for the first time ever this week as large-cap technology stocks posted strong quarterly results. This trend means that the long-running bull trend in traditional markets is intact.

However, what is really compelling is the contrast between Wall Street’s all-time highs and Bitcoin’s relative stagnation. After starting October in a breakout move to new all-time highs above $126,000, the leading cryptocurrency went on a flash crash that took many traders by surprise. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is consolidating around $111,000 despite other asset classes showing strength.

Ash Crypto’s post argues that Bitcoin’s price is being artificially held back compared to how stocks have responded to the same macro backdrop. If Bitcoin had followed the percentage gains of the S&P 500 or US 100 Index, it could already be trading between $140,000 and $150,000.

When Bitcoin Finally Catches Up

The first surge of liquidity always appears in the stock market whenever the Fed begins to slow quantitative tightening (QT) or hints at loosening conditions. This is because the stock market is where the deepest capital pools and institutional participation exist. Equities react first because that’s where the credit channels are most established. 

Bitcoin is still positioned outside the traditional financial system, and hence, tends to lag this initial move. But once the excess liquidity starts spilling into other assets, Bitcoin’s price has always increased at a much faster pace than stocks. According to Ash Crypto, Bitcoin will catch up soon and hit at least $130,000.

Notably, Bitcoin’s on-chain data is already showing signs of the impending surge. For instance, recent figures show that available sell-side liquidity (the total amount of Bitcoin sitting on exchanges ready to be sold) has dropped to just 3.12 million BTC, its lowest point in seven years. Furthermore, data shows that long-term investors have bought 373,700 BTC in the past 30 days. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $111,600.

Crypto analyst Hov has stated that the macro target for the Dogecoin price remains unchanged despite the recent crypto market crash. This comes as DOGE looks to reclaim the psychological $0.2 level, which could spark a significant rebound for the meme coin. 

Macro Target For The Dogecoin Price Remains Above $2

In an X post, the crypto analyst stated that he still has the same macro target for the Dogecoin price. His accompanying chart showed DOGE could rally to $3 by next year, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the altcoin. However, there is the possibility that the meme coin could keep trading sideways till the end of the year. 

Meanwhile, Hov noted that the Dogecoin price action had played out as expected, with DOGE correcting off the low and crashing by over 50%. He added that the move did not quite make it into the lower support level, but that so far, the move off the low looks pretty corrective. The meme coin had crashed from a high of around $0.30 last month, recently touching $0.11 amid the crash that followed Trump’s announcement of 100% tariffs on China. 

Hov also stated that the focus will be on how the Dogecoin price action develops over the next week to see whether the C-wave corrective move is in. DOGE is currently looking to rebound and reclaim the psychological $0.2 level. This has been sparked by optimism regarding a potential trade deal between the U.S. and China. 

The White House has confirmed that U.S. President Donald Trump will meet China’s President Xi Jinping on October 30 at the APEC Summit. Meanwhile, the September CPI, which dropped yesterday, came in lower than expectations, which also contributed to a bounce in the Dogecoin price. 

DOGE’s 3rd Bull Wave On The Horizon

Crypto analyst Ether revealed in an X post that the 3rd bull wave is on the horizon for the Dogecoin price. He noted that DOGE experienced two major bull waves in 2017 and 2021 and that another bull wave is now loading. The analyst broke down the current price action, which points to another bull wave. 

Ether revealed that the long downtrend has been broken, with the retest now complete. He further remarked that the 25MA on the higher time frame is back at support. Meanwhile, the Dogecoin price is said to be gathering strength in the lower band of a years-long ascending channel. The analyst added that all technical indicators are “whispering” the start of a new cycle. As such, he believes the 3rd bull wave is a matter of when, not if.

At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.19, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Unlike Bitcoin, the Ethereum price has struggled to hold up, and even after the crypto market recovery, the price remains below $4,000, which is a major psychological level. Given this, it seems that the cryptocurrency is set to close the month of October in the red, losing almost 5% of its value already this month. However, with the month of November quickly rolling by, the Ethereum price might be in for a bounce, as November has historically been green for the market.

