Crypto analyst CasiTrades has predicted that the XRP price could still crash to $1.4 in the final wave of this downtrend. This comes despite bullish catalysts such as the Fed rate cut, which could lift the altcoin to new highs. 

Analyst Predicts XRP Price Crash To $1.4

In an X post, CasiTrades stated that exchanges are aligning toward their .618 retracements, with Binance showing a crash to between $1.35 and $1.46 for the XRP price. She noted that this next wave down would complete the macro Wave 2 correction, setting the stage for the next Wave 3 impulse that could send XRP toward $6.50 or $10.

This came as the analyst remarked that the XRP price was at a major decision point, with the price continuing to test the Wave 4 highs. She noted that this resistance is making another wave down a possibility. To invalidate the move down, CasiTrades stated that XRP needs to break and hold above $2.82 on Binance. 

However, so far, the XRP price hasn’t done so, with CasiTrades noting that the price is still ranging between support and resistance. She explained that this leans toward this being a Wave 4, with the altcoin one final move lower before the next macro impulse. The analyst ruled out a V-shaped recovery, noting that price typically breaks through resistance immediately and decisively, which is not happening with the current price action. 

She further remarked that the hesitation suggests that selling pressure isn’t fully exhausted for the XRP price. However, CasiTrades assured that the deeper support levels aren’t a reason to panic, as they are high conviction accumulation zones. Meanwhile, the analyst highlighted a discrepancy in the price action on different exchanges. 

She noted that the XRP price on Binance wicked to $0.77 during the $19 billion liquidation event, while on Coinbase, XRP never reached its .618 retracement level. CasiTrades then reiterated that until $2.82 breaks, the price action favors one final wave down before the next major move up.

XRP’s Bull Run Isn’t Over

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has assured that the bull run isn’t over for the XRP price, despite predictions that the top may be in. He stated that as long as XRP holds above $2.20 and $1.97 as monthly closes, then there is no structural break. He also believes that the altcoin and other risk assets are about to “roar.”

Egrag Crypto noted that quantitative tightening is still active and that Fed rate cuts are just beginning. In line with this, he declared that the last leg up is still waiting to play out. He claimed that cycles don’t end when 50% of traders are cautious, but do when everyone is “drunk on euphoria.”

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.6, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Stablecoin transaction volume is soaring; meanwhile, tradfi companies are leaning in hard, and Japan’s first yen-denominated token has roared.

The post All is coming up stablecoins: volume soars, tradfi firms want in appeared first on CoinGeek.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is fast approaching, and the bets are already pouring in as to what it would mean for the Bitcoin and crypto industry. The last FOMC meeting took place in September, when the Federal Reserve ended up cutting rates down to 4-4.25% after months of no rate cuts. With this setting the tone, the expectations that another rate cut could be on the way are getting louder, with the FedWatch Tool showing a high percentage.

Market Expects Another Rate Cut To 3.75-4%

The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for Wednesday, October 29, 2025, and there is already a major clamor around what the Fed is planning on doing. The current market headwinds point to a favorable outcome for risk assets such as Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, with expected rate cuts.

Currently, the CME FedWatch Tool is showing that the probability of a rate cut has risen to 98.3% as of the time of this writing. This leaves only a 1.7% chance that the Federal Reserve will actually leave rates at their current levels, and there is zero chance that there will be a rate hike.

A reduction in the rate cuts is good for businesses all around, as lower interest rates mean better loan terms and increased spending and borrowing. Thus, it will increase the participation in the markets, from consumer goods to the stock market, and then make its way into newer markets such as Bitcoin and crypto.

Expectations For Bitcoin And Crypto Are Getting Higher

A rate cut by the Federal Reserve aligns with the more pro-crypto stance that the United States has been moving in since President Donald Trump was elected. Last week, the president pardoned the Founder and former CEO of the Binance crypto exchange, Changpeng Zhao, after he previously pled guilty to money laundering violations back in 2024. Zhao has since served a 4-month stint before the pardon from Trump came.

With the US embracing Bitcoin and crypto again, a rate cut will only further the ascent, allowing more investors to get into the market as liquidity frees up. The initial announcement has been known to trigger a rapid increase in the market. But as the news settles, the crypto market is expected to continue to rise in response.

However, nothing is certain until the FOMC meeting is complete and the announcement is made. For the Bitcoin and crypto market to remain bullish, inflation will also have to be reduced, as an increase could trigger more conservative stances from investors.

Multiple crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are set to launch this week despite the government shutdown, with investment products based on Solana (SOL), Litecoin (LTC), and Hedera (HBAR) seemingly ready to start trading as soon as Tuesday.

Big Week For Crypto ETFs

On Sunday night, Nate Geraci affirmed that the next two weeks will be key for the long-awaited spot crypto-based ETFs as Solana, XRP, LTC, and other ETF filings are “all lined up & ready for launch.”

Similarly, Bitwise CEO, Hunter Horsley, hinted that this week would be a “Big week,” suggesting progress related to its Solana Staking ETF. It’s worth noting that the crypto community has been awaiting the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)’s approval of the investment products following the numerous ETF applications filed over the past few months.

Between August and September, the regulatory agency postponed the decision deadline of most applications by two months, pushing back the key dates to mid-October and mid-November. However, the government’s shutdown, which started on October 1, reduced the odds of the products receiving a green line during the expected timeline.

On Monday morning, ETF expert Erich Balchunas reported that multiple issuers were looking to launch their crypto-based ETFs this week, despite the government shutdown. According to the Bloomberg analyst, Canary Capital had filed 8-A forms for its spot Litecoin and Hedera ETFs, while Bitwise had filed one for its Solana Staking ETF.

“These are the ones rumored to be poss looking to launch (along w Grayscale solana) this week despite shutdown. Not a done deal but clearly preparations being made. Stay tuned,” Balchunas stated.

Solana, Litecoin, Hedera Products Take The Lead

Later, Balchunas confirmed the reports that the exchange had posted listing notices for Bitwise’s Solana Staking ETF, and Canary’s LTC and HBAR ETFs to launch on October 28, while Grayscale’s Solana trust is set to convert on Wednesday. “Assuming there’s not some last min SEC intervention, looks like this is happening,” the analyst added.

Crypto Journalist Eleanor Terret also shared the news, citing Canary’s CEO, Steven McClurg, who confirmed that the Canary spot HBAR and LTC ETFs will begin trading on Nasdaq on Tuesday.

“Litecoin and Hedera are the next two token ETFs to go effective after Ethereum,” McClurg told the journalist in a statement. “We look forward to launching tomorrow.”

Terret explained that despite the government shutdown, the launch is possible because “the operation of law does not always actually require an open government.”

According to the post, the 8-A forms are “just as important” as the S-1s filings: the former formally registers ETF shares under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, while the latter registers the investment products under the Securities Exchange Act of 1933.

After NYSE certified all the 8-A filings for the ETFs above on Monday, shares can start trading, Terret affirmed, adding:

“Here’s the key: The issuers included language in their amended S-1s that lets them automatically go effective 20 days after filing. Typically, issuers delay S-1s until the SEC takes them effective, but the legal default is that the S-1 goes automatically effective without SEC intervention. That means the agency doesn’t need to approve them manually and the filings can go live on their own, even during the shutdown. So, long story short, all the legal boxes are checked and these ETFs are on track for launch.”

Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has surged back into the neutral zone after the recovery rally in the cryptocurrency’s price.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Now Has A Value Of 51

The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that measures the average sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. The metric uses the data of the following five factors to determine the investor mentality: trading volume, market cap dominance, volatility, social media sentiment, and Google Trends.

The index uses a numerical scale running from zero to hundred for representing this sentiment. All values above 53 correspond to greed among the investors, while those below 47 to fear. The region between the two cutoffs naturally corresponds to a net neutral mentality.

Now, here is how the current Bitcoin market sentiment is like, according to the Fear & Greed Index:

As is visible above, the indicator has a value of 51, which suggests the trader sentiment is almost exactly in the balance right now. This is a notable change in market mood compared to just a few days ago.

As displayed in the chart, the Fear & Greed Index was inside the fear zone during the past few days. The despair among the traders was a result of the bearish price action that BTC had recently faced.

At one point, the indicator even fell to a low of 22, reflecting a state of “extreme fear.” This zone, which occurs below 25, corresponds to investors being the most bearish toward the market. There is a similar region for the greed side as well, called the “extreme greed,” situated above 75.

Historically, the extreme sentiments have been quite significant for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, as they are where major tops and bottoms have tended to form. The relationship has been an inverse one, however, meaning extreme fear is where bottoms form, while extreme greed facilitates tops.

Since the extreme fear low earlier in the month, BTC has been on the way up, a potential indication that the contrarian signal of the sentiment may once again be in action.

The cryptocurrency has extended its recovery in a sharp manner during the last couple of days, which may be a potential reason why the Fear & Greed Index has surged back to the neutral territory now.

Though, for now, Bitcoin traders are still undecided on whether bullish action will follow next. It now remains to be seen whether they will embrace greed, or continue to be hesitant about the recovery.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $114,900, up 3.6% over the last seven days.

Dogecoin struggled to rise above $0.210 and corrected some gains against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might decline below $0.1980.

• DOGE price started a fresh downside correction below $0.2035.
• The price is trading below the $0.20 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There was a break below a contracting triangle with support at $0.20 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1940.

Dogecoin Price Starts Another Pullback

Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.1920, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.20 resistance to enter a positive zone.

The bulls were able to push the price above $0.2020 and $0.2050. A high was formed at $0.2094 and the price is now correcting gains. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.1843 swing low to the $0.2094 high.

Besides, there was a break below a contracting triangle with support at $0.20 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.20 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average.

If there is another increase, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.2020 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.2050 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.210 level. A close above the $0.210 resistance might send the price toward $0.2150. Any more gains might send the price toward $0.2250. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.2320.

More Losses In DOGE?

If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.2020 level, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1970 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.1843 swing low to the $0.2094 high. The next major support is near the $0.1935 level.

The main support sits at $0.190. If there is a downside break below the $0.190 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.1840 level or even $0.1780 in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.1970 and $0.1935.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.2020 and $0.2050.

XRP price started a fresh increase above $2.50. The price is now showing positive signs and might rise further if it clears the $2.6880 resistance.

• XRP price gained pace for a move above $2.50 and $2.550.
• The price is now trading above $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.60 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.6880 resistance.

XRP Price Holds Support

XRP price started a fresh increase after it settled above $2.40, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.420 and $2.50 resistance levels.

The bulls were able to push the price above $2.550 and $2.65. A high was formed at $2.6972 and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2.327 swing low to the $2.6972 high.

The price is now trading below $2.60 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.60 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair.

If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $2.650 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.6880 level, above which the price could rise and test $2.70. A clear move above the $2.70 resistance might send the price toward the $2.7650 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.80 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $2.880.

Downside Correction?

If XRP fails to clear the $2.6880 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.60 level. The next major support is near the $2.5650 level.

If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.5650 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.5120 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2.327 swing low to the $2.6972 high. The next major support sits near the $2.4680 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $2.420.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $2.60 and $2.580.

Major Resistance Levels – $2.650 and $2.6880.

The XRP market is bracing for a new phase of intense volatility, with anticipation growing around key legal, regulatory, and institutional developments. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has recently addressed the XRP community, offering guidance and setting expectations for what is to come. 

XRP Unusual Stability May Be Setting Up A Major Move

The cryptocurrency world is buzzing with increased anticipation for XRP, following a series of strategic announcements from Ripple and compelling technical analysis. Popular crypto news source CryptosRus has highlighted on X that the altcoin is poised for a sharp move, as Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has mentioned that investors should be prepared for a substantial shift.

At the core of this move, Ripple has just launched Ripple Prime, a new global prime brokerage service tailored for institutional clients. According to the company, Ripple Prime will be powered by Ripple’s foundational digital asset infrastructure, encompassing its robust solutions for payments, crypto custody, and stablecoin capabilities, alongside XRP.

However, CEO Brad Garlinghouse called this move another step toward building the internet of value, emphasizing that the XRP sits at the center of everything Ripple does. CryptosRus noted that the altcoin has recently bounced off a key support level at $2.33. This technical indicator is signaling a potential 30% rally, with an initial target of $3.45 or even higher, as market momentum continues to build.

An analyst known as TylerHillYT, who is also the president of FluenceGlobal and Co-Founder of the CSS, has also stated that the XRP price comeback is showing structural strength. In just a day, the token burn rate spiked 29%, mirroring its 29% price surge, signaling a synchronized increase in both on-chain demand and heightened investor activity.

This Ripple’s deeper expansion into traditional finance and the recent launch of Ripple Prime have caused the network usage to ramp up again. TylerHillYT emphasized that at the accelerated pace, XRP is not just riding a wave of market momentum, but it’s rebuilding its long-term narrative. However, the burn acceleration with renewed institutional traction could be the early signs of a sustained upward trajectory, pushing the token structurally toward the $3.00 mark.

Connecting Market Surge To Foundational Growth

While the digital asset market is vibrating with renewed excitement surrounding XRP, a prominent crypto influencer and creator on Binance and CMC, Jack, has revealed that the bulls have firmly smashed through the critical $2.55 resistance level with conviction. This decisive breakout has now set the immediate sights of traders on $2.80 and beyond.

Jack mentioned that whale activity is back, and the Open Interest (OI) is climbing steadily, while sentiment is flipping fast. If this powerful momentum holds, the next significant pit stop for XRP could be the $3.00 mark and beyond.

Ethereum price started a decent increase above $4,000. ETH is consolidating gains and could aim for more gains above the $4,220 resistance.

• Ethereum started a fresh upward move above $4,000 and $4,120.
• The price is trading above $4,080 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,055 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,200.

Ethereum Price Holds Gains

Ethereum price started a steady upward move above the $3,880 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price surpassed the $4,000 and $4,120 levels to enter a short-term positive zone.

The price even spiked above $4,200. A high was formed at $4,252 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $3,708 swing low to the $4,252 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $4,080 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,055 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,180 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,200 level. The first major resistance is near the $4,250 level. A clear move above the $4,250 resistance might send the price toward the $4,320 resistance. An upside break above the $4,320 region might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,480 resistance zone or even $4,500 in the near term.

Another Pullback In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,200 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,080 level. The first major support sits near the $4,050 zone and the trend line.

A clear move below the $4,050 support might push the price toward the $3,980 support or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $3,708 swing low to the $4,252 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,840 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,780.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $4,050

Major Resistance Level – $4,200

Bitcoin price is consolidating gains above $113,500. BTC could rise further if there is a clear move above the $115,750 resistance.

• Bitcoin started a fresh upward move above the $114,000 resistance level.
• The price is trading above $114,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $113,900 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $115,750 zone.

Bitcoin Price Starts Consolidation

Bitcoin price formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $112,500 zone. BTC gained pace for a move above the main hurdle at $113,500.

It opened the doors for a move above $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Finally, the price spiked above $116,000 and is currently consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $106,718 swing low to the $116,309 high.

Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $113,900 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.

Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $115,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $115,500 level. The next resistance could be $115,750. A close above the $115,750 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $116,300 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $117,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $118,000.

Another Pullback In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $115,500 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $114,000 level. The first major support is near the $113,500 level or the trend line.

The next support is now near the $111,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $110,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $108,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $114,000, followed by $113,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $115,500 and $116,500.

Data shows cryptocurrency short investors have suffered large liquidations during the past day as Bitcoin and altcoins have made a recovery.

Bitcoin, Ethereum Have Surged In The Last 24 Hours

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have witnessed a rally during the past day, breaking away from the slump the market had earlier fallen into. At the height of this surge, Bitcoin broke past $116,000, while Ethereum touched $4,250.

The assets have since seen a small retracement. The chart below shows how BTC’s latest trajectory has looked.

At its current price of $115,400, Bitcoin is up about 4% on the weekly timeframe. Similarly, Ethereum at $4,160 is in a profit of 3.4%. Most other digital assets have seen similarly positive returns, although there are some outliers like Tron, which is down more than 7%. The market-wide recovery during the past day has meant that a large amount of short liquidations have piled up on the derivatives exchanges.

Crypto Market Liquidations Have Totaled At $467 Million

According to data from CoinGlass, about $467 million in cryptocurrency-related derivatives contracts have been liquidated over the last 24 hours. A contract is said to be “liquidated” when its platform forcibly shuts it down after it accumulates losses of a certain degree (as defined by the exchange).

Given that coins across the board have rebounded, the contracts crossing this threshold would mostly be the short ones. And indeed, the data would confirm so.

As is visible above, liquidations related to bearish cryptocurrency bets have reached $358 million in this window, representing 76.6% of the total flush in the sector. Bitcoin led the liquidations with $177 million in contracts involved, while Ethereum contributed the second most with $130 million in contracts. Out of the rest, Solana witnessed the largest flush at $34 million.

In some other news, Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have observed a notable amount of inflows over the past month, as CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has pointed out in an X post.

Spot ETFs refer to investment vehicles that allow investors to gain exposure to an asset without having to directly own it. The US SEC approved BTC spot ETFs in January of 2024. Here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows how the 30-day netflow for these vehicles has fluctuated since:

As displayed in the above graph, Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen inflows of $4.7 billion during the past month. Ethereum spot ETFs, which gained approval in mid-2024, have also enjoyed inflows in this period, although their value of $983 million is significantly less than BTC’s.

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing renewed strength, reclaiming the $115,000 level after weeks of volatility and uncertainty. Bulls are attempting to build momentum for a potential impulse move higher, aiming to confirm a sustained bullish structure after the recent consolidation phase.

On-chain data continues to reveal a clear and repeating pattern tied to investor behavior and market cycles. Historically, when the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit climbs above 95%, the market tends to enter an overheated phase, often leading to sharp corrections. These pullbacks serve as natural cooling periods, resetting sentiment and liquidity before the next major leg up.

Interestingly, each correction cycle has shown consistent bottoming zones around the 75% threshold, where long-term holders reaccumulate and market confidence begins to rebuild. More specifically, data highlights profit supply lows of 73% in September 2024, 76% in April 2024, and a recent rebound from 81%, signaling a potential mid-cycle recovery phase.

Bitcoin Supply in Profit Rises to 83.6% — Momentum Rebuilds Ahead of Key Threshold

According to top analyst Darkfost, the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit has started to climb again, currently standing at 83.6%. This steady rise indicates that a growing share of Bitcoin holders are once again sitting on unrealized gains — a trend that often reflects improving sentiment and renewed market confidence.

Darkfost notes that this level can be interpreted as encouraging, suggesting that investors are willing to hold their BTC instead of realizing profits, anticipating further upside in the near term. Historically, such behavior has been characteristic of mid-cycle recovery phases, when fear starts to fade and accumulation resumes across both retail and institutional segments.

This stage of the cycle is considered healthy for rebuilding momentum, as it allows the market to stabilize after large corrections. Holders who previously capitulated often reenter at this stage, while long-term participants strengthen their positions, creating a more resilient market structure.

However, Darkfost cautions that once the supply in profit surpasses 95%, it typically signals overheated market conditions — a point where euphoria tends to replace rational conviction. In such phases, Bitcoin historically faces increased volatility and sharp corrections as overleveraged traders and short-term speculators take profits.

BTC Retests $115K Resistance: Bulls Regain Momentum

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing renewed bullish momentum, trading around $115,443 and successfully reclaiming key short-term support levels after weeks of consolidation. The daily chart highlights a strong recovery structure, with BTC breaking above both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, signaling a shift in short-term market sentiment.

The next critical test lies at $117,500, a historical resistance zone that previously rejected multiple attempts in September and early October. A clear breakout and daily close above this level would likely confirm an impulse continuation toward $120K–$125K, opening the door for a more sustained uptrend.

Momentum indicators suggest strengthening buying pressure, while the recent bounce from the 200-day moving average near $107K underscores the market’s resilience. This level acted as a springboard for the current rally, aligning with the broader pattern of accumulation seen on-chain, where investor profitability is rising steadily.

However, BTC remains within a range-bound structure, and rejection at $117.5K could trigger short-term consolidation back toward $111K–$112K. Overall, Bitcoin’s technical outlook appears constructive — if the bulls can sustain above $115K and confirm strength above $117.5K, the market could transition into a new bullish leg, supported by improving investor sentiment and on-chain health.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price is positioning for a potentially explosive move that could take it well beyond its previous all-time highs. Analysts are closely watching a critical resistance level near $116,000, which may serve as the final hurdle before BTC catapults into uncharted territory above $126,000. 

Analyst Predicts New Bitcoin Price All-Time High

Crypto analyst Donny Dicey revealed in an X social media post this week that the $116,000 price level is the decisive zone Bitcoin must breach to confirm a breakout toward a new all-time high. His technical analysis suggests that once BTC achieves a clean break above this resistance area, momentum could swiftly carry it above $126,000. 

Notably, Bitcoin set a new ATH on October 6, 2025, after breaking through its previous record above $124,000 and climbing past $126,000. Since achieving this level, the price of BTC has fallen dramatically to $115,000. Dicey’s accompanying chart shows the market steadily recovering after testing support near $108,000, marked as a “market structure break” region, with bullish price action consolidating above $109,000. 

The analyst has emphasized that each day Bitcoin maintains a close above $109,000 strengthens the probability of a strong upward swing as the market heads into November. This period coincides with the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) next meeting, where investors are anticipating dovish signals such as rate cuts or the formal end of Quantitative Tightening (QT).

Dicey also notes that bullish S&P 500 earnings, easing global trade tensions from a potential agreement between US President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping, and improving ISM manufacturing data point to a macro environment supportive of risk assets. A community member commented that whales may have underestimated how much BTC’s demand tends to persist during these conditions. Dicey responded that the same whales might become “exit liquidity” as Bitcoin accelerates higher, possibly missing out on the strongest phase of this cycle. 

Consolidation Above January Highs Signal Unbreakable Strength

In a follow-up analysis, Dicey highlighted Bitcoin’s remarkable stability above its January highs, describing its price structure as “unbreakable” amid global macroeconomic uncertainty. He pointed to several converging factors that reinforce BTC’s resilience, including ongoing fiscal and monetary expansion, a weakening US dollar, and renewed confidence in the global business cycle. 

The analyst also emphasized that geopolitical tensions tied to US-China relations appear to be subsiding. At the same time, ETF inflows and exponential growth in the Artificial Intelligence (AI) sector contribute to acting as tailwinds for digital assets. He disclosed that despite strong underlying fundamentals, skepticism remains widespread in the market.

According to him, many still believe in the traditional four-year cycle narrative, while retail enthusiasm has not fully returned. Furthermore, the Russell 2000 index has yet to breakout, and rotation from traditional assets, such as the S&P 500 and gold, into Bitcoin remains limited. With these developments subduing broader market participation, Dicey suggests it creates the perfect setup for a powerful rally in BTC once sentiment shifts decisively.

Ethereum’s bullish momentum has intensified throughout the weekend, with the price climbing above $4,100. This steady recovery follows a strong rebound from the $3,500 region after a crash earlier in the month. 

Investor sentiment, as shown by trading volume and flows on exchanges, has turned optimistic amidst the recovery. Now that Ethereum’s price action is starting to turn bullish again, a new technical analysis shared by crypto analyst Freedomby40 on the social media platform X suggests that the current rally could be far from over, projecting a possible long-term climb to $16,000.

Wave Count Structure Points To A Continuation Phase

Freedomby40’s analysis, which is based on the Elliott Wave structure, presents Ethereum as currently positioned in an extended bullish sequence that began forming in late 2022. Posting the technical analysis on X, the analyst noted that Ethereum’s price action looks great for a continuation. 

His chart shows that the asset has just completed a corrective phase and is entering a renewed impulse wave, with support established between $3,225 and $3,563 at the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zones, respectively. The analyst labels this zone as the ideal accumulation area for the next leg up, consistent with previous cycle structures seen in 2017 and 2021.

The Elliott Wave projection in his analysis presents a multi-layered confluence of impulse waves extending to the third degree. It illustrates that Ethereum is currently unfolding its fifth major impulse wave in a structure that traces back to mid-2022. 

The internal structure of this wave sequence also reveals a C wave in motion, which itself contains smaller sub-impulse waves. Within that C wave, Ethereum appears to be entering its own fifth sub-wave, which is known to be a decisively bullish wave.

Based on this setup, the analyst outlined two potential target zones on the chart: a green box representing the realistic price range for this wave cycle and a red box depicting the higher, more extended scenario that could push Ethereum’s market cap into the trillion-dollar level.

Fibonacci Extensions Predict Targets Of $9,000, $11,000, And $16,000

Freedomby40’s analysis identifies multiple price levels based on Fibonacci extensions from the current price action. The first price target is at $6,303, which is based on the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. This initial price target will see the Ethereum price break above its current all-time high, but this is the first of many.

The next target, the 1.236 extension, is positioned around $9,013. These two price targets ($6,303 and $9,013) were described by the analyst as very realistic. Possible extensions are at the 1.382 and 1.618 Fibonacci extension levels, corresponding to $11,210 and $16,077, respectively.

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $4,160, up by 5.2% in the past 24 hours. Freedomby40’s outlook joins a growing list of ultra-bullish Ethereum price forecasts from institutional research desks and top analysts. Standard Chartered Bank recently raised its 2025 price target for Ethereum to $7,500, while projecting a potential long-term path to $25,000 by 2028.

Crypto analyst Bobby A is warning that the XRP price may face trouble soon. He says the large monthly chart is showing weak signs, and this could mean the market is turning bearish again. The analyst thinks the price might need to drop further before it can move higher. 

Bearish Signals Showing On The XRP Price Monthly Chart

Bobby A says the big XRP chart does not look healthy right now. He explains that many important monthly indicators are crossing bearishly. He says XRP is trading below the 1.618 level, and the price action there looks like a rejection rather than a breakout. He thinks this rejection is happening at a terrible time for XRP, noting that the monthly candle is closing near the BMSB line, another dangerous sign for the price.

Bobby A reminds traders that when the Bressert indicator crosses bearish on the monthly chart, history shows it has never been good for XRP. He believes that history could repeat itself, and these bearish signals are evident on the chart right now, suggesting the mid-term trend may not be strong. His analysis says that in six days, XRP will be facing the monthly candle close again, and facing it while price action is weak is usually not a good sign. He is worried because the chart’s overall structure shows more weakness than strength at this time.

He explains that when a chart shows this kind of technical damage, the smart move is to stay alert. He says traders must focus on risk control during times when the big charts start to flash warning signs. He shares this because he has trusted his chart study before when XRP was under $0.30, and now he needs to trust what he sees again with XRP above $2. He says the market can change very fast, and traders must be ready for those changes.

XRP May Drop To Lower Support Before Moving Up Again

Right now, XRP is already making a small move downward. Bobby A says this retracement is happening in real time. He warns that XRP could roll over again and retest lower price support levels. If this happens, the token price could fall under $1 to find more substantial support before it tries to recover. He believes there is a real and present risk that the price will crash below $1 if sellers keep pushing it down.

He advises traders to protect their money and manage their trades carefully. He says capital safety must come first in times like these. Even though he still believes in XRP’s long-term future and remains a strong supporter of the project, he feels the odds right now point to lower prices in the mid-term. He says this is because the latest market signs are not strong enough to support a big bullish move yet.

Crypto analyst CryptosRus has drawn attention to the open interest reset for XRP. The analyst also explained why this development could spark a major price surge for the altcoin. 

XRP’s Open Interest Drops To New Lows

In an X post, CryptosRus revealed that XRP’s open interest on Binance has dropped back to the same lows that were seen in May 2025. The analyst noted that back then, the liquidation flush sparked a massive rally for the altcoin, which pushed it to $3.50. He added that this time around, the open interest is at the floor again, but the price is holding around $2.6. 

CryptosRus stated that this means that leverage is gone while the strong hands are still holding XRP. The analyst predicted that if new liquidity enters, this setup could signal the next leg up for the altcoin. He added that rallies usually start when leverage is low, spot demand is strong, and shorts are trapped. 

Notably, XRP has witnessed new demand with the launch of the largest XRP treasury company, Evernorth. The company has already accumulated up to $1 billion in XRP with Ripple’s backing and has revealed plans to continue accumulating more, using gains from its DeFi activities. Notably, the company stated that it will purchase XRP on the open market, which is expected to impact the altcoin’s price. 

Meanwhile, the SEC is expected to approve the spot XRP ETFs once the U.S. government shutdown ends. This could drive new liquidity into the altcoin, boosting its price. Moreover, experts such as Canary Capital’s CEO Steven McClurg have predicted that the XRP ETFs could see more inflows in their first month than the Ethereum ETFs did. 

XRP Is Gearing Up For A ‘Face Melting’ Rally

Crypto analyst Ether stated that XRP is quietly gearing up to melt faces and that most aren’t even aware or ready for what is coming. This came as the analyst alluded to an earlier analysis, in which he revealed that a similar scenario from a previous cycle was playing out for the altcoin. 

Ethere stated that XRP’s cyclical structure is showing a striking similarity again. After the altcoin’s rally in 2017, its price was rejected from the 2013 all-time high (ATH) level and then retested the 2014 ATH level, which had previously acted as resistance. XRP then began its parabolic run after it accumulated strength in that range. 

Now, this same XRP price action is playing out again, according to Ether. He noted that after the strong surge in 2024, the altcoin’s price was rejected at the 2017 ATH level and retested the 2021 ATH level, which had previously acted as resistance. The analyst added that the power accumulation phase is now underway in this region and that once it is complete, the next parabolic run will be inevitable. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.63, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Over the years, a number of indicators have emerged that have often helped to pinpoint the Bitcoin bull market peak. These indicators have been triggered in previous cycles, and their triggers have often been a signal that it was time to get out of the market, as a new bear market is underway. However, this time around, even with the Bitcoin price hitting multiple new all-time highs, none of these cycle peak indicators have been triggered, suggesting that the market top has yet to be reached.

0 Out Of 30 Bull Market Peak Indicators Triggered

The Bull Market Peak Indicator tracker on the Coinglass website follows a total of 30 indicators that follow 30 indicators that show the progress of the Bitcoin bull market toward reaching a top. Some major ones include the Bitcoin Bubble Index, the Puell Multiple, the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, and the Altcoin Season Index, among others.

Usually, these indicators are tracked on a scale of 0-100%, with 0% meaning that it is far from being triggered and 100% showing that an indicator has been triggered. If only a few of these get to the 100% mark and are triggered, it usually doesn’t mean that the Bitcoin peak has been reached.

However, even now, not one of these indicators has been triggered. Most continue to remain quite low, while the likes of the Bitcoin dominance are high, but still have not been triggered. For there to be a definite progress toward the Bitcoin market peak, at least half of these would have to be triggered.

What This Means For Investors

Since none of the bull market peak indicators have been triggered, it means that the Bitcoin price might actually be far away from its all-time high. With the score still being 0 out of 30, it points to this being a time to hold, despite the declines that the market has suffered recently.

According to a previous report from Bitcoinist, this was the case a few months ago, and now two months later, the tracker remains the same. Thus, it could be that $126,000 is not the all-time high for Bitcoin, and that the market could end up getting an altcoin season after all.

In the case that more than half of the bull market peak indicators do get triggered, then it means that the top of the market is getting close. Once it gets to 30/30, then it signals the start of the next bear market, and this is when selling is at its highest in the market, leading to rapid price declines across the board.

Solana started a fresh increase above the $200 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $200 and might aim for more gains above the $208 zone.

• SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $188 and $195 levels against the US Dollar.
• The price is now trading above $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $198 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could extend gains if it clears the $208 resistance zone.

Solana Price Jumps Again Above $200

Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $180 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $188 level to enter a short-term positive zone.

The price even smashed the $198 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above $200. The price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $177 swing low to the $204 high.

Solana is now trading above $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $198 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair.

On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $205. The next major resistance is near the $208 level. The main resistance could be $212. A successful close above the $212 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $225. Any more gains might send the price toward the $232 level.

Another Pullback In SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $205 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $198 zone and the trend line. The first major support is near the $192 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $177 swing low to the $204 high.

A break below the $192 level might send the price toward the $184 support zone. If there is a close below the $184 support, the price could decline toward the $180 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $198 and $184.

Major Resistance Levels – $205 and $208.

XRP price started a fresh increase above $2.45. The price is now showing positive signs and might rise further if it clears the $2.680 resistance.

• XRP price is attempting a fresh increase above the $2.50 zone.
• The price is now trading above $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.580 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.680 resistance.

XRP Price Eyes Steady Increase

XRP price formed a base above $2.320 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.380 and $2.450 resistance levels.

The bulls were able to push the price above $2.50 and $2.55. A high was formed at $2.668 and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $2.327 swing low to the $2.668 high.

The price is now trading below $2.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $2.580 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair.

If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $2.660 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.680 level, above which the price could rise and test $2.750. A clear move above the $2.750 resistance might send the price toward the $2.80 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.920 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $2.950.

Are Dips Supported?

If XRP fails to clear the $2.680 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.60 level. The next major support is near the $2.580 level.

If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.580 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.50 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $2.327 swing low to the $2.668 high. The next major support sits near the $2.450 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $2.40.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $2.60 and $2.580.

Major Resistance Levels – $2.660 and $2.680.

Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $4,000. ETH is moving higher but faces a couple of key hurdles near $4,220 and $4,250.

• Ethereum started a fresh recovery above $4,000 and $4,120.
• The price is trading above $4,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,050 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,220.

Ethereum Price Eyes Steady Gains

Ethereum price started a minor recovery wave above the $3,880 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price surpassed the $4,000 and $4,050 levels to enter a short-term positive zone.

The price even spiked above $4,220. A high was formed at $4,225 and the price is now consolidating gains. The price is stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $3,708 swing low to the $4,225 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $4,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,050 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,220 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,250 level. The first major resistance is near the $4,320 level. A clear move above the $4,320 resistance might send the price toward the $4,450 resistance. An upside break above the $4,450 region might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,500 resistance zone or even $4,550 in the near term.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,220 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,150 level. The first major support sits near the $4,120 zone.

A clear move below the $4,120 support might push the price toward the $4,050 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $4,000 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,880.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $4,120

Major Resistance Level – $4,220

Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $113,500. BTC could rise further if there is a clear move above the $115,500 resistance.

• Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $113,500 resistance level.
• The price is trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $113,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $115,500 zone.

Bitcoin Price Starts Fresh Increase

Bitcoin price declined again below the $108,000 level. BTC tested the $106,720 zone and recently started a fresh increase. There was a move above the $112,000 resistance level.

The bulls were able to pump the price above $113,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Finally, the price spiked above $115,000 and is currently consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $106,718 swing low to the $115,400 high.

Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $113,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.

Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $115,250 level. The first key resistance is near the $115,500 level. The next resistance could be $116,200. A close above the $116,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $117,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $118,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $118,800.

Another Pullback In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $115,500 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $114,000 level. The first major support is near the $113,500 level or the trend line.

The next support is now near the $111,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $110,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $108,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $114,000, followed by $113,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $115,500 and $116,500.

The Chainlink (LINK) market has experienced a significant uplift in the last week as prices grew by 7.64%. In line with the general crypto market, the altcoin produced a modest rebound from the deep correction levels seen in mid-October. Amid this price action, renowned market analyst Ali Martinez has shared a developing bullish pattern that suggests more profits ahead.

Buy The Dip At $15 – Here’s Why

In a recent X post on October 25, Martinez postulated that LINK could be gearing up for a major rally, with technical indicators hinting at an incoming bullish opportunity.  In analyzing the LINKUSDT daily chart, investors may have a chance to notch a 300% gain in the coming months.

Based on the chart analysis presented by Martinez, LINK is trading within a broad ascending parallel channel that has defined its market behavior since mid-2023. Notably, the altcoin last bounced off the lower boundary of this channel in June 2025 to trade as high as $28.00, before descending to current market prices around $18.00.

 

Martinez anticipates that LINK will complete its ongoing decline by revisiting the channel’s lower boundary, with the $15.00 zone, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, serving as the key area of interest. The analyst identifies $15.00  as a strong accumulation zone, advising investors to consider buying at that level. From there, LINK is expected to stage a recovery toward the upper boundary of the channel. 

However, Martinez cautions that the token could face interim resistance around $20.04, corresponding to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which may trigger a brief pullback to $18.00  before a potential breakout rally. If this setup unfolds as projected, LINK could surge toward the $46.31  mark, matching the 1.272 Fibonacci extension, representing an upside of roughly 300% gain from the expected accumulation point.

LINK Market Overview 

At the time of writing, LINK trades at $18.21, reflecting a slight 2.41% gain in the past day. Meanwhile, the token’s daily trading volume has declined by 43.38% and is valuedat around $366 million. 

Looking at its monthly chart, LINK remains down by 11.05% despite the modest recovery seen in the last week, signaling that the token still needs further upside to fully reverse its recent losses and bring most new investors back into profit. With a market cap of $12.35 billion, LINK continues to hold its position as the twelfth largest cryptocurrency in the market. 

Bitcoin has performed strongly below expectations in October, with total monthly gains now estimated at around 1.54%. Following a bullish start, which established a new all-time high at $126,000, the premier cryptocurrency experienced a heavy correction mid-month, resulting in present price levels around $111,400. Amid these developments, crypto analyst Amr Taha has noted a recent shift on the Binance network, with potentially bullish implications for market participants.

Exchange Reserves Near Critical Low

In a recent QuickTake post on CryptoQuant, Amr Taha shares insights into Bitcoin’s possible near-term trajectory, using data from the Bitcoin Exchange Reserve on Binance. As the name implies, this metric is an on-chain indicator that tracks the total amount of Bitcoin held in exchange wallets over time. The exchange reserve is an important measure of investors’ sentiment, as a high figure suggests preparation to sell and a growing lack of conviction among investors. However, when investors withdraw large amounts of their holdings from exchanges, especially within a short period, it indicates confidence in the asset’s prospects for price appreciation.

Taha points out that the Bitcoin exchange reserves on Binance have seen a significant decline, with the current reading approaching 610,000 BTC,  a level last reached in July, and also one of the lowest levels seen last year. While Bitcoin’s exchange reserves have steadily declined throughout 2025, the analyst remarks that the most recent decline looks “extremely aggressive,” implicitly suggesting the possibility of an imminent radical change.

One possible effect of this drastic drop in exchange reserve is a supply shock, i.e., a sudden drop in the available supply of an asset. This abrupt shrinkage in selling supply also increases the market’s fragility to the upside, with increasing demand serving as fuel to bolster major upswings.

Factors Behind Bitcoin’s Falling Exchange Reserve

Interestingly, Taha explains that as Bitcoin’s price swings around the $111,500 level, it reflects an underlying amount of demand, thus reinforcing earlier conjectures on growing long-term holders (LTH) confidence. As a result, Bitcoin could soon see an influx of momentum to push its price to the upside.

Aside from growing institutional and whale accumulation standing as the primary driver of declining reserves, the analyst also points out the immense demand from the spot ETFs as another factor in play. A proportion of BTC typically gets pulled into these funds, thereby competing with the supply of Bitcoin available in the market. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is worth approximately $111,613, reflecting no significant movement in the past day.

According to the latest on-chain data, XRP’s open interest has returned to a low similar to the one seen in May 2025. Below is the potential implication for the XRP price.

Derivatives Activity Sees Significant Dip — What This Means

In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, on-chain analyst PelinayPA delved into the underlying activity within the XRP derivatives market and how it could affect the altcoin’s price in the coming weeks.

The analyst’s report revolved around results obtained from the Open Interest metric, which tracks the total amount in USD of derivatives contracts of a cryptocurrency (XRP, in this case) that are open and have not been settled at a given time. 

According to PelinayPA, the Open Interest metric has fallen to a level as low as that seen in May 2025. Interestingly, this latest dip in OI coincides with the XRP price being around $2.50, which is a much higher valuation than was held during the previous OI nosedive. 

Usually, a decline in a cryptocurrency’s Open Interest indicates the forceful removal of over-leveraged or speculative positions from the market, leaving only the stronger hands to rule the market.

After the OI bottomed in May 2025, there was a significant increase in trading volume, which pushed the price to as high as $3.50. As the open interest has fallen to a level similar to that of May, history could very well repeat itself, and the XRP price could begin yet another upward rally.

XRP Key Zones To Watch Out For

For hopes of an XRP rally to remain within realistic possibilities, PelinayPA directed attention towards a couple of important price ranges to monitor. Firstly, the analyst started with the important support zone, which is the $2.20-$2.40 price range. According to the analyst, this support zone serves as a short-term buy zone, which will be crucial in keeping the token in an uptrend.

A breach of the $2.20-$2.40 support could cause a short-term sell to as low as $1.85, where the next major support for the XRP price lies. In the scenario where this “key support” fails, the altcoin could plummet to as low as its major psychological floor of $0.60-$0.70. 

Looking towards the more probable bullish scenario, a condition would have to be met for the XRP price to see a surge. First, a sustained open interest increase of around 25% for several days would confirm the start of a new move.

If this happens, investors could witness a breakout above the first resistance within the $2.80-$3.00 range, strengthening bullish momentum. Also, a breakout above $3.30-$3.50 could trigger a price discovery phase, where the XRP price surges towards $4.20-$4.50. 

As of this writing, XRP holds a valuation of about $2.61, reflecting an over 2% jump in the past day.

The SUI price has had quite a disappointing performance in 2025, despite having started the year with a red-hot streak. The cryptocurrency’s price rode this new year’s momentum to a new all-time high of $5.35 as early as January 4, 2025.

However, the SUI price currently sits more than 53% away from this record price, putting the altcoin’s struggles into perspective. According to a popular analyst on the social media platform X, the price of SUI could be gearing up for a run-up to a new all-time high.

SUI To Surge 260% If It Breaks Out Of This Pattern

In a recent post on X, market pundit Ali Martinez put forward a $9 target for the SUI price over the next few months. The crypto analyst identified four reasons why the altcoin’s price could be on its way to a new all-time high.

Firstly, Martinez highlighted the current technical setup of the SUI token, which is trading within a symmetrical triangle on the 2-day timeframe. For context, the symmetrical triangle is a technical analysis pattern characterized by a diagonal falling upper trendline and a rising lower trendline.

The asset’s price typically narrows and moves towards the apex of the triangle pattern, either breaching the upper trendline for a breakout or the lower trendline for a breakdown. In essence, this symmetrical triangle formation often serves as a continuation or reversal pattern depending on the direction of the price break.

Given that this technical pattern tends to be a continuation signal, Martinez expects the SUI price to break above the upper trendline, resuming its initial upward movement before entering the triangle. According to the analyst, the token could go as high as $9 if there is a sustained close above this upper boundary at the $3.6 mark

As of this writing, the SUI price stands at around $2.51, reflecting an over 1% jump in the past day. And a move to around $9 would represent an over 260% surge from the current price point.

On-Chain Catalysts For SUI Price

To support this bullish technical structure, Martinez also highlighted three positive on-chain developments in recent weeks. Firstly, the crypto analyst mentioned that the total value locked (TVL) on SUI just hit a new all-time high of $2.6 billion, indicating strong capital inflow on the blockchain.

Meanwhile, the volume of decentralized exchange (DEX) activity on SUI has also been on the rise, reaching a new record high $20.33 billion in October. According to Martinez, this recent spike was driven by real network activity, and not just incentives.

The third on-chain development highlighted is the stablecoin market cap on SUI, which has now climbed to $1.15 billion. Martinez noted that this surge in stablecoin volume underscores the network’s steady growth and strong demand. Ultimately, these positive on-chain fundamentals add to the bullish case of the SUI price. 

Ethereum is showing renewed strength after rebounding from its Bull Market Support Band, a key zone that has historically served as a launchpad for major uptrends. The bounce signals a possible shift in momentum, but the real test now lies ahead. With the price approaching the crucial golden pocket resistance, a breakthrough is likely to confirm a sustained bullish phase.

ETH Bounces Back From Weekly Bull Market Support Band

In his recent update on ETH, Luca, a crypto analyst on X, noted that the asset has once again found solid footing at a familiar support area. According to Luca, the price has successfully bounced off the Weekly Bull Market Support Band. This rebound also aligns perfectly with the high-timeframe support range highlighted in his previous PAT updates, reaffirming the technical strength of this level.

He emphasized that this move was largely anticipated, as the support zone has repeatedly proven to be a reliable area for bullish reactions whenever ETH enters a corrective phase. The recent bounce signals that buyers are still active and willing to defend key levels, which could set the stage for renewed momentum if sustained.

However, Luca urged caution in the short term, pointing out that ETH is now approaching a major resistance zone. This zone corresponds with the golden pocket area between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, where Ethereum previously encountered selling pressure. A failure to break above this region could result in sideways movement or a minor pullback before any decisive trend shift occurs.

ETH Eyes High-Timeframe Resistance Range For Next Leg Up

The analyst further explained that if Ethereum manages to break above the current resistance range, it would signal a decisive shift in market structure. Such a move would confirm renewed bullish momentum, paving the way for a mid-term uptrend toward the high-timeframe resistance zone marked in red. 

He added that as long as ETH holds above the “golden pocket” zone after a breakout, the most likely outcome remains further upward. Sustaining momentum above this key area would reinforce the bullish narrative, suggesting that Ethereum could continue climbing toward higher resistance levels without facing major corrections.

However, until that breakout occurs, the analyst expects a period of consolidation around the current support band. According to the analyst, this phase would likely serve as a base for a more durable upside reversal in the future. At this time, patience remains essential, as the ongoing structure hints that Ethereum is preparing for a stronger, more sustained rally once the market confirms direction.

CryptoWzrd, in his latest daily technical outlook, noted that Bitcoin managed to close in the green, but the candle remains indecisive, signaling that a clear reversal is yet to form. He added that more healthy bullish candles are needed to confirm a shift in momentum. For now, his attention is on the lower timeframes, where he plans to look for the next long opportunity once the current position is secured.

Indecisive Daily Close Reflects Market Uncertainty After CPI Data

Crypto analyst CryptoWzrd began his analysis by noting the ambiguity in recent price action, stating that the daily Bitcoin candle closed indecisively, although it was green. The primary focus of the past week was the traditional weekly candle close following the release of the US CPI data. Meanwhile, the weekly candle also closed without a clear direction, leaving the overall market structure ambiguous.

The analyst defined a clear condition for the rally to continue. BTC’s ability to push higher is entirely dependent upon holding above the $110,500 resistance level. Maintaining this key floor should generate enough positive momentum to boost the market further upside, targeting the major resistance at $120,000 and potentially higher if conviction remains strong.

However, if the price fails to hold $110,500, the market is at risk of declining further. In this scenario, the analyst targets the key technical support level located at $100,000 as the likely floor for the ensuing correction.

Regardless of whether Bitcoin executes a bullish or bearish move, the analyst issued a warning regarding the broader market. During the weekend, most altcoins will not forge their own paths but will instead simply mirror the outcome of Bitcoin’s price action.

The health of the altcoin market is directly linked to Bitcoin Dominance (BTCD), which the analyst observes as neutral on the daily chart. For altcoins to break free of Bitcoin’s gravitational pull and remain positive, the market requires more structural weakness in BTC.D. 

On Choppy Price Action & Ongoing Uncertainty

CryptoWzrd concluded the analysis by noting that the intraday chart activity had been “somewhat choppy” throughout the day, suggesting a lack of clear directional momentum in the short term. Despite this recent consolidation, the underlying expectation remains bullish.

Looking ahead, the analyst predicts a further upside move towards the $115,300 resistance in the near future. At this stage, the market has performed its necessary moves, and the next step is simply to wait for the market to play out and confirm the push toward the pivotal $120,000 resistance target.

The US stock market has just achieved a historic milestone, closing at its highest weekly levels ever recorded. The S&P 500 finished the week at 6,791.68 while the US 100 Index reached 25,358.15, both setting new all-time highs.

Easing inflation data, strong corporate earnings, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts have all combined to keep investor sentiment bullish. Amid this record-setting environment, crypto analyst Ash Crypto posted an observation on X that asks the question of how high Bitcoin would trade when it finally catches up to the US stock market.

US Stock Market’s Record-Breaking Momentum

The S&P 500’s record-breaking climb represents a continuation of the stock market’s steady ascent through the second half of the year, which has been boosted by the Fed rate cut in September, expectations of further rate cuts, and confidence in corporate performance.

 The tech-heavy US 100 Index led the charge, climbing past 25,000 for the first time ever this week as large-cap technology stocks posted strong quarterly results. This trend means that the long-running bull trend in traditional markets is intact.

However, what is really compelling is the contrast between Wall Street’s all-time highs and Bitcoin’s relative stagnation. After starting October in a breakout move to new all-time highs above $126,000, the leading cryptocurrency went on a flash crash that took many traders by surprise. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is consolidating around $111,000 despite other asset classes showing strength.

Ash Crypto’s post argues that Bitcoin’s price is being artificially held back compared to how stocks have responded to the same macro backdrop. If Bitcoin had followed the percentage gains of the S&P 500 or US 100 Index, it could already be trading between $140,000 and $150,000.

When Bitcoin Finally Catches Up

The first surge of liquidity always appears in the stock market whenever the Fed begins to slow quantitative tightening (QT) or hints at loosening conditions. This is because the stock market is where the deepest capital pools and institutional participation exist. Equities react first because that’s where the credit channels are most established. 

Bitcoin is still positioned outside the traditional financial system, and hence, tends to lag this initial move. But once the excess liquidity starts spilling into other assets, Bitcoin’s price has always increased at a much faster pace than stocks. According to Ash Crypto, Bitcoin will catch up soon and hit at least $130,000.

Notably, Bitcoin’s on-chain data is already showing signs of the impending surge. For instance, recent figures show that available sell-side liquidity (the total amount of Bitcoin sitting on exchanges ready to be sold) has dropped to just 3.12 million BTC, its lowest point in seven years. Furthermore, data shows that long-term investors have bought 373,700 BTC in the past 30 days. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $111,600.

Bitcoin price struggled to establish a stable direction in the past week, as intense levels of volatility continue to rock the market. Following two weeks of market correction, the premier cryptocurrency attempted a price rebound, reaching around $112,000 before retracing to $107,000 price zone. 

Presently, Bitcoin trades in the $111,000 price range after some steady gains in the past 48 hours. Interestingly, a popular analyst with the X username DaanCrypto has identified an insightful trend amidst this market uncertainty.

Sideways Bitcoin Market Sets Stage For Explosive Move As Liquidity Builds

In a post on Friday, DaanCrypto shared an important on-chain development of the Bitcoin market following the highly volatile price moves in October 2025.  Despite the consistent price swings, the analyst explains that BTC has remained locked in a local price range over the past two weeks,  with its present price hovering above the midpoint of this structure.

This sideways action has been driven by buyers and sellers repeatedly foiling each other’s attempts to break out, thereby preventing the asset from establishing a decisive breakout pattern. Amid the continuous consolidation, untriggered liquidation levels are accumulating just above and below the local price range.

This pattern is typical of Bitcoin’s pre-breakout phases. DaanCrypto explains that the longer the price consolidates within a tight corridor, the more liquidity pools build up outside it. Notably, when price eventually sweeps these clusters, it often triggers a cascade of liquidations and stop orders, which fuel the next large price move. 

Using data from Coinglass, DaanCrypto has identified $106,000 as a level with the heaviest concentration of long liquidations. Therefore, this price point functions as a critical support zone, and a downward wick below which could trigger selling forces pushing Bitcoin to deeper levels. 

Meanwhile, the $115,000 region holds a thick short-side liquidity, meaning a push above this threshold could fuel a rapid short squeeze and propel BTC to higher levels, perhaps beyond its current all-time high at $126,210.

Bitcoin Still On For A Comeback? 

In contrast to popular sentiments of an “Uptober” and blooming Q4, Bitcoin has failed to achieve a sustainable price growth in October. A report from the Bitcoin Archive states that the crypto asset’s return in Q4 2025 is now estimated at -2.84%. This figure shows an extreme underperformance as Bitcoin’s average Q4 is valued at 74.77%.  

However, with over 60 days remaining until the end of 2025, there is still ample time for the premier cryptocurrency to pull off a market recovery. After the CPI data met expectations, the chances of an interest rate cut have increased, and an eventual announcement by the Federal Reserve could perhaps trigger Bitcoin’s rebound, among other factors.

At press time, Bitcoin continues to trade at $111,424, reflecting a 3.91% gain in the past seven days.

 Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview

The Bitcoin price action has been somewhat impressive in 2025, as the flagship cryptocurrency ascended from around $93,300 in early January to its current all-time-high price of $126,000 this month. While the digital asset saw a couple of resets along the way, it continued to put in new highs, reflecting the magnitude of confidence held by its long-term investors.

However, the recent correction seen this October seems to be shaking that confidence, raising questions about the sustainability of Bitcoin’s bull cycle, and if the long-feared bear market is imminent. However, recent on-chain data points to an interestingly brighter outlook than what is currently being experienced by market participants.

Some Relevant BTC On-Chain Levels

In an October 24 post on the X platform, pseudonymous on-chain analyst Arch Physicist highlighted what could be encouraging news for Bitcoin market participants.

The crypto pundit’s analysis was based on the Value Coin-Days Destroyed (VCDD) to Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) metric, which measures the amount of coins that are moved on the blockchain in relation to the potential profits based on their movements. Essentially, this metric is used to locate price zones that can serve as support or resistance. 

Arch Physicist highlighted four important readings from the metric, thereafter explaining on the underlying functions of each of them.

The analyst noted:

‘Gamma + Epsilon’ is used to determine structural highs formed due to Long-Term Holder (LTH) profit-taking, with its current value being around $147,937; ‘Delta + Epsilon’ represents support formed by Short-Term Holder (STH) entry opportunities, currently valued at approximately $92,902. Epsilon, on its part, is used to represent potential price floors. 

LTH Support Holds As Bitcoin Puts In Highs 

Arch Physicist further explained that the metric’s functions are in tandem with Bitcoin’s historical price action. “Bitcoin’s price has broken above the structural high (Gamma + Epsilon) and reached ATHs near Beta during bull runs. It has also historically made ATLs very close to Epsilon,” the analyst said.

Interestingly, the Bitcoin price in this cycle has consistently traded within the support zones established by its LTHs, and the ones by its STHs. However, price seems to be heading towards the lower support zone, which, if breached, could signal the beginning of a bear market. On the other hand, the sustained integrity of the upper support could also be indicating that the bull run has not even started. 

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at approximately $11,890, with no significant movement in the past 24 hours. 

Crypto analyst Hov has stated that the macro target for the Dogecoin price remains unchanged despite the recent crypto market crash. This comes as DOGE looks to reclaim the psychological $0.2 level, which could spark a significant rebound for the meme coin. 

Macro Target For The Dogecoin Price Remains Above $2

In an X post, the crypto analyst stated that he still has the same macro target for the Dogecoin price. His accompanying chart showed DOGE could rally to $3 by next year, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the altcoin. However, there is the possibility that the meme coin could keep trading sideways till the end of the year. 

Meanwhile, Hov noted that the Dogecoin price action had played out as expected, with DOGE correcting off the low and crashing by over 50%. He added that the move did not quite make it into the lower support level, but that so far, the move off the low looks pretty corrective. The meme coin had crashed from a high of around $0.30 last month, recently touching $0.11 amid the crash that followed Trump’s announcement of 100% tariffs on China. 

Hov also stated that the focus will be on how the Dogecoin price action develops over the next week to see whether the C-wave corrective move is in. DOGE is currently looking to rebound and reclaim the psychological $0.2 level. This has been sparked by optimism regarding a potential trade deal between the U.S. and China. 

The White House has confirmed that U.S. President Donald Trump will meet China’s President Xi Jinping on October 30 at the APEC Summit. Meanwhile, the September CPI, which dropped yesterday, came in lower than expectations, which also contributed to a bounce in the Dogecoin price. 

DOGE’s 3rd Bull Wave On The Horizon

Crypto analyst Ether revealed in an X post that the 3rd bull wave is on the horizon for the Dogecoin price. He noted that DOGE experienced two major bull waves in 2017 and 2021 and that another bull wave is now loading. The analyst broke down the current price action, which points to another bull wave. 

Ether revealed that the long downtrend has been broken, with the retest now complete. He further remarked that the 25MA on the higher time frame is back at support. Meanwhile, the Dogecoin price is said to be gathering strength in the lower band of a years-long ascending channel. The analyst added that all technical indicators are “whispering” the start of a new cycle. As such, he believes the 3rd bull wave is a matter of when, not if.

At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.19, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

The cryptocurrency market has not had its typical “Uptober” performance so far this month, with most large-cap assets falling to new local lows in the past few months. The Ethereum price, which was on the verge of hitting $5,000 a few weeks ago, is now languishing below the $4,000 mark.

While the “king of altcoins” had a stop-start performance over the past week, its price seems to be in a better place than it was seven days ago. However, an interesting outlook has emerged for the Ethereum price, with the altcoin believed to have already reached its peak in this cycle.

How Feasible Is A Double Top For ETH Price?

Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently took to the social media platform X to share insights into the current setup of the Ethereum price. According to the market pundit, the second-largest cryptocurrency could be in for an extended bearish period over the next few weeks.

This evaluation revolves around the potential formation of the “double top” pattern on the 3-day timeframe of the Ethereum chart. For context, the double top formation is a technical analysis pattern suggesting a possible bearish trend reversal after an asset’s price touches a resistance level without breaking through.

As observed in the chart above, the initial top came around late 2021 during the altcoin season when the price of ETH rose to the then-all-time high of above $4,800. This price peak was followed by a market crash, which saw the value of Ethereum drop to around the $1,000 mark by mid-2026. 

Meanwhile, the purported second top of this Ethereum price setup is the current all-time high of $4,946, reached earlier in August 2025. According to data from CoinGecko, the altcoin’s value is currently more than 20% adrift from this record high.

While the two tops (nearly four years) look somewhat identical, the price action between them makes it tricky to definitively call them a “double top” pattern. Moreover, the double top can only be confirmed when the price drops below the support level, which typically is the lowest point between the two peaks. This support level would then be at around $1,000, which is a significant distance from the current price point.

Nevertheless, it is important to pay attention to the price movement of ETH over the next few weeks, as it could provide insight into the coin’s future relative to this setup.

Ethereum Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of ETH stands at around $3,983, reflecting an almost 3% jump in the past 24 hours.

Unlike Bitcoin, the Ethereum price has struggled to hold up, and even after the crypto market recovery, the price remains below $4,000, which is a major psychological level. Given this, it seems that the cryptocurrency is set to close the month of October in the red, losing almost 5% of its value already this month. However, with the month of November quickly rolling by, the Ethereum price might be in for a bounce, as November has historically been green for the market.

November Could Hold The Key For Ethereum Price

Looking at the historical price data for Ethereum on the CryptoRank website, there seems to be a balance between years when the month was red and years when it was green. In a decade, there have been five years where the Ethereum price has seen gains in November and five years where there have been losses.

However, there seems to be a rather bullish pattern: the years when the month was green saw double-digit gains, eventually resulting in higher gains than losses. As a result, the average return for the month is 6.93%, and the median return, while low, also remains positive at 1.42%.

Given the fact that there is no clear trend to pinpoint where the price is headed, the bears and the bulls look to have equal chances. But if it does turn out to be in the green, it is likely that the Ethereum price will witness a double-digit surge. Such a move would help it clear the $4,000 resistance with momentum.

Q4 Still Has Potential

Quarterly returns for the Ethereum price have not exactly been the best in the last quarter of the year, but that has not changed the fact that the altcoin tends to perform quite well overall. There is also the trend of Q4 ending in the green if the previous Q2 and Q3 were in the green, which is the case right now.

In Q2 of 2025, the Ethereum price ended with an average positive return of 36.5% and in Q3, it followed with a 66.7% return, the highest so far. With October trending low, there is already a 4.83% decline this year, but with more than 2 months to go, there is still time for things to change.

Only one year in history has the Ethereum price closed Q4 in the red after Q2 and Q3 ended in the green, and that was nine years ago in 2016. Since then, the trend has always seen the ETH price continuing the rally. This was the case back in 2017, and then again in 2020 and 2021.

Since then, this trend has not returned, and 2025 is the first time in four years that the Ethereum price has ended both Q2 and Q3 in the green. If the historical performance holds, the Ethereum price could see an average of a 50% increase, or even double, like it did back in 2017 and 2020, before the year is over.

Pump.fun announced the acquisition of a leading multi-chain trading terminal to further expand its ecosystem, triggering a 10% price surge for the platform’s token, PUMP.

Pump.fun Acquires Padre

On Friday, Solana’s leading launchpad, Pump.fun, announced it had acquired multichain trading terminal Padre for an undisclosed amount as part of its “mission to tokenize the world’s highest-potential opportunities.”

The platform explained that trading terminals have “captured most trading volumes in the ecosystem” for the past year. Therefore, the acquisition of Padre, which supports trading across Ethereum, Solana, BNB Chain, and Base, “was a no-brainer,” Pump.fun’s co-founder Alon Cohen affirmed.

“Today marks another historic day for the PUMP ecosystem. What we’re known for is innovating, growing the market as a whole and creating the most retail-friendly products,” Cohen wrote on X.

“But we have always wanted to find more ways to support and reward our existing, loyal user base, most of which uses pro trading terminals,” he continued, adding that “the Padre team has shown the most grit, execution capability and integrity out of any crypto team I have gotten to know.”

According to the official announcement, Padre will function as usual, but users will experience significant upgrades in user experience, especially for tokens launched on Pump.fun. Additionally, the integration will improve data and speed, and offer better trading incentives.

PUMP Breaks Out Of Bearish Structure

Following the news, Pump.fun’s token, PUMP, became one of the best-performing tokens in the past 24 hours, jumping 11.6% to a one-week high of $0.0043. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $0.0036-$0.0046 price range since the early October correction.

Analyst Sjuul from AltCryptoGems noted that yesterday, PUMP was “in a bit of trouble” after retesting the range lows, needing to break out of a bearish structure to prevent a breakdown to lower levels.

After today’s rally, PUMP “finally broke that structure,” suggesting that the range high should be the next target for the cryptocurrency’s price.

A potential breakout from this range could set the stage for a retest of the $0.005 mark, a key support and resistance level during the Q3 rally that was lost during the October 10 pullback.

PADRE Crash Drives Community Backlash

Despite the PUMP rally, Pump.fun received some backlash after the acquisition. Padre’s users slammed the memecoin launchpad for one of the key changes listed in the announcement.

According to the official X post, trading terminal’s token, PADRE, “will no longer have utility on the platform with no further plans for the future.” As a result, the cryptocurrency dropped 76% in an hour to a multi-month low of $0.009 before stabilizing at around $0.0139.

A user criticized the decision, affirming that “when you acquire a product that has been on the market for more than a year, (…) it would be really wise to take into account people that have invested into the token as well.”

The user considers that “posting a statement that renders the token absolutely useless and sunsetting it in this way is atrocious,” suggesting that the Pump.fun team should have taken a snapshot and announced an airdrop for PADRE holders.

Bitcoin (BTC) liquidity is drying up fast, as the metric recently hit a seven-year low, reaching around 3.12 million BTC, the lowest level since 2018. This occurred as BTC continued to trade below the 99-day Moving Average (MA), located around $112,086.

Bitcoin Liquidity Dries Up Amid High Demand

According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin’s sell-side liquidity is drying up at a rapid pace, recently hitting a seven-year low at 3.12 million BTC.

As BTC’s supply tumbles sharply, the cryptocurrency is trading in the low $110,000 range, indicating a delicate balance between falling active circulating supply and growing institutional demand.

Latest on-chain data shows that demand for BTC from long-term holders’ addresses has been steadily rising. Over the past 30 days, long-term investors have accumulated 373,700 BTC. 

Long-term investors accumulating BTC during the latest dip shows that there is sufficient market demand for the flagship cryptocurrency despite a volatile crypto market. Arab Chain remarked that the market is currently in a “quiet accumulation” phase ahead of a potential breakout.

The CryptoQuant analyst emphasized that the Liquidity Inventory Ratio (LIR) has crashed to around 8.3 months, suggesting that current market liquidity covers less than nine months’ worth of demand – confirming the rapid depletion in BTC’s sellable supply.

For the uninitiated, the LIR measures the balance between available liquidity and active trading demand in the market, showing whether market makers are providing sufficient depth relative to recent trade volume. A high LIR suggests ample liquidity and stable price movement, while a low LIR indicates thinner order books and higher vulnerability to volatility or slippage.

The medium-term outlook for BTC looks bullish, due to a combination of declining liquidity and growing demand from institutional and long-term investors. Arab Chain added:

If this trend continues through the end of the fourth quarter, Bitcoin’s price could surpass $115,000, especially if accompanied by rising buying flows from US investment funds and ETFs, supporting the continuation of the current bullish trend.

BTC Top Not In Yet

While some analysts predict that BTC may have already peaked this market cycle, others are confident that the top cryptocurrency is yet to hit its cycle high. Recent on-chain data indicates that BTC NVT Golden Cross is yet to enter the territory that marked previous cycle tops.

Similarly, fellow CryptoQuant analyst PelinayPA predicted that there is a 55% chance that Bitcoin has not yet topped for the current market cycle. At press time, BTC trades at $111,295, up 2.1% in the past 24 hours.

Following speculation regarding a potential return, Changpeng Zhao, known as CZ, the co-founder and former CEO of Binance, has sparked discussions about the implications of his recent presidential pardon for the exchange’s operations in the United States. 

Will CZ Reclaim His CEO Position At Binance? 

Industry observers suggest that this major development for CZ and Binance as a whole could pave the way for Zhao to resume leadership roles and consolidate Binance’s US operations.

According to Bloomberg, the company is exploring several options, including the possibility of integrating Binance.US into its global operations or having its global exchange enter the US market, as indicated by a source familiar with the matter. 

“This cycle is largely being driven by U.S. institutional investors and investment products, and that’s precisely where Binance can now shift its focus,” stated Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research. 

He added that the US affiliate will likely be reintegrated into Binance’s global ecosystem, providing US investors with direct access to the platform’s “deep liquidity and comprehensive derivatives offerings.”

Attention is now focused on whether Zhao will attempt to reclaim the CEO role he previously stepped away from. In recent weeks, he updated his profile on social media platform X from “ex-Binance” to simply “@Binance,” a subtle change that has fueled speculation about his intentions.

However, not everyone believes Zhao is eager to return as CEO. David Namdar, who manages a BNB treasury company backed by Zhao’s family office, commented, “I think he is operating with more of a weight off his shoulders not running the exchange. I’d be surprised if he stepped back into that role.”

Industry Leaders Predict Increased Involvement 

Patrick Horsman, chief investment officer of digital asset treasury (DAT) firm Applied DNA Sciences, which invests in Binance Coin (BNB), emphasized that Binance’s technology, liquidity, and relatively low fees could position it as a dominant player in the American crypto market.

However, Bloomberg highlights that the pardon may not only enhance Zhao’s personal prospects but also unlock new opportunities for Binance’s global expansion. 

Notably, the firm holds minority stakes in affiliates throughout Asia, including Thailand and Malaysia, where regulatory frameworks impose ownership suitability tests on major shareholders. 

“A criminal conviction can pose a barrier for any individual seeking a beneficial ownership stake in a regulated or listed company,” explained Chris Holland, a partner at HM, a consulting firm based in Singapore.

Cosmo Jiang, general partner at Pantera, anticipates that Zhao will become “more involved with Binance’s operations” now that he has received a pardon. “Whenever a founder returns to a company, it’s always an invigorating moment; you typically see more growth and better execution,” he noted.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

The financial world is witnessing an unprecedented shift, as Ethereum solidifies its position as the sole asset capable of becoming a multi-trillion-dollar institutional store of value. ETH is the only one currently demonstrating the scale, utility, and institutional acceptance to command and securely hold multi-trillion-dollar allocations, fundamentally redefining the future of global wealth preservation and growth.

Why Ethereum Is The Foundational Role For Institutional Capital

Ethereum has quietly become the final form of digital trust for institutions to store trillions of dollars. A market expert and entrepreneur, partnering with OKX and MEXC, Ted Pillows, has stated on the social media platform X that ETH decentralization is nearly impossible to replicate, a network that was largely community-funded, not VC-funded, and forged through proof-of-work (PoW).

Furthermore, the reliability of ETH has been 100% uptime over 10 years of flawless operation and 16 successful upgrades. The ETH Layer 1 and Layer 2 architectures are designed to offer regulatory safety, where institutions can deploy compliant solutions. Meanwhile, the KYC-enabled Layer 2s do not compromise on the fundamental decentralization or security of the leading ETH blockchain.

Maintaining A Buffer For Market Opportunities

While Ethereum is a safe place for institutional investors to store trillions of dollars, analyst Luca has noted that the ETH price has shown strength as it bounced off the Weekly Bull Market Support Band, which has previously acted as a strong reversal over several weeks. This level also aligns with the high-timeframe support area marked in green, the same zone that served as a major resistance throughout most of 2024.

Luca believes that due to this confluence, and as long as the price holds above this range, the broader market structure will continue to favor the upside. However, ETH still faces a critical test ahead. Until it breaks above the golden pocket between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement Point of Interest (POIs), the same zone that triggered the last rejection, the analyst highlighted that the best approach is to stay somewhat cautious. He also added that investors should be ready for further consolidation within the high-timeframe accumulation range. 

As Luca has highlighted, the priority now is risk management. Avoid unnecessary leverage, don’t overexpose on short-term setups, and maintain a diversified portfolio with moderate exposure to defensive sectors. This will help ride out the volatility as ETH moves closer to the top of the cycle. While advocating for a cash buffer, the expert noted that if ETH breaks below the Weekly Bull Market Support Band, it would signal a potential deeper downside and justify hedging part of spot holdings to mitigate short-term risk.

Ethereum is struggling to push above the $4,000 level, as market sentiment remains uncertain and volatility keeps investors cautious. Despite several attempts, bulls have failed to sustain momentum, suggesting hesitation at key resistance levels. However, new on-chain data is drawing attention to potentially large-scale liquidity moves that could influence Ethereum’s next direction.

According to Lookonchain, an Ethereum OG holding 736,316 ETH (worth approximately $2.89 billion) recently deposited $500 million USDT into the vaults launched by ConcreteXYZ and Stable, just before their official announcement. This has sparked significant curiosity across the crypto community, as the transaction appears strategically timed and could signal preparation for major yield or liquidity activity.

ConcreteXYZ is a next-generation liquidity protocol designed to connect institutional and DeFi capital through tokenized vaults. It allows users to allocate stablecoins and crypto assets into yield-bearing strategies while maintaining full transparency and composability within the Ethereum ecosystem.

The whale’s massive deposit — preceding the public reveal — suggests potential insider positioning or high-conviction participation in these vaults. Such large inflows often act as early indicators of shifting liquidity dynamics, particularly when aligned with projects positioned at the intersection of DeFi infrastructure and institutional finance.

Whale Dominance in Aave and Stablecoin Vaults Raises Strategic Questions

According to Lookonchain, the same Ethereum OG who recently interacted with ConcreteXYZ and Stable deposited 300,000 ETH into Aave and borrowed $500 million USDT. Out of the total $775 million USDT deposited across the new vaults, this single whale accounted for 64.5% of the total liquidity, underscoring their dominant role in this sudden market activity.

This move represents a sophisticated on-chain strategy often seen among experienced whales. By supplying ETH as collateral on Aave — one of the largest decentralized lending protocols — and borrowing USDT against it, the whale effectively unlocks liquidity without selling their Ethereum holdings. This allows them to deploy large sums into yield opportunities, such as the newly launched ConcreteXYZ vaults, while retaining exposure to ETH’s long-term upside.

Such a concentration of liquidity from one entity can have several implications for the broader market. On one hand, it highlights growing confidence among deep-pocketed players in the DeFi ecosystem’s stability and profitability. On the other hand, it raises questions about market influence and systemic risk, since a single participant holds such a large portion of capital inflows.

If this borrowed liquidity is used for yield farming or strategic positioning rather than short-term speculation, it could reinforce Ethereum’s ecosystem fundamentals by increasing DeFi activity and on-chain engagement. However, if market conditions deteriorate and collateral values fall, liquidations could amplify volatility.

In essence, this massive Aave–ConcreteXYZ transaction demonstrates how whales leverage DeFi infrastructure to maintain dominance, optimize liquidity, and influence ecosystem-wide capital flows — making this one of the most significant on-chain moves of the quarter.

Ethereum Rebounds but Faces Resistance Near $4,000

Ethereum’s price is currently trading around $3,964, showing signs of a modest rebound after recent volatility. The daily chart indicates that ETH has been attempting to recover from its October lows. But remains trapped below key resistance at $4,000–$4,200, where both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages converge. This is a zone that often acts as a strong rejection area during consolidation phases.

Despite short-term gains, Ethereum’s broader structure still reflects uncertainty. The 200-day moving average, sitting near $3,200, continues to provide strong dynamic support, preventing a deeper breakdown. However, the inability to break above $4,000 has left the asset vulnerable to renewed selling pressure if momentum weakens.

Volume patterns suggest limited conviction among buyers, as each rally attempt has been met with fading strength. To regain a sustainable bullish outlook, Ethereum needs a decisive close above $4,200. This would signal a potential continuation toward $4,500 and higher. Conversely, failure to reclaim that range could lead to a retest of $3,600–$3,500.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Dogecoin is once again under pressure as bears tighten their hold, keeping the price pinned below key resistance levels. Despite the ongoing consolidation, one crucial support zone is beginning to show signs of strength, hinting that a potential reversal could be on the horizon if buyers step in at the right moment.

Momentum Hinges On RSI and BTC Dominance Levels

Umair Crypto, in his latest update on Dogecoin, noted that the meme coin is currently consolidating just beneath the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), forming what appears to be a clear bearish setup. According to Umair, the structure suggests that the price could soon face rejection from this critical moving average, a move that may trigger a decline toward the $0.15 region, or potentially even lower if selling pressure intensifies.

Despite the bearish tone, Umair highlighted that the $0.15 zone remains a crucial area of interest for buyers. He explained that this region could act as a strong bounce zone if the expected rejection occurs, offering the bulls a chance to defend the key support and potentially ignite a recovery from oversold conditions.

On a more optimistic note, Umair pointed out that a recovery above the daily RSI trendline could change the short-term outlook for DOGE and fuel a move above the 200-day SMA, opening the door for renewed bullish momentum. However, Umair maintained a cautious stance for now until there’s a confirmed decline in Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) below 59%. This shift would likely mark the beginning of a more sustainable upward phase, including Dogecoin.

Dogecoin Regains Stability After Recent Correction

In a more recent market update, BitGuru highlighted that Dogecoin is starting to display early signs of a potential recovery following its recent correction phase. After facing sustained downward pressure, the popular meme coin seems to be regaining some stability as its price action begins to level out.

BitGuru pointed out that DOGE has managed to hold firmly near a key support level despite recent volatility. This steady price action near the base suggests that buyers are gradually stepping back in, showing confidence in the asset’s long-term potential. The chart structure is beginning to curve upward, which often precedes a breakout or a notable shift in market sentiment

He further explained that if this early momentum continues to develop, Dogecoin could be preparing for a breakout toward the $0.22–$0.25 range. A successful move in that direction would mark a meaningful recovery from its previous decline and could spark renewed interest from traders.

XRP’s price has been showing signs of consolidation in recent days and oscillating between $2.30 and $2.50. The entire crypto market has been relatively steady, and XRP has managed to maintain its footing above $2.20. 

Despite the slow momentum, a technical analysis shared by the crypto analyst known as ChartNerd on X suggests that XRP could be preparing for a massive breakout that could take it from current levels toward a long-term target above $27. The analysis is supported by a chart showing multiple confluences aligning in favor of such a large-scale move.

XRP Technical Analysis Points To Rally

According to ChartNerd’s chart, XRP has now completed a symmetrical triangle breakout pattern that has been forming for several years. This breakout is occurring above a multi-year ascending support line that dates back to 2017. The chart also shows an important resistance block that previously capped XRP’s price during earlier bull runs in 2017 and 2021. 

XRP broke above this resistance block months ago, but recently retested it during last week’s flash crash. Its rebound from this resistance block reinforces the idea that XRP is about to bounce massively. The breakout from this long-term consolidation zone, combined with the multi-year ascending trendline, provides the technical foundation for a potential move toward much higher price targets.

Another important confirmation that occurred during the flash crash was the successful retest of the 3-month 10 EMA. This retest serves as a validation point for the recent breakout, showing that XRP is maintaining its structure on higher timeframes. Furthermore, the analysis shows that XRP has reclaimed the Gaussian Channel upper regression line, which represents long-term trend momentum. 

This alignment of the EMA retest with the Gaussian Channel suggests strong bullish momentum is beginning to build. ChartNerd refers to this convergence of multiple indicators as a “confluence zone.”

Fibonacci Extension Targets From $8 To $27

The analysis concludes with a clearly defined Fibonacci extension roadmap that outlines XRP’s next price objectives. ChartNerd’s Fibonacci levels place the first major target at $8.47, corresponding to the 1.272 extension, followed by $13.78 at the 1.414 level, and finally the 1.618 extension at $27.70. 

This sequence implies a full technical replication of XRP’s bull run in 2017, scaled to its current breakout structure. Back then, XRP hit all three Fibonacci extensions from the previous low after breaking above a similar resistance block. 

If these projections materialize, XRP could experience its most significant rally in years. The move toward $27 could unfold in one of two ways: either through a strong, near-vertical surge similar to the explosive rally of 2017 or through a series of measured advances highlighted by corrections at each resistance level. Nonetheless, both scenarios have the same bullish structure.

At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.44, up by 1.4% in the past 24 hours.