2026 MLB Predictions from the Lookout Landing staff—and you

AL West: Mariners (17 votes)
Crowd: Mariners (95.6%)
- Zach: Knock it off. Get serious.
- Isabelle: This is weird, it makes me nervous, but it doesn’t mean it’s wrong…
- Eric: Such confidence in a Mariners roster is a very unfamiliar feeling, but the rest of the AL West just doesn’t scare me at all.
- John: MARITIME LAW IS IN EFFECT!
- Ryan: goms
AL Central: Tigers (9)
Royals (6), Guardians (2)
Crowd: Tigers (71.2%)
- Kate: I picked the Royals for everything last year and then they were terrible, but this year will be different, I swear. Did you watch the Wittz Carlton digital short? They are powered by friendship!
- Eric: I picked the Royals because other smart people picked them.
- Ryan: The Royals brought in their fences so much that even Jonathan India can hit a home run there now.
- John: The Royals are plucky (see the Wild Card section) and Maikel Garcia is a monster. But the Tigers got better at multiple spots this winter, much as I’d like Framber to be laughable. It’s theirs to lose.
- Max: I hate this division. (Royals)
- Nick T: Someone has to win this accursed division. (Tigers)
AL East: Blue Jays (9)
Red Sox (4), Yankees (4)
Crowd: Blue Jays (50.8%)
- Isabelle: Evidently a hot-ish take, but I am afraid of the Red Sox and I think they’re going to be very good.
- Nicky V: People are sleeping on the Red Sox. They’ll finish one game behind the Jays.
- Eric: This is my reverse jinx on the Jays.
- Ryan: I love the Sox rotation
- Ezra: I’m a little surprised people are so low on the Yankees. The Red Sox will be a factor, but I think it’s far from a sure thing that they’re going to step over them into the playoffs. Especially considering the Yankees beat em 2 outta 3 in the wildcard last year.
- Nick T: I’m emotionally hedging on the Blue Jays. I want so badly to be wrong. Toronto’s pitching is certainly a reason to assume there will be some regression but it still feels like their division to lose.
AL WC: Red Sox (12), Royals (8), Yankees (7)
Tigers (6), Astros (3), Rays (2), A’s (1), Orioles (1), Rangers (1)
Crowd: Yankees (69.9%), Red Sox (45.9%), Guardians (24%)
- Zach: Get you a man who believes in you the way Kate believes in the 2020s Rangers.
- Kate: It is important to have a brand.
- Eric: Any person who believes in the Texas Rangers is not someone Kate will want to spend time with, I would wager.
- Ryan: The Rays are sneaky good. If I were braver, I’d pick them in the East.
- John: The Rays are too sneaky and will get trampled for at least one more year. I cannot take seriously their pitching staff, perhaps to my peril. Kansas City, meanwhile, will feast upon much of the Central and be pesky against the coasts.
- Ezra: Whoever picked the A’s let me know. I want some of whatever you’re smoking.
- Nick T: I’ve said I’ll stop believing in the Astros when they miss the playoffs. Well, as it happens I’m not built like that. Might need some professional help process these fears. For now I’m dumping them in WC3, and dumping my trauma here.
AL #1 Seed: Mariners (12)
Red Sox (2), Blue Jays (1), Royals (1), Yankees (1)
Crowd: Mariners (61%)
- Ryan: Smitty Werbenjägermanjensen
- Nick T: Mariners have the highest odds in the American League to make the playoffs (80.4%) and win the World Series (8.9%). I am extremely susceptible to propaganda.
AL Sleeper Team (FG playoff odds <33.3%): A’s (6)
Guardians (4), Rays (3), White Sox (3)
Crowd: A’s (55.5%)
- Isabelle: On a fundamental level, I think the A’s and Rays should not be allowed to count as sleeper teams, given that at this point in their franchise histories they’re more sleeper team than “serious” team. But also there’s so much parity in the AL there really aren’t any other good options. What, like we’re going to pick the Angels?
- Zach: I do not understand what John, Ryan, and Connor see here. The White Sox have just five players who FG projects for at least 2 WAR, and the best of those five clocks in at 2.5. Not so much of a sleeper team as a coma-ridden one.
- Kate: I think the White Sox are a sexy sleeper pick because they’re showing some forms of life with young intriguing players after being so historically awful, but also, no. The A’s are the best team out of this group and it’s not close, even if all their games will be won 15-13, but I do love entertaining the potential of a Ben Williamson-led Rays team making things hard on the AL East.
- Ryan: I am intrigued by the White Sox catching duo, Colson Montgomery, Munetaka Murakami, Miguel Vargas, and even the left-for-dead Andrew Benintendi. The pitching is going to be a disaster, but Shane Smith is a bright spot. To be clear, this is a sleeper, “they might win 75 games and make for an annoying road trip in May.” But I think they’re trending up.
- John: Sacramento’s lack of selection is a sign of respect to the second-best team in the AL West. The ChiSox are indeed not a high-level club by projection, but they are mostly made up of young players who’ve been blocked elsewhere or only gotten a first or sparing taste of big league play.
- Ezra: Dread it, run from it, the Guardians arrive (in the playoffs) all the same.
- Nick T: Fangraphs is projecting the Guardians for 76 wins? Now I’m not gambling man, but that doesn’t mean I don’t know an easy over when I see one.
NL West: Dodgers (17)
Crowd: Dodgers (95.1%)
- Zach: The Dodgers have assembled a very good baseball team.
- Eric: Huge, if true.
- Ryan: This will be closer than people think? Their pitching could be a disaster with all of their bandaged starters. Their lineup is aging quickly, too. I expect something closer to last year’s win total.
- John: I agree with Ryan. L.A. has also made no secret that they attempt to manage their rotation to be healthy for the playoffs – a near-disaster last year as they were forced into the best-of-three Wild Card round. Yes, they won and exposed Milwaukee and upset the Phillies to take another title, but this is not fait accompli.
- Max: I hope you are right, but I unfortunately think you are wrong. The NL West has little to no pitching outside of the Dodgers staff, regardless of how poorly they seem to be able to manage injury. Logan Webb is great, but Nick Pivetta is the second best starting pitcher in this division that’s not based out of LA, and that is Not Great for the chances of anyone dethroning the reigning champs.
- Nick T: Two things can be true. The Dodgers ARE aging, but they also did more to improve this offseason than the rest of the division. Adding Kyle Tucker will kinda do that by default. Is the unanimous vote potentially disrespectful to other teams in this division? Not really. If you want to compete with the Dodgers, you have to spend like the Dodgers. Until then, I’ll write their name atop this division in Sharpie for the foreseeable future.
NL Central: TIE – Brewers (8), Cubs (8)
Pirates (1)
Crowd: Cubs (58.8%)
- Kate: I picked the Cubs but I see how this one is close. I think the Cubs are further along with the on-field product but I think the Brewers are the better organization, if that makes sense?
- Ryan: 100% agree with Kate’s assessment but lean towards org quality, assuming they know something about their guys the projections don’t see.
- Max: The Brewers are always built to win in the regular season. Tons of quality depth and elite organizational know-how. I thought they had a weird offseason, but they kind of seem inevitable in a relatively weak division.
- Nick T: I doubted the Brewers last year. Have I been wrong before? No, it’s literally never happened. It’s going to take a while to recover from this.
NL East: Mets (9)
Phillies (8)
Crowd: Mets, 47.5%
- Isabelle: I’ve been Phillies-pilled since Brad Hand joined their bullpen, but I think some combination of the clubhouse culture and general refusal to make substantial off-season upgrades is going to make it a rough season for the defending division champs.
- Ryan: Sometimes I forget just how good the Phillies pitching is when healthy, and I refuse to pick the Mets.
- Ezra: ITS ALL ABOUT THE METS BABY, LOVE THE METS, LETS GO METS.
- Zach: On the one hand, the Mets have a dynamite roster. On the other hand, they are the New York Mets.
- John: I am astonished nobody picked Atlanta. But I am not about to be part of the solution.
NL WC: Braves (9), Brewers (8), TIE – Cubs (7), Padres (7), Phillies (7)
Mets (5), Pirates (3), Giants (2), Diamondbacks (1), Marlins (1)
Crowd: Phillies (49.2%), Brewers (41.5%), Padres (41.5%)
- Isabelle: The NL Central is so boring. Sorry. Get outta October and let the coastal elites play. (That last part is a joke, please don’t yell at me or tell my sister’s boyfriend who is an ardent Cardinals fan.) (Braves, Phillies, Brewers)
- Eric: I’m here for the Pirates to somehow make a run before they lose Paul Skenes.
NL #1 Seed: Dodgers (15)
Brewers (1), Phillies (1)
Crowd: Dodgers (86.8%)
- Nicky V: Whatever. You guys want us to write something for this?
- Eric: Atomic bomb versus coughing baby type shit.
NL Sleeper Team (FG playoff odds <33.3%): Marlins (7)
Padres (5), Reds (3), Diamondbacks (1), Nationals (1)
Crowd: Padres (63.5%)
- Isabelle: Call me WBC-brained, but the Marlins are intriguing… I wouldn’t say they have the sauce yet, but they sure are getting that mise en place ready.
- Eric: I love the Marlins because they’ve because it feels like they’ve been almost good for like 12 years now.
- Kate: I am sorry, I am saying Calle No-cho to the Marlins. You are being taken in by the electric sex of Miami and their sweet, sweet uniforms. The Padres having to be a sleeper team feels undignified, but them’s the breaks of playing in a division with the Dodgers. Poor Jackson Merrill deserves better.
- Nick T: I’m going to invoke health as a reason why I think the Reds are going to be good. Don’t look at Hunter Greene! Stop that! The core lineup is the healthiest it’s been in three years, and Elly De La Cruz looked straight-up superhuman this spring.
AL Champions: Mariners (14)
Yankees (2), Blue Jays (1)
Crowd: Mariners (84.2%)
- Kate: I picked the Yankees because I predicted a Yankees-Dodgers World Series because I famously hate whimsy in any form.
- Nick T: Better to have loved and lost…
- Eric: 84% picking the Mariners to win their first pennant ever, hell yeah. It’s called manifesting, sweetie.
- Ryan: goms
NL Champions: Dodgers (12)
Mets (3), Brewers (1), Cubs (1)
Crowd: Dodgers (69.4%)
- Isabelle: At this point, I don’t even know if I fully believe anyone can unseat the Dodgers, but I’m just so catastrophically bored by them that I’m manifesting something new.
- Ryan: Thwarting a three-peat will be ever so sweet
World Series Champions: TIE – Mariners (8), Dodgers (8)
Brewers (1)
Crowd: Mariners (61.3%)
- Connor: Marinerz r00l
- Isabelle: What are predictions if not wishcasting?
- Nicky V: If not wishcasting, they’re an opportunity to mitigate: If the Mariners lose, at least I can say I was right.
- Eric: This is honestly one of the first times ever that one could pick the Mariners as a legit WS contender and not be accused of being a complete homer, an idiot, or both.
- Ryan: goms
WS MVP: Shohei (5)
Julio (3), Muñoz (2), J. Chourio, E. Díaz, M. Garver, J. Naylor, C. Raleigh, W. Smith, Y. Yamamoto
Crowd: Julio (21.9%)
- Isabelle: Listen, if the Seattle Mariners are going to win the World Series some weird shit is going to need to happen. (Garver)
- Nick T: rhythmically banging my fists on my extremely flimsy desk WEIRD SHIT WEIRD SHIT WEIRD SHIT (Naylor)
- Max: Can’t wait to see Shohei and Co. duke it out with Mitch Garver’s team of destiny (Julio)
Awards
AL MVP: Julio (7)
Witt (4), R. Anthony, J. Caminero, A. Judge, N. Kurtz
Crowd: Julio (38.6%)
- Anders: This one feels pretty wide open. I like Nick Kurtz as a dark horse. After what he did in just 117 games last year (38 bombs, 4.6 fWAR), it’s not hard to imagine another step forward yielding a peak Vlad Jr. kind of season, especially in that tiny ballpark.
- Zach: Wow, strong disagree, Ders! I think this is quite clearly Judge’s to lose. (Nevertheless, I picked Witt.)
- Isabelle: Julioooo to the moooon
- Nicky V: I hate to say it, but damn, Witt Jr. is so good.
- Kate: Witt Jr. is annoyingly good and I have the Royals making the playoffs led by an incandescent BWJ (and his BFF Vinnie Pasquantino) so I think he has a chance to unseat Judge.
- Eric: Judge will never win MVP again, bad karma forever for winning it over a once-in-a-generation season by a catcher. This is why he didn’t do shit in the WBC. (Julio)
- Ryan: I might have chosen Witt, but then I was asked to predict Julio’s season.
AL Cy Young: Crochet (5)
Skubal (4), Gilbert, (2), Kirby (2), Woo (2), Ragans
Crowd: Skubal (31.2%)
- Zach: I’ve picked Gilbert every year, and I’ll keep doing it until I’m right because eventually I will be.
- Isabelle: ^I believe! Even if it does then make it particularly challenging to sign him to an extension at the All-Star break.
- Kate: It me, Cole Ragans believer. Do not speak to me of his ERA.
- Eric: I was not a Woo believer last year and I looked silly because of it, so now I am a Woo guy.
- Ryan: Did you know Tarik Skubal went to Seattle U?
AL Rookie of the Year: McGonigle (8)
Tolle (4), Early (2), DeLauter, Valera, Yesavage
Crowd: Colt Emerson (24.3%)
- Zach: Love to see the homerism from the crowd. I suppose it’s true that most outlets rank him higher than everyone here but McGonigle (and the injured Yesavage). But he looked overmatched during Spring Training, so while I like what he’ll do in his career, I don’t think he’s a burst-onto-the-scene-as-an-All-Star-at-20-years-old guy. (Tolle)
- Connor: I failed to update my Yesavage prediction in time after he hit the IL with a shoulder impingement, but I am famously terrible at the ROY predictions (Francisco Mejía and Curtis Mead,,, hello) so I’m sticking with it.
- Eric: More like Ye-Not-Gonna-Be-Savage in 2026. (McGonigle)
NL MVP: Shohei (10)
Soto (3), Tatís (2), Griffin, Lindor
Crowd: Shohei (60.3%)
- Nicky V: I’m going all in on Konnor Griffin – he’s the real deal and is going to be the MVP and the ROTY.
- John: At some point in his career, Juan Soto will stop being the “who’s the best player you saw who never won a MVP” and I think this is the ideal season.
NL Cy Young: Skenes (8)
Sánchez (3), Yamamoto (2), J. Luzardo, E. Pérez, Webb
Crowd: Skenes (65.2%)
- Kate: I picked Yamamoto just because it’s so boring to pick Skenes over and over again, and it fits my narrative of the Dodgers winning the World Series.
- Ryan: I hope it’s anyone else, but I do not dare guess.
- John: #ForeverGiantWebb
NL Rookie of the Year: Griffin (8)
McLean (5), Stewart (2), Painter, Wetherholt
Crowd: Griffin (24.0%)
- Isabelle: The Mc’s have ROY locked on both sides. Especially for the Mets to fulfill my predictions, they’re going to need a deGrom 2.0 type of experience from McLean.
- Nicky V: Seriously, have you ever seen the guy? Griffin is an absolute freak.
- Ryan: I’m reluctant to say anything nice about the Mets, but I will say th-
- John: Sue me, I like a Phillies pitcher, it’s actually a thing they’ve been good at lately.
- Max: Sal Stewart in Cincinnati’s baby park is going to hit one billion home runs
- Nick T: I’m putting my money where my mouth is. I drafted JJ Wetherholt in all of my fantasy leagues this year. He’s on the Cardinals Opening Day roster and while games played hasn’t exactly been a prerequisite for recent seasons, a steady-eddy infielder feels like a safe pick.
Miscellaneous
Mariners Wins: Median – 93
High – 98 (Ryan), Low – 88 (Gotty)
Crowd: Median – 93
- Zach: I think the Mariners are better than 90 wins on paper. I just also think the Mariners have only very rarely been both lucky and good in the same year. I still have them as AL Champs, but I don’t think we’ll get a wire-to-wire magic carpet ride.
- Nicky V: At 91, I am on the same page as Zach. We’ll get unlucky for sure.
- Ryan: goms
- John: PECOTA has them at 93-94. Just for our level-setting.
Julio fWAR: Median – 6.9
High – 10.3 (Ryan), Low – 5.5 (Matthew Roberson)
Crowd: Median – 7.0
- Ryan: This is it. This is the year. This is the one you will never, ever forget.
- Isabelle: It doesn’t need to be his career year, but if the Mariners are winning (or even just going!) to the World Series, you bet your butt Julio is going to be on fire.
- Eric: Nice.
M’s Pitching fWAR Leader: Woo (8)
Kirby (5), Gilbert (3)
Crowd: Woo (48.0%)
- Zach: I really think Woo has maxed out, quality-wise. And even in the healthiest season of his career, last year, he still missed time. I voted Gilbert, who’s only ever hit the IL once
- Nicky V: Naur. Woo has more in the tank, he can continue to improve the breaking stuff or his change-up to unlock that last level. And, he will stay healthy! I swear!!
- Kate: As the resident Old, I would like to retroactively and honorarily pick Luis Castillo. I don’t actually think he will be the fWAR leader, but I don’t think we ever appreciated Castillo enough last year for literally being the Rock of the rotation, consistently making his starts while everyone else went through whatever they were going through. We love a millennial hustle-coded work ethic.
- Eric: Big Woo guy, always have been.
- Ryan: Please one of these guys take the step finally I don’t care who, but I think it’ll be Gilbert.
Highest WPA among Bazardo, Brash, Ferrer, Speier: TIE – Brash (7), Ferrer (7)
Speier (2), Bazardo
Crowd: Brash (54.7%)
- Zach: If I’m known for anything, it’s being the preeminent Gabe Guy, a personal brand I take enormous pride in. But for this question, I went with Brash, for two reasons. First, if anything happens to Muñoz, then Brash will get the save opportunities and the chance to eat up the WPA—Muñoz isn’t an option here not because he’s better, but because as the closer, he’s structurally more likely to accrue WPA. Second, with Speier and Ferrer both being lefties, they’re tracking to split the high-leverage opportunities where Brash is the obvious choice for a righty pocket. Bazardo has a sneaky opportunity to take this category though because he’s a heavy favorite to pitch a lot of 10th innings.
- Isabelle: Relievers kill me. But I’m into Ferrer, if for nothing else than he represented a final end to the HF discourse.
- Nicky V: I see Ferrer as the most consistent of these options moving forward, with Gabe right behind him. Plus, he’s likely to pitch a lot of 8th innings.
- Eric: There’s one guy I trust when the game is on the line or there’s a huge rush at Waffle House and that guy is Gabe Speier.
More MLB PAs, Emerson or Young: Young (16)
Emerson (1) (Eric)
Crowd: Young (86.7%)
- Kate: Easy pickings when you see how Young has turned it on later this spring. Yadda yadda spring doesn’t matter but the improvements Young made over the off-season absolutely do. His defense is much better and he’s been hitting the tar out of the baseball consistently. My enemies-to-lover-of-Cole-Young arc surprises even me but I’d make some bold predictions about him if anything about Cole Young could possibly engender anything “bold.”
- Ryan: I think Young is the next Big Deal.
Cal Raleigh HR: Median – 45
High – 56 (Evan), Low – 37 (Matthew)
Crowd: Median – 45
- Isabelle: He’ll have a 2021 Salvy-style year that will still be exceptionally good for a catcher, it will just pale in comparison to last year’s insanity. (41)
- Nicky V: I said 43, but in hindsight I might go more like 38-40. There’s a reason only seven catchers have ever done 40. Cal will consistently go for 35-45 in the next few years, but thinking we’ll see over that regularly is unlikely given the demands of the position.
- Ryan: I think he’s going to draw a lot of walks this year and still be very good. (38)
Josh Naylor SB: Median – 20
High – 40 (Eric), Low – 9 (Jake)
Crowd: Median – 23
- Isabelle: Powered by Dad Strength and the security of a long-term contract, Naylz is bagging 20+ easy (20)
- Zach: See now you’ve got me rooting against him just because of my hatred for Dad Strength as a cultural concept. (22)
- Eric: Dad Strength is a myth perpetuated by Big Baby to further scam you into having kids. I’m in the worst shape of my life. Naylor, however, is going to have a generational season for a first baseman in 2026.
- Ryan: The word is out. (12)
- Ezra: Josh Naylor 20-20 season? Book it.
Julio HR-SB: Median – 38-38
High – 50-50 (Ryan), Low – 29-34 (Matthew)
Crowd: Median – 38-33
- Zach: For years, I’ve been picking 44-44, for his jersey number. But this year, I’m ready to let Julio just be who he is without expecting another gear. This time five years ago, I was hoping for A-Rod, but it’s hard to be disappointed when what I got was Jose Ramírez.
- Ryan: This might seem bold, but after Opening Day he’ll be on pace for 324 of each, so really this is kind of disappointing.
Emerson Hancock Games Started: Median – 10
High – 24 (Ryan), Low – 4 (Nick Tucker)
Crowd: Median – 9
- Isabelle: Part of my reasoning for being low-ish on Hancock starting games this year is that I think there will be other arms to potentially spell inevitable injury stints (“Hey boo,” she coos in Dane Dunning’s general direction) (7)
- Eric: I forgot about Dane Dunning! (10)
- Ryan: I’m encouraged by the tick up in velocity we saw at the end of last season and the impressive whiff totals this Spring. Yeah we’ve seen it before in flashes, but also yeah we’ve seen it before in flashes. That’s not to say I think Hancock will eclipse even 1.5 WAR or anything, but I think he’ll prove serviceable during a regrettably long Miller absence. (12)
M’s #1 Prospect at the end of the season: Sloan (15)
Anderson, Montes
Crowd: Sloan (44.0%)
- Zach: I’m on this hype train with zero brakes. I think when the season ends, Sloan will not just be the Mariners’ #1 prospect, but the consensus best pitching prospect in baseball. That fastball is bananas and it’s not even his best pitch.
- Nicky V: Sloan will be a top-10 prospect in baseball this time next year.
- Kate: If you haven’t yet, go watch the Spring Breakout game and watch Sloan’s performance. He absolutely stifled the best farm system in baseball.
- John: I don’t disagree with any of this, I just also think Sloan logistically is the likeliest to remain prospect-eligible compared to Emerson, Arroyo, and even Anderson and Montes.
M’s Biggest Prospect Riser: Stevenson (5)
Dickerson (3), Sloan (3), McGraw (2), Becker, Celesten, Peters, Rijo
Crowd: Arroyo (18.4%)
- Anders: Fascinated by the #1 crowd answer not even appearing on the staff board. Perhaps we as a staff went too “deep cut” here. I think Arroyo is going to pop off this year. (Dickerson)
- Isabelle: ^re Arroyo, I think at this point it’s hard for staff, who have been exposed for many years now to John Trupin’s unrelenting Arroyo Hype Train, to envision Arroyo ascending much beyond the heights he’s already soared to. I saw Stevenson by happy accident in a college game in North Carolina last year and loved everything about the way he played, and he’s only gotten better since the draft. (Stevenson)
- Nicky V: I think defining the biggest riser is kind of difficult. Is someone who goes from 30th to 15th a bigger riser than someone who goes from 10th to 3rd? Obviously not, right? Regardless, my lone vote for Juan Rijo is based on the Mariners’ keen eye for talent in the international market and a highly-projectable profile. Get him stateside, and I think we see him up in the upper echelon, maybe top 8 or so.
- Kate: I agree, Isabelle, I think John has been Arroyo-pilling us for so long that we as a staff don’t even register him as a riser, rather just as someone finally getting his due regard. I’m surprised by only three votes for Sloan but I guess three to one doesn’t seem like a big jump, like Nicky V pointed out. I think it’s a significant difference, though; being #1 in the Mariners system to being the best pitching prospect in baseball is a pretty steep rise, and I think that’s where he will end up. (Dickerson)
- John: I have successfully propaganda’d Arroyo and I am resting on my laurels. I’m regretting not pushing Farmelo here, but feel good with Stevenson.
M’s Biggest Prospect Faller: Montes (7)
Celesten (6), Anderson (2), Farmelo, Sloan
Crowd: Montes (33.1%)
- Isabelle: I’m so sorry but I do not believe in Celesten at this stage in his development. I have no compelling reasons or evidence and, in all likelihood may be wrong, but that’s my feel.
- Nicky V: Everyone who says Montes is dead to me. LEAVE HIM ALONE
- Kate: I am baffled by the hit Laz’s prospect stock took over the off-season when he was literally not playing baseball. I will say I don’t think he had a good spring because he’s focused on trying to prove he’s a well-rounded ballplayer and trying to cut down the strikeouts, so I’m hoping he gets back to his game soon. Also, who picked Sloan? See me in my office. (Celesten)
- Zach: My main opinion about all three of the M’s Prospect categories is that John should not be allowed to make picks in categories in which he has a hand in the outcome. Someone get the Commissioner on the phone! (Montes)
- John: What’re you gonna do, ZAM, sue me? (Montes)
Number of Mariners All-Stars: Median – 5
High – 6 (Ryan), Low – 3 (Eric and Kate)
Crowd: Median – 4
- Eric: Cal should skip the derby, Naylor wins ASG MVP, and Woo pitches a clean inning.
- Ryan: Julio, Cal, Canzone, Young, Gilbert and Muñoz? I hope that’s consistent with my other picks.
Bold Predictions
Some Mariners Bold Predictions From the LL Staff:
Michael Arroyo, starting RF by June 1 – Ders
Michael Arroyo has more PAs than Emerson, and is more productive – Nick V
Dom Canzone gets MVP votes – Ryan
Cooper Criswell accrues more WAR than any other reliever – Kate
- Nicky V: I’m happy to have this tied to Ders’ prediction, though I think it’s more likely that RF ends up as a Refsnyder and Arroyo platoon until Arroyo really takes over in August/September. I think Arroyo pops off and earns himself a neat 1.5-2 WAR, while I think Emerson gets played slower than folks might expect. Early cup of coffee and then called up back in September or so.
- Ryan: I buy the massive leap in ability at the plate, I’m not as low on his defense as many, and they vote for like 20 guys each year.
- I cheated because I think Criswell will earn all that in bulk with spot starts. If I was really being bold I’d say Yosver Zulueta is the first arm from Tacoma brought up.
Some Mariners Bold Predictions From the Crowd:
Dominic Canzone leads the team in home runs
Luke Raley bounces back with >4 fWAR season
Ryan Bliss starting 2B in the playoffs
Randy Arozarena is traded at the deadline
Underperformance, Jerry fired at end of season
Naylor and Julio hit for the cycle in the same month
Julio goes 40-40, wins MVP, underperforms in World Series, sucks
- Nicky V: Ya’ll are smoking something good. Or bad, depending on the prediction. But ya’ll smoking.
- Kate: I wasn’t aware “bold predictions” were supposed to leave you bleeding from the eyeballs but okay. I like the Luke Raley one and support it.
- Ryan: If I didn’t think Cole Young were going to run away with the forever job, I’d be in on the Bliss pick. Canzone I could see as well.
- Ezra: I want my fellow Blissciples to know I see you, and I stand with you.
- Nick T: Luke Raley with a 4 fWAR season lines up surprisingly well with my own prediction. That’s soon-to-be ALCS MVP Luke Raley to you, dear reader.
Some MLB Bold Predictions From the LL Staff:
A’s finish second in AL West – Max
Tarik Skubal is traded at the deadline – Kate
White Sox finish over .500 – Connor
Twins lose 100+; Rockies win 70+ – Isabelle
A reporter finds indisputable evidence that MLB games are rigged due to the influence of legal online gambling, Manfred resigns in disgrace – Eric
Rangers lose 110 games, deGrom retires midseason, Seager traded to Pirates – Ryan
- Connor: I certainly don’t expect the White Sox to seriously contend, but it’s not hard to look at their shrewd offseason and intriguing young position player core headlined by Colson Montgomery – who bashed 21 homers in just 284 plate appearances in his debut season last year – and visualize a scrappy, 75-80 win team that can easily steal a series from a better team if their opponent isn’t careful. Add in a bit of outperforming their run differential, and things could be looking sunny on the South Side.
- Isabelle: I think we are wildly underrating how bad the Minnesota Twins are going to be. I am also cautiously, lightly optimistic about the Rockies crawling out from the Cave of Total Catastrophe – especially if they can get a full season out of Ezequiel Tovar, who didn’t get the WBC MVP votes but was a major catalyst in Team Venezuela’s victory.
- Kate: This wasn’t my prediction, but I had an opportunity to hang out with the awesome Sam Bradfield from Purple Row at Spring Training and she is very enthused about the new Rockies manager Warren Schaeffer. The bar is subterranean in Colorado but I do think things will start to change there for the better.
- Ryan: A man can dream.
Some MLB Bold Predictions From the Crowd:
Rays win 90 games and miss the playoffs
A’s make the playoffs
Astros finish last in the AL West
Naylor and Caballero tie for most stolen bases
Trout is Top 10 in MVP voting
Every division has exactly one wild card team
- Kate: Who put in the Astros one? I admire your bravery for voicing a thing I’m scared to say aloud lest I be struck down for hubris by the baseball gods and I would like to buy you a taco.
- John: The A’s elbowing the 90-win Rays out of the playoffs would make me cackle. And also rhyme with 2001. Oh boy.