November Could Hold The Key For Ethereum Price

Looking at the historical price data for Ethereum on the CryptoRank website, there seems to be a balance between years when the month was red and years when it was green. In a decade, there have been five years where the Ethereum price has seen gains in November and five years where there have been losses.

However, there seems to be a rather bullish pattern: the years when the month was green saw double-digit gains, eventually resulting in higher gains than losses. As a result, the average return for the month is 6.93%, and the median return, while low, also remains positive at 1.42%.

Given the fact that there is no clear trend to pinpoint where the price is headed, the bears and the bulls look to have equal chances. But if it does turn out to be in the green, it is likely that the Ethereum price will witness a double-digit surge. Such a move would help it clear the $4,000 resistance with momentum.

Q4 Still Has Potential

Quarterly returns for the Ethereum price have not exactly been the best in the last quarter of the year, but that has not changed the fact that the altcoin tends to perform quite well overall. There is also the trend of Q4 ending in the green if the previous Q2 and Q3 were in the green, which is the case right now.

In Q2 of 2025, the Ethereum price ended with an average positive return of 36.5% and in Q3, it followed with a 66.7% return, the highest so far. With October trending low, there is already a 4.83% decline this year, but with more than 2 months to go, there is still time for things to change.

Only one year in history has the Ethereum price closed Q4 in the red after Q2 and Q3 ended in the green, and that was nine years ago in 2016. Since then, the trend has always seen the ETH price continuing the rally. This was the case back in 2017, and then again in 2020 and 2021.

Since then, this trend has not returned, and 2025 is the first time in four years that the Ethereum price has ended both Q2 and Q3 in the green. If the historical performance holds, the Ethereum price could see an average of a 50% increase, or even double, like it did back in 2017 and 2020, before the year is over.

XRP’s price has been showing signs of consolidation in recent days and oscillating between $2.30 and $2.50. The entire crypto market has been relatively steady, and XRP has managed to maintain its footing above $2.20. 

Despite the slow momentum, a technical analysis shared by the crypto analyst known as ChartNerd on X suggests that XRP could be preparing for a massive breakout that could take it from current levels toward a long-term target above $27. The analysis is supported by a chart showing multiple confluences aligning in favor of such a large-scale move.

XRP Technical Analysis Points To Rally

According to ChartNerd’s chart, XRP has now completed a symmetrical triangle breakout pattern that has been forming for several years. This breakout is occurring above a multi-year ascending support line that dates back to 2017. The chart also shows an important resistance block that previously capped XRP’s price during earlier bull runs in 2017 and 2021. 

XRP broke above this resistance block months ago, but recently retested it during last week’s flash crash. Its rebound from this resistance block reinforces the idea that XRP is about to bounce massively. The breakout from this long-term consolidation zone, combined with the multi-year ascending trendline, provides the technical foundation for a potential move toward much higher price targets.

Another important confirmation that occurred during the flash crash was the successful retest of the 3-month 10 EMA. This retest serves as a validation point for the recent breakout, showing that XRP is maintaining its structure on higher timeframes. Furthermore, the analysis shows that XRP has reclaimed the Gaussian Channel upper regression line, which represents long-term trend momentum. 

This alignment of the EMA retest with the Gaussian Channel suggests strong bullish momentum is beginning to build. ChartNerd refers to this convergence of multiple indicators as a “confluence zone.”

Fibonacci Extension Targets From $8 To $27

The analysis concludes with a clearly defined Fibonacci extension roadmap that outlines XRP’s next price objectives. ChartNerd’s Fibonacci levels place the first major target at $8.47, corresponding to the 1.272 extension, followed by $13.78 at the 1.414 level, and finally the 1.618 extension at $27.70. 

This sequence implies a full technical replication of XRP’s bull run in 2017, scaled to its current breakout structure. Back then, XRP hit all three Fibonacci extensions from the previous low after breaking above a similar resistance block. 

If these projections materialize, XRP could experience its most significant rally in years. The move toward $27 could unfold in one of two ways: either through a strong, near-vertical surge similar to the explosive rally of 2017 or through a series of measured advances highlighted by corrections at each resistance level. Nonetheless, both scenarios have the same bullish structure.

At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.44, up by 1.4% in the past 24 hours